plays & angles for 9/25-9/26..........

[AR182]

13-5-1 +21.30*......

played these 2 totals so far this week....

2* u40 cin/chi......

here is a system that supports this play....

play under on a home dog who rushed for 150 or more yards, scored 21 or more points in their last game & are playing a team that won last week...

system is 19-5 under in the last 24 games (79%)

2*o40(120)dall/s.f.....

very rarely do i play an over....it seems that i never win....but will try once more...

in the last 16 times,teams coming off a home division loss of 3 or less points, as a 3 or more point favorite, & were up by 7 or more points at the end of the 3rd quarter are 15-1 over in the next game. (93.7%).

btw, these are not my systems....just stuff i picked up in my research....


good luck.

 

[kcwolf]

Good luck AR. I appreciate all the things you continually dig up.

 

[AR182]

kc,

thanks for the props....really appreciate it.

 

[mack the knife]

fyi, a significant money mover that posts elsewhere is saying to take cin/chc under 39.5, and I see olympic now at 38.5 so under seems like the play. At least to get the best line. Keep it if you want.

 

[HoopsGuru]

looks good with the bears having possibly the best D in the nfl. bengals look awesome so far but tough to trust a young qb on the road to put up points.

 

[cmamoulelis]

i'd be careful on the under with the bengals/bears. keep in mind the bears have a #1 type defense playing offensive juggernauts like the redskins and the lions. incidentally, both teams the bears beat are nfc teams.

 

[SALTY DOG]

AR I play an occassional total and almost all are
unders and almost all are the low totals...34-37...
but this week I think the KC/DEN 48 total is
absurb...playing the UNDER 48 BIG...talk about
setting a line from the past for the public...I
can't believe it...I may be way off but this game
is in the 30's...

 

[LUX]

Good luck this weekend Al, I may try a play on that Cin/Chi under myself.

 

[AR182]

thanks guys....

salty dog...

i like the under also..i got it at 49 with bowmans....

had a winning day yesterday.....let me see if i can continue.....

in addition to the 2 totals that i played, am playing these for 2*.....

rams-6.5.....

away dogs that won their last game by 14 or more points as home dogs of +3 or more are 6-25-2 ats(19%) since 1989.

play against tenn.

minn-3(buy)....

including pre-season, n.o. had been on the road for 4 consecutive weeks.an angle that supports this play, but applies to teams playing on the road for 3 consecutive weeks. states......

teams playing 3rd straight road game, & either won the 1st/ or 2nd road game are....

ats record....10-21 (32%) from 1996-2005

play against n.o.

jax+3
tb-3(buy)
u38 gb/tb
buff-2.5

good luck.

 

[RexBudler]

Im gonna tail you on a few of those, gl to ya bud

 

[ajoytoy]

great info as usual Al...continued success sir

 

[AR182]

adding for 2*...

pitts-2.5(125)

az.+7(130)

good luck.

 

[Master Capper]

AR,

Do you like a side or total in the ESPN late gam?

 

[AR182]

mc,

right now i like the giants....

how about you ?

 

[AR182]

so far losing vig for the day....

will add....

3*teaser

giants+14.5
u 55 k.c./den.

good luck.

 

[AR182]

on a 3 game losing streak...hopefully i can change my luck with the mnf game......

i wanted to post this now because i'll be gone most of the day tomorrow & probably will miss the game......

u49 kc/den.......

i put in a nice size bet on the under when the lines first came out.....i'm supposed to be sharing this play with 2 of my friends, who i'm meeting up with tomorrow. i'll keep whatever they don't want.

even with the total going over the last 7 times these 2 teams met, i like the under.imo, these are not the same explosive offensive teams of years past.

other than tony gonzalez, kc doies not have any explosive receivers.....they are relying on their 2 quality backs, johnson & holmes running behind an excellent offensive line to control the ball. on the defensive side of the ball, kc has given up a total of 24 points vs. the jets & oakland. with their new defensive players seemingly fitting in well, i think they match up well with the denver offense & should be able to keep the denver offense under control.

jake plummer has not thrown a td pass this season...he has thrown 3 ints. because of this, i think denver will try to limit plummer's mistakes.like k.c., i see denver also using their backs to help limit the turnovers & to try to also control the clock.i'm impressed with denver's linebackers.....& think that they will be able to contain the kc. backs, unlike what happened to the jets.

unless there is a special team's td, or a turnover that turns into a td,i don't see this game going above 41-42 points.

enjoy the game & good luck.