Pick2play for Tuesday 3/12.......

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Game: Chicago Bulls at Milwaukee Bucks
Line: Milwaukee Bucks - 11.5

Angles/Summary:


The Bucks, losers of 3 out of the last 4 games SU and ATS, opened up as a 12 point favorite against the Chicago Bulls in tonight?s game. Milwaukee is has been struggling as of late, so why is the line so high? Well, the Bulls have lost 6 straight games and are only 3-27 SU on the road this year. The bucks are due and are going to the blowout the Bulls, right? We certainly don?t think so and this is why. First starters, Milwaukee is 27-35-0 ATS for the year and 12-20 ATS at home. They are also just 0-8 ATS the last 8 games as a 6.5 or more point favorite this year and 1-7 ATS as home favorites of 12 or more pts the last 3 yrs. The Bulls are 2-1 SU and 3-0 ATS this year against the Bucks (lost to the Bucks in Milwaukee by just by 4 pts, beat them in Chicago 90-83 on Dec 31, and 96-92 in Chicago last month). The Bulls might be down by DD at some point in the game but should not lose by more than 10.


Favorable Trends:


Chicago:
4-2-1 ATS last 7 games
8-2 ATS last 10 at Milwaukee
CHI is 4-1 ATS in the last five meetings
3-0 ATS vs Milwaukee this year
3-1 ATS in a road game with total set at 190-195
8-5 ATS as a 12-15 pt road dog

Milwaukee:
1-3 ATS last 4 games
2-5 ATS last 7 games
12-20 ATS at home this year
0-8 ATS the last 8 games as a 6.5 or more point favorite
1-7 ATS as home favorites of 12 or more pts the last 3 yrs
7-16 SU & ATS in revenge games
4-11 ATS vs. teams that average <91ppg
8-22 ATS on one days rest



Pick2Play: Bulls + 11.5 (5 units)



:D Good Luck, :D

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