Play for 9.19.05

CrazyHorse

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Nov 29, 2000
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ytd 23-13 +1100
yesterday regular plays 4-2 +415
Halftime plays 4-0 +400

halftime plays were posted here:

http://www.madjacksports.com/forum/showthread.php?t=203693

Thank God for 2nd half unders on all those early blowouts. That is such a nice angle, props to Nolan for posting them a few seasons back.

DAL u36 220/200
This is down to 35 at Olympic so getting this in early. Washington looks again to be an 'under' team with an excellent defense and below average offense. Dallas has improved on defense w/ their free agent acquisitiions, mostly in the 2ndary, where they were horrible last year. I expect to see alot of Portis and J. Jones tonight and that should help keep the clock running. Also Dallas' kicker was shaky in the preseason but did not have one fg attempt last week so that may be a factor. Bledsoe had an excellent game last week but that was vs SD's pass defense which I believe was worst in the league last yr. I think this game looks to be a 17 - 13 type game.

gl to all tonite!
 

yipyip

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Several of those HT lines went thru the roof, some closing at -135+
At that price, Id doubt the long term profitability of the angle.
Even at -120 or -125, you have to start cashing in on a lot more than 53% to make a [longrun] profit. At triple juice its a whole different ballgame.

GL in tonights game, Im leaning under myself.
 

CrazyHorse

giveit2 21
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yipyip said:
Several of those HT lines went thru the roof, some closing at -135+
At that price, Id doubt the long term profitability of the angle.
Even at -120 or -125, you have to start cashing in on a lot more than 53% to make a [longrun] profit. At triple juice its a whole different ballgame.

GL in tonights game, Im leaning under myself.

yes the price can get pretty ridiculous on those. That is why I like that Olympic comes out with them a few minutes before halftime when I can get them at -120..one of them I had to get at -125..but 3 out of 4 went up once halftime was a few minutes in. Still it has been profitable for me last yr and while I did not play any in week 1, this season the angle is off to a nice start. I still don't play it blindly like if the Colts or Cheifs are down 21-0 at the half but I will play it more often then not.
 

CrazyHorse

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Handi Capper said:
this angle ur mentioning works real well (68% for me last 2 yr) when team leading gets ball 1st to start 2nd half

That would make sense, I might have to look at that closer as I don't always check to see who got the ball 1st when making halftime plays even though I know I should. No doubt vegas is always going to adjust when there is a profitable angle but even still these 2nd half unders have helped me alot this past 2 seasons.
 

CrazyHorse

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trolln4walii said:
Great job yesterday CrazyHorse. I'm on that under myself tonight. Go Defenses!! :)

thanks trolln, lets get this under! I needed a good sunday after a bad day in college fb on saturday.
 
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