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Nolan Dalla

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This is a very unusual day for me because I'm backing most of the favorites. I've included a short write-up on each game I'm playing:

WAKE FOREST -7
Many bettors will be on upstart Manhattan on this game. Most of us had Manhattan getting the points versus a very soft Florida team and on the surface, this looks to be another "winnable" game where the points look like a nice bonus. However, there is a strong angle in the second round of NCAA game to bet on team that won, but failed to cover in the first round. Almost always, these team underperformed and will not be as flat in the second game, as the first. VCU probably should have defeated Wake Forest in that game, but now that it's over, look for one of the ACCs top teams to get back on track with a win. Manhattan is a nice story, and a "sexy" pick for all the brackett bimbos, but talent and expereince will be the difference here. This is a reasonable number to lay. I particularly like laying anything about 8-9 or less,because is WF is up late in the 5-6 range, the foul fest begins and the favorite often runs up another few points to get the cover. It's much easier to overcome a line like this than something in the 9-10 range.

MARYLAND -1
I was so unimpressed with Maryland's effort in that first game, I swore I would not back them again. Talk about an uninspired second half performance! However, Gary Williams is too good a coach to let that happen twice in a row. The Terps enjoy some key inside advantages over the Orangemen and I look for Maryland to play a much better game this time, versus a team that will not be taken lightly. Another play that fits the BET ON TEAM THAT WON BUT DID NOT COVER IN FIRST ROUND ANGLE.

STANFORD -7
Alabama flat out stinks. This team blew a 10-point lead versus So. Ill and now stumbles into the second round with something like a 17-11 record -- one of the worst in the tournament. The SEC is notoriously weak this year, and now the Tide must face a team that was undefeated up until a few weeks ago. I have some nagging suspicions about the Cardinal as to whether they are really an elite team, but this looks like a very reasonable number to lay here against an outmatched opponent.

CONNECTICUTT -10
The Huskies underperformed in the first game, and are picked by some to go all the way in this tournament. This is more of an AGAINST Depaul pick, which looked totally exhausted after the first round win, a double overtime vistory versus Dayton. Depaul was down most of that game and the final score was very misleading. The Blue Demons are a fraud and will be exposed here versus a class team. Largest bet of the day on the Huskies.

-- Nolan Dalla
 

lowell

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good luck.i am with you on maryland.wake has me unsure.i thought they would made statement game on thurs and i was wrong.today could be the day.do not know who will guard flores but if they can hold him under 20 wake should cover.prooser and team have not had good game in some time.paul could have big day for wake.will manhattens soft schedule get to them today.
 

RIGHT SIDE

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Good Luck today!! I hope you're wrong about Wake! I really need the Jaspers today to come through. You do have good points to make for Wake though. I too am iffy about the whole "public" thing and everyone being on Manhatten because of the upset in the first round, but my stats and angles point pretty high towards the Jaspers in this game. Wake has been brutal ATS lately and the defense is very poor. They sure can score points though, so if I were Manhatten "defense" and "low scoring game" would be my objective. Hope you come out ontop today with your other picks, but I'm going with the hotter team here ATS with Manhatten.


RS
 

Nolan Dalla

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lowell said:
good luck.i am with you on maryland.wake has me unsure.i thought they would made statement game on thurs and i was wrong.today could be the day.do not know who will guard flores but if they can hold him under 20 wake should cover.prooser and team have not had good game in some time.paul could have big day for wake.will manhattens soft schedule get to them today.


I admit that the only time I have seen Manhattan was in that first round, and it's hard to tell how good this team is for beating Florida. I expect WF will step up in this game because the Jaspers are a team everyone is talking about and WF knows they must be ready. Most ridiculous comment I heard was on the radio by someone who said about the Jaspers "These kids are from New York, so they are tough." I guess the "tough New Yorkers" things doesn't apply to St. Johns. This looks to be a terrific betting opportunity because all of the media is touting the virtues of Manhattan and we get the opposite side, which comes from a far superior conference. Supposedly, the kids from North Carolina aren't "tough" enough to win. I think they'll roll.

Adding: Seton Hall +11 (This is too many points for Duke to lay versus a quality team). Hall beat a solid Arizona team in the first round and isn't gettign enough respect here. I like the points.

-- Nolan Dalla
 

Nolan Dalla

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lenniethelock said:
bama would also fall in that they won but didnt cover therory.

Yes, I'm glad you pointed that out. I had Bama -2 in that first game and lost by a point. If you are strictly playing the angle, then this game is a NO PLAY, since both teams apply. However, from that game, I sense that Alabama knows they are very lucky to be here and will crash and burn versus much better competition in this round. I've rarely seen a team in a tornament play a less inspired second hald than the Tide played versus SO-ILL.

-- Nolan Dalla
 

Innavation

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i feel the same way about mahattan as far as everyone likest them, but they are a tough team, with maybe the best player on the court in Flores. have to disagree with Manhattan.

agree with Uconn---Depaul has been tough but Uconn is more physical and more athletic--and both teams are equally bad at the line(usually uconns downfall in covering games)---however i feel they run them off the court.



Maryland---its going to be hard for Maryland to run away with this one considering how bad they shoot free-throws, and let a team like the cuse hang around could be trouble, this game appears to be a toss up---coming down to perimeter shooting.


Sec has had a poor showing, but the Pac 10 hasn't faired to well either. i could be dead wrong here, but feel stanford is vulnerable today and feel the line is an indication of it.


check out gonzaga--seems like a consensus favorite; however feel they are the right side--with the big and talented fronline of Turiaf and Viollete with a nice complinent off the bench in Fox---got 2 scorers on the perimiter with Stepp--and Morrison off the bench. A former starter in Skinner-now comes off the bench and provides experiecne--with taking only good shots,rebounding,and playing defense. Knight--a high riser, provides another rebounder--and can get the lob dunk. Bankhead--another guy u can't leave open--he can knock down the 3-----------lots of weapons and great free-throw shooting and rebounding team--all the tools to stretch a lead. Nevada seems to be outclassed today.

good luck
 

Nolan Dalla

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RIGHT SIDE said:
Good Luck today!! I hope you're wrong about Wake! I really need the Jaspers today to come through. You do have good points to make for Wake though. I too am iffy about the whole "public" thing and everyone being on Manhatten because of the upset in the first round, but my stats and angles point pretty high towards the Jaspers in this game. Wake has been brutal ATS lately and the defense is very poor. They sure can score points though, so if I were Manhatten "defense" and "low scoring game" would be my objective. Hope you come out ontop today with your other picks, but I'm going with the hotter team here ATS with Manhatten.


RS


Thanks RS.

You and Jimeniz both tout MANHATTAN, and it did make me think twice about hitting WF with a wager. J's write up certainly makes sense (see other thread). J had Xavier last night, and I had a dime bet on the Musketeers, I had them for 5 and then added another 5 after reading J's post. So, we made some nice coin last night when Xavier went on a 31-10 roll late int he game. But here, I think J (and you) are too much in line with the public. I expect the sportsbooks will be flooded with sentimental Jasper money, compounded by the notion that "one team always seesm to be the Cinderella." Frankly, I think that Cinderella is much more likely to be Nevada, which few people seem to be talking about.

Nolan Dalla
 

lowell

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i went with wake.jaspers will not have crowd on their side like they did when playing florida.
 

gman2

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gl nolan. talked to a couple guys from wake (two being former deacon players) and theyre dead scared about this matchup. theyre worried about wake not really understanding how good manhattan is. personally, i think its a tough tough game. gun to my head, i think wake can got enough easy baskets inside that theyll have a chance to cover. but the line seems real sharp.

like the maryland play

dont agree that the huskies 'underperformed' in round one. they won fairly convincingly and were never threated. they just didnt cover. they held coppenrath to 3/17 from the field. they controlled that game and did whatever they wanted...except cover

gl my man. hope you hit em all, as i dont have a stake on/against any of those gms you listed.
 

sdf

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Nolan Dalla said:
Yes, I'm glad you pointed that out. I had Bama -2 in that first game and lost by a point. If you are strictly playing the angle, then this game is a NO PLAY, since both teams apply.
-- Nolan Dalla

I dont understand that. both teams apply?

stanford wins and covers
bama wins and doesnt cover.

am i missing something? :shrug:


also, SEC is NOTORIOUSLY WEAK? they have 4 teams left in the tourney. uky a 1 seed. missst a 2 seed. that's WEAK?
hmmm. OK.

gl.
 

IntenseOperator

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I'd be wary of DePaul in this spot. Their coach is quite intense (LOL) and the thought is they should have lost their last game and will be dominated by a UConn squad that's on a mission.

DePaul has shot a decent 70% from the line all year. The image of the last game should be eliminated from thought. With DePaul's injuries and suspensions this year others have been thrown more into the mix. I think they know they most likely should be sitting and they are hearing the bashing from their last effort. They have both played a similar strength of schedule and are each 11-5 on the road. No doubt, Uconn has the size and experience, but I think DePaul will have relieved themselves of whatever tournament anal tightness they had in the first game and bring it here. I think their is a lot of value in this line as it was most likely set with the publics image of the 1st round in mind, then driven up more. I think DePaul will get at least their 69 point road average here against a defense that gives up 67pts/rd game against opponents of similar strength. Throw in UConn's free throw shooting and I like DePaul + double digits.
 

ELVIS

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it doesn't hurt that diener shoots 90%. i think he may struggle against the conn's gordon. jmo
 

IntenseOperator

DeweyOxburger
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for what it's worth

for what it's worth

DePaul has enough size collectively inside and their coach was an assistant to Calhoun before.

We'll see what UConn's outside game does.
 

thisisbad

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I know this will seem classless and i do apologize in advance, but after seeing my boys get dogged in this thread i was so happy to see them win.

I hate to see guy lose money, but this one made me very veryhappy.

Again, i now it's bad to come in after the fact but i didn't say anything early because i know it would make me seem like a homer.

Good luck the rest of the tourny
 
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