Been around for a while but I haven't posted too many picks, I think its time to start. I am a big anti-consensus player and love underdogs.
Cuse +4 - This is an ugly play, but the public is heavy on the road favorite and I feel like watching some football tonight so Cuse is the play. At least the Cuse has a good kicker, right?
Colorado -2.5 - with Dan Hawkins in his second year and with the players being more comfortable with his system, I think they will be much improved. Colorado should have a solid defense this year and they were very good at stopping the run last year. Also, Colo St. gave up a ton of sacks last year and their best 2 lineman graduated so it could get real ugly for them this year. I think the Colorado defense wins this game for them.
UAB +22 - Both teams transitioning to new HC's so neither team will be too comfortable. I just think this is way too many points for MSU to cover, they shouldn't be favored by more than 3 td's over anybody.
ECU +28 - taking this based on line movement and consensus. If ECU can score 7 they should get the cover. There is no telling how this VT team is going to come out given the cirucumstances and they have LSU on deck so they should be looking ahead and won't want to show anything on offense.
Wyoming +4 - really like this play I think the wrong team is favored here. UVA was awful on the road last year and Wyoming is a tough place to play for teams that arent used to playing in the thin air. Wyoming is good at home, almost beating Boise St last year. Wyoming defense shoudl shutdown Sewell and company.
Nevada + 21.5 - Too many points, the public is all over Nebraska. Nebraska is breaking in a new QB here and I don't think they will show much with USC on deck. Nebraska lost a lot from last year, I don't think they will be as good as most people think.
GT +3 - Little worried about this one because a lot of people on GT, but ND just isnt good. GT gets almost everybody back from a really good defense and they were prettty good on the road last year so playing at ND shouldn't bother them. I think they will completely shutdown the ND offense and Tenuda's blitz packages will confuse the new ND qb all day.
BC - 6 - Wake had a fluke year last year where everything was going there way, it will change this year. BC should run right over them, and they have everyone back from the great defense of last year. I think this one might get ugly.
Mizzou -4.5 - Im not buying into the Illinois turn around hype and I think the Mizzou offense is going to light up the Illini defense. Chase Daniel is the best qb in the Big 12.
K State +13.5 - Auburn has all sorts of issues on the Oline and the K State Defense should be in the backfield all day. Ian Campbell was possibly the best pass rusher in the Big 12 last year and with K st moving to the 3-4 he will be playing an attacking LB position and he will be a handful for Auburn. I think K state has a good chance to win this game.
Cal - 5.5 - Tough spot here for Tenn, traveling cross country and Cal wanting revenge for their embarrasing showing last year. I think Ainge's pinky is going to be a problem and the Cal D will do just enough. Longshore, Forsett and Jackson are too explosive they will all have big days.
Arkie St +40, UNT +41, Idaho +46 - I take all dogs of 40 points or more.
Cuse +4 - This is an ugly play, but the public is heavy on the road favorite and I feel like watching some football tonight so Cuse is the play. At least the Cuse has a good kicker, right?
Colorado -2.5 - with Dan Hawkins in his second year and with the players being more comfortable with his system, I think they will be much improved. Colorado should have a solid defense this year and they were very good at stopping the run last year. Also, Colo St. gave up a ton of sacks last year and their best 2 lineman graduated so it could get real ugly for them this year. I think the Colorado defense wins this game for them.
UAB +22 - Both teams transitioning to new HC's so neither team will be too comfortable. I just think this is way too many points for MSU to cover, they shouldn't be favored by more than 3 td's over anybody.
ECU +28 - taking this based on line movement and consensus. If ECU can score 7 they should get the cover. There is no telling how this VT team is going to come out given the cirucumstances and they have LSU on deck so they should be looking ahead and won't want to show anything on offense.
Wyoming +4 - really like this play I think the wrong team is favored here. UVA was awful on the road last year and Wyoming is a tough place to play for teams that arent used to playing in the thin air. Wyoming is good at home, almost beating Boise St last year. Wyoming defense shoudl shutdown Sewell and company.
Nevada + 21.5 - Too many points, the public is all over Nebraska. Nebraska is breaking in a new QB here and I don't think they will show much with USC on deck. Nebraska lost a lot from last year, I don't think they will be as good as most people think.
GT +3 - Little worried about this one because a lot of people on GT, but ND just isnt good. GT gets almost everybody back from a really good defense and they were prettty good on the road last year so playing at ND shouldn't bother them. I think they will completely shutdown the ND offense and Tenuda's blitz packages will confuse the new ND qb all day.
BC - 6 - Wake had a fluke year last year where everything was going there way, it will change this year. BC should run right over them, and they have everyone back from the great defense of last year. I think this one might get ugly.
Mizzou -4.5 - Im not buying into the Illinois turn around hype and I think the Mizzou offense is going to light up the Illini defense. Chase Daniel is the best qb in the Big 12.
K State +13.5 - Auburn has all sorts of issues on the Oline and the K State Defense should be in the backfield all day. Ian Campbell was possibly the best pass rusher in the Big 12 last year and with K st moving to the 3-4 he will be playing an attacking LB position and he will be a handful for Auburn. I think K state has a good chance to win this game.
Cal - 5.5 - Tough spot here for Tenn, traveling cross country and Cal wanting revenge for their embarrasing showing last year. I think Ainge's pinky is going to be a problem and the Cal D will do just enough. Longshore, Forsett and Jackson are too explosive they will all have big days.
Arkie St +40, UNT +41, Idaho +46 - I take all dogs of 40 points or more.
