Pitt ml question

[BlindRock]

Ok, was browsing some prop bets and came accross an interesting prop... all you PITT ml'ers out there... here's a ?

Pitt ml is +130 right now...

BUT found a prop bet...

PITT wins by 1-6 pts +380

wheres the value here... if you're on the ml, this looks like an amazing wager....

thoughts, please... would like to hit this pretty hard

 

[Penguinfan]

Because if they win by 7 points or more your screwed

 

[BleedDodgerBlue]

why?

in all likeliehood, if pitt does win, they will win by 3 or 7 or more. 1,2,4, and 5 are not key numbers. so you are basically betting +380 pitt wins by 3 or 6. trying to predict a football game to land on either of 2 numbers and only getting +380 ain't that great. not trying to knock you, and if you bet it i wish you all the best. too many variables for my liking. i do like the pitt m.l. bet though

gl

 

[MadJack]

if they win by 7+ you're :142hump:

 

[BlindRock]

thanks guys, thats what i was looking for... my quick thought was that, i like PITT to win, but that it would be close (3/4 points)... but risk is more than reward here?....

again thanks for the input