Packers/Saints Keys to the Game...

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THE SAINTS WILL WIN IF...

Quarterback Drew Brees plays both aggressively and cautious and the same time. Impossible? Not so much. When Brees has time in the pocket, he can beat just about any defense. He'll do the same if the Saints' front five holds up. But at the same time, the Packers propensity for intercepting passes combined with the high-flying passing attack could be a recipe for trouble if Brees isn't careful.

Reggie Bush can make his return 100 percent healthy and involved in the running, passing and special teams units. Bush has missed the last four games as he recovers from a torn medial meniscus in his knee. The Saints have missed Bush as well as far as having some diversity on offense and a true weapon returning punts. Bush said not to tell anyone from Green Bay that he'll be fielding punts, but he anticipates doing so.
Defensive ends Will Smith, Bobby McCray and Jeff Charleston can apply the same type of pressure on Packers quarterback Aaron Rodgers as they did on the Chiefs' Tyler Thigpen. It was the first sign of pass-rushing life from the Saints since Week 6 as Smith, McCray and Charleston combined for four sacks. Rodgers tends to hold onto the ball longer than most passers so the Saints should have some chances.

Courtney Roby continues to display the juice Saints coach Sean Payton keeps seeing from him in the kick-return game. Roby has already brought some pep into the special teams as he's averaging more than 28 yards per kick return and has broke off returns for more than 40 yards in each of the last two games. Anything to help improve field position for this prolific offense is a plus.

They produce more than one turnover at the end of the game like they did in Kansas City. Sure the team's turnover ratio is poor because the offense has given the ball away more often then they'd fancy. But when the defense rarely if ever creates takeaways, it's no wonder the Saints have given up 29 or more points in every loss this season.

THE PACKERS WILL WIN IF...

Wide receivers Greg Jennings and Donald Driver take advantage of a beat-up Saints secondary. Cornerback Randall Gay will likely spy Jennings like he did last week against the Chiefs' Dwayne Bowe. The problem is Jason David and Usama Young will be on the opposite end of the field. Young surrendered two touchdowns when covering Bowe last week and Rodgers will surely pick on David and Young.

The Green Bay secondary forces the issue like it has done plenty of times already this season. Cornerback Charles Woodson and Co., have been one of the most dangerous units to throw the football against in 2008 as the Packers have intercepted opposing quarterbacks 16 times through only 10 games. The Packers recognize they'll have a ton of chances the way Brees and the Saints use the passing game.

Defensive end Aaron Kampman can beat Saints left tackle around the edge and becomes a frequent visitor for Brees in the pocket. The 6-foot-4, 268-pound defender has tallied 7? sacks this season to lead the Packers. If he can use his speed to beat Brown, Kampman can fluster Brees and force him into some possible bad decisions allowing the dangerous secondary to jump some pass routes.

Ryan Grant continues to boost the Packers running game. The 2007 surprise struggled after receiving a new contract in the offseason. Lately, though, Grant has displayed he's a legitimate tailback and will force the Saints to game plan for the run along with the pass. For the season, Grant has rushed for 770 yards and three scores and is coming off a 145-yard rushing output against Chicago last week.

Linebacker A.J. Hawk can slow down an eager Bush. The Saints easily could have drafted Hawk in 2006 had Bush not fallen into their lap at the No. 2 pick. Hawk ranks third on the Packers with 67 total tackles and will likely key in on the Saints' No. 25 as Bush should return to the lineup for the first time in a month.
 

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Packers :

Three things to watch Monday night against the Saints

If Bush plays, will he be near 100 percent?


A wild card in this game is Saints halfback Reggie Bush. He?s missed the last three games after having arthroscopic surgery to repair cartilage damage in a knee, and it looks like he has a good chance of returning this week.


You never know with injury information in the NFL, the Saints could be bluffing. But if Bush plays, the question is, will he have his game-changing type agility and speed?

Used correctly ? that is, primarily as a receiver on short passes in open space, and as a punt returner ? he?s a difference maker. The Saints? offense gets a little more dangerous and diverse when he?s playing, because the defense always has to know where is, and has to make hard choices about whether to cover him with a linebacker or safety.

The Packers used safety Nick Collins when the teams met in 2006, and Collins had an excellent game in helping hold Bush to a manageable 8.5-yard average on eight catches, with a long of 23 yards. But Collins is playing so well as a center fielder in the secondary that defensive coordinator Bob Sanders might want to leave him back there and instead assign a linebacker to Bush.

Bush also this season has returned three punts for touchdowns, including two against Minnesota on Oct. 6. So he can turn a game there, too.


Packers must exploit Saints? secondary

New Orleans can put up big points with Drew Brees triggering the No. 1 passing game in the NFL, but the Saints give ?em up as well.

Their two best cornerbacks, Tracy Porter and Mike McKenzie, are out for the season because of injuries. Backup cornerback Aaron Glenn will miss this game as well.

Coach Mike McCarthy no doubt will be looking to keep the Packers? running-game going after Ryan Grant and Brandon Jackson teamed up for 195 yards last week against Chicago, especially because a successful run game would run clock and keep Brees off the field.

But if the Saints are scoring on most possessions, the Packers will have to keep up, and the place to attack New Orleans is the secondary. Randall Gay, Jason David and Usama Young are the Saints? top three corners.

They?ll have a tough time matching up with receivers Greg Jennings, Donald Driver, Jordy Nelson and either Ruvell Martin or James Jones. If the Packers win, this edge probably will be the difference.

Offensive line must protect Rodgers in noisy dome

The Louisiana Superdome can be a loud and difficult place for visiting teams, especially for night games, when a festive town gets even wilder.

Tonight, it might be even louder because the Saints haven?t played a home game for almost a month (Oct. 26). The first time the Packers played in a dome this year, at Minnesota, the pass protection crumbled and quarterback Aaron Rodgers had probably his worst performance in his 10 starts.

The Saints rank No. 28 in the NFL in sacks percentage, but their pass rush is much better at home than on the road because opposing offensive linemen have to go on the snap of the ball rather than anticipating the cadence.

The Saints have 11 sacks in five home games, and seven in five road games. Rodgers and the offensive line will have to handle the hostile environment better than they did in the Metrodome to win tonight.
 
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