Pencilling in

[TheShrimp]

caro +6 (I expect this to move up a little)
zona +1
buff +9 (sticking with 'em)
det +7.5 (love this one)
ne -8.5 (they might be getting STL type spreads, soon. This one should be 10. Get while the gettings good. No way was STL/NYG this week more of a mismatch than this one. No WAY is Den-Buff more of a mismatch than this one.)

I'll ink 'em in tomorrow.

Guessing the lines in Dall/Phi (8) and WASH/SF (6) next week, I think I'll like both visitors in those, too. Those could change depending on results tonight.

Maybe a lean on hou +12 (I had it at 10), but that's real iffy. Also like TB +1, but not huge. They haven't been so great this year either, but they do like beating on the Rams.

 

[gardenweasel]

take a look at the jets +7...

take a look at the jets +7...

they are this weeks dallas-tenn......jets looked awful at home vs pats....now they go on the road getting a td....these scenario`s are setting up perfectly....also,disagree on tampa...they dominated a bad raven team(totally expected)but,their offense is pedestrian at best....their receivers have much trouble stretching the field....put me down on the rams...0-3?...i don`t think so....they outscore the bucs....g.l.

 

[gardenweasel]

Re: take a look at the jets +7...

Re: take a look at the jets +7...

they are this weeks dallas-tenn......jets looked awful at home vs pats....now they go on the road getting a td....these scenario`s are setting up perfectly....also,disagree on tampa...they dominated a bad raven team(totally expected)but,their offense is pedestrian at best(could not score an offensive td).....their receivers have much trouble stretching the field....put me down on the rams...0-3?...i don`t think so....they outscore the bucs....g.l. ....can`t wait to see denver line vs the ravens monday a week....i hope it`s only 7...another total mismatch.

 

[gardenweasel]

sorry about the double post

sorry about the double post

zigged when i should have zagged...g.l.

 

[vanbasten]

i was anxiously anticipating the number on the broncos/bills game. was hoping for a number closer to 7 for the following reason. back to back road games in football (college or pro) are tough. i always like to play against the traveling team (the second week) if they cover the first week of the back to backs. sorry i don't have the stats on that, but a very small percentage cover both games. wouldn't be surprised to see the 9 drop. if it does, i'm on the broncos, if it goes higher it's a pass for me. my two cents, fwiw.

regardless, good luck with whatever you play.

 

[TheShrimp]

Every week I make a list of lines, a "will be" and a "should be". I said the Denver line "will be an 8" but "should be a 7". 9 really jumped out at me.

I don't think you'll see Buff out of too many games this year.

Den/Bal will be interesting on MNF. I'm already looking at Denver getting too many points in that game. Redman is so damn bad, though, its tough to be on the Ravens.

Thanks for the comments.

 

[TheShrimp]

Inking in:
NE -8.5
Buff +9
ZONA +1.5
TB +1.5
Det +8

 

[TheShrimp]

Inking in:
NE -8.5
Buff +9
ZONA +1.5
TB +1.5
Det +8

This week: 3-2 +.8
Season: 13-10 +2.5

Little bit of luck this weekend, good and bad.

So far, my 3 weeks have been 6-5, 4-3, 3-2. Nothing to write home about, but nice and steady and ahead of the vig. Lots of dogs, but I see a couple of faves I like this week.

I was thinking about buying back the TB last night, but stood my ground. Gotta have the confidence in my early feelings. That first drive by STL kinda scared me but TB's D played well and Warner just hasn't looked right this season. Public probably still likes the Rams so they may continue to be a good fade.

I'll probably get my new thread up tomorrow or late today.

TheShrimp