Take the last train to Ca$hville,
And I'll meet you at the station.
You can be be there by four thirty,
'Cause I made your reservation.
Don't be slow, oh, no, no, no!
Oh, no, no, no!
Well let's hope that this season's run is better than last years!!
2004 was the worst system performance in its 8 years of tracked history with a sub 50% W/L rate. A trough in the overall performance graph I hope. Looking towards a spike this season though!
After last season I went back and looked at the numbers to try and explain the downturn. There was no obvious reason except perhaps the 'law of averages' trying to catch up.
I did, however, see another way of looking at the numbers. The way I give a "points value" to each team after its previous 2 weeks form and then compare the value to its upcoming opposition.
I then went back and looked over the last 8 season's numbers and found another common denominator which pointed me at a different 70+% every season. Not as many plays as the usual 30 odd selections for the 'Express' system but 12 - 20 none the less.
It is these plays that I am adding to the standard system to create a "hybrid theory". They are always home faves so the return is shorter but this system is based on 'tri-bet' returns which is for a team to win by more than 15.5 points. This fattens up the return dividend to make it worthwhile.
To cut a long story short....the Express has been "beefed up"!!!
Now on to this season's first selection....
Sydney +22.5 v Brisbane
Playing with a considerably smaller bank than last year but the play is still for 20% of the kitty.
So "all aboard thats coming aboard" and lets get this ol' girl up and running!!
:slomo
And I'll meet you at the station.
You can be be there by four thirty,
'Cause I made your reservation.
Don't be slow, oh, no, no, no!
Oh, no, no, no!
Well let's hope that this season's run is better than last years!!
2004 was the worst system performance in its 8 years of tracked history with a sub 50% W/L rate. A trough in the overall performance graph I hope. Looking towards a spike this season though!
After last season I went back and looked at the numbers to try and explain the downturn. There was no obvious reason except perhaps the 'law of averages' trying to catch up.
I did, however, see another way of looking at the numbers. The way I give a "points value" to each team after its previous 2 weeks form and then compare the value to its upcoming opposition.
I then went back and looked over the last 8 season's numbers and found another common denominator which pointed me at a different 70+% every season. Not as many plays as the usual 30 odd selections for the 'Express' system but 12 - 20 none the less.
It is these plays that I am adding to the standard system to create a "hybrid theory". They are always home faves so the return is shorter but this system is based on 'tri-bet' returns which is for a team to win by more than 15.5 points. This fattens up the return dividend to make it worthwhile.
To cut a long story short....the Express has been "beefed up"!!!
Now on to this season's first selection....
Sydney +22.5 v Brisbane
Playing with a considerably smaller bank than last year but the play is still for 20% of the kitty.
So "all aboard thats coming aboard" and lets get this ol' girl up and running!!
:slomo
