Playoffs

[theshiek]

LW 7-3
Reg season 89-94-1 -14.4 units

Ended season on losing side, but at least closed decent the last few weeks. Hopefully carry over that momentum.

Cin -6 Hate relying on Cincy as a fav, but LV off 4 close games and now on the road. Situation play for me, even in the playoffs.

Buff -4- Not sold on Mac Jones today. Think he will be a good for NE going forward, but I look for Buff to stress run D and force Jones
to beat them. I think in the future he'll be up to it, but not today.

GLA

 

[theshiek]

Phil +7- The hold your nose playoff pick. TB thin at RB (not sure Bernard ready to carry a big load right off IR) and lack of
AB/Godwin will hurt. Also, they're still banged up on D and a running QB can hurt them if David is not 100% (he isn't). TB
wins, but it's a close one.

Phil >47 A bit worried about Philly taking the air out of the ball, but since TB won't have a run game Brady will be airing it out and
Philly will need to keep up. Looking Hurts to have a good game. Also, Philly DE Sweat is out, and that'll hurt.

Pitt -13 OK, a second hold your nose game. Pitt's D and running game are the key. Pitt D weren't full strength first time around.
Also, KC D showing some weakness lately. Pitt style similar to Denver's, and we saw how that went LW.

GLA

 

[theshiek]

Rams -3 Seeing 3- most places, but my local has 3. Who am I to argue. Zona RB's beat up. JJ Watt will probably get hurt 1st or 2nd
series. Murray struggling a bit lately. I don't really trust Stafford, but I'll go with the more vetern team.

GLA

 

[theshiek]

Playoffs 3-3

Cin +4 Thinking this one comes down to a late FG. Not sure Henry will be 100%, but they'll ride him hard regardless. His backups
have been serviceable, so Tenn will grind it out. A bit worried the Zac-inator will go for it on 4th down in a place he shouldn't,
but based on LV game he'll take pts as he can.

Cin <48- As mentioned, think it's a grind it out game. Maybe go over 3- FG's and first score a FG.

GB -6 Took GB early in the week at -5- because I thought line would go up. Hasn't moved much so I'll go w/ current 6 number.
Respect what SF has done, plus I like Jimmy G. However the gap between Jimmy G and Rodgers is too big.

GB <48 Think SF tries to take the air out of the ball. GB will pound it once they have the lead.

One prop I like other than the FG props above is a team to score >39- for a game in the div rd. Obviously I don't think it happens today, but could see it in either or both games tomorrow. Odds aren't great at +115, but I'll try it. May also take a flyer on 1 of the 4 games going to OT. It's about +220.

GLA

 

[theshiek]

Playoffs 6-4 Hit both FG props in Cin game, and almost got my OT prop. Oh well, even if the OT and >39- props don't hit I've got
slight profit from prop betting, which is never a bad thing.

Rams +3 Much like the Cincy game I'm thinking this one goes to the wire and pts will be key. One big diff will be the running game.
Very impressed w/ Akers LW in his 2nd game back. He and Michel look like a nice 1-2 punch. Fournett is back, but since
this is his first game back I'm not looking for him to be the Fournette of mid-season. Also worried about TB"s beat up O-
line.

Rams >48 Two gun slingers going at it. TB lck of run game will mean about 50 passes from Brady. Rams 2ndry is hurting. Again,
big concern w/ O-line protecting Brady, but we'll go with the over.

KC -1 Could be a classic. Highly respect both teams, but have to w/ the home team at basically a pick 'em. Plus, Bills may have
peaked LW vs hated nemesis NE.

KC <55 LY's total way over this number, but I dont think either team wants a shoot out. Both will look to establish the run.

GLA

 

[theshiek]

Playoffs 9-5

Plus hit a couple props. Lucky w/ the OT prop, but i was due some luck.

Cin +7 KC D regressing last few weeks. Cin w/ enough firepower to keep it close

Cin >55 KC D regressing last few weeks. Think both teams get close to 30

LAR -3- Hate laying the extra half, but think 4th road game in a row is too many for SF

Few stray props for fun. Longest KC/Cin fg >47-, Cin/KC more than 6- TD's and at least one OT game at aout +425

GLA

 

[theshiek]

Playoffs 10-7

Cincy +4- Rams are more talented and more experienced, but there's just something missing with this team. Maybe it's lack of a
killer attitude. They had it vs Zona, but let TB off the deck, and let SF hang around. It'll be close.

Done decent on props this post-season. Let's try these:

Perine >1- recpts -120 Quick passing game key for Cincy, and with Uz pretty banged up, swings to the backs take his place

Sks >5- -140 Burrow will probably be running for his life alot, and Staffords a statue

Burrow >12- yd rushing -140 Since he'll be scrambling things hes goes over

Players att'ing a pass >2- +120 Gotta be a trick play with these 2 coaches.

Cincy 1st Timeout +110 Good dissertation by Buckshot in another thread about how Rams are the play here. It makes sense, but
I'm going opposite because it's + odds, and Taylor is from the McVay coaching tree and does a lot of
similar. Pretty much a toss-up to me, so I'l take the + odds.

GLA
things.