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sleybon

Registered User
Forum Member
Jul 21, 2000
1,210
45
48
New York, NY
didnt post but did well yesterday since i almost always bet dogs.
i hear people saying that the dogs covered yesterday so that means fav. are due. that is one of the stupidest things i have ever heard. that is like saying if you are playing roulette that if it lands on red 5 times in a row then black should be your next bet.
i like the eagles today but the only thing that bothers me is the line. 7 is high, it almost seems like vegas is begging you to take the eagles. however, when dallas played New Orleans couple weeks back they were also a touchdown favorite and i thought that was way too high. remember, new orleans was a hot team, very similar to the position the eagles are in today. this leads me to believe that the dallas lines especially when playing on national tv are higher because they normally are a "public team". so i am not as worried that the line is so high and i am a big believer that if a line looks too good it probably is.

play is on the birds +7, small on the ML train.
 

sleybon

Registered User
Forum Member
Jul 21, 2000
1,210
45
48
New York, NY
scratch my under play - looks too fishy

i played the phins -2.5

i will probably play over 2nd half when the rain dies down - probably a very big play.
 
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