I decided to play every bowl game and have enjoyed great success. It's been a prosperous bowl season and I hope to finish strong. Tomorrow's games aren't the easiest to handicap, but I'll give it my best.
Florida -1 for 10*. Florida got their asses kicked by Iowa 37-17 in the 2004 Outback Bowl. Leak was a freshman and had the worthless Ron Zook as his coach. Iowa isn't the same team away from Kinnick stadium going just 9-9 their last 18 road games Another huge factor is Florida is +18 in turnover margin while Iowa is -3 in turnover margin. Tough to go against Ferentz as his teams typically have cashed for me in bowl games going 3-1 ATS. However, the Gators have a nice little incentive to play well called revenge and Florida should win by at least a FG.
Prediction: Florida 27 Iowa 17
Alabama +3.5 for 10*. Okay, the Alabama offense isn't the best and if the Tide fall behind early, then they could be in big trouble. Croyle is a smart QB who had 13 TD's and just 4 INT's this year. Alabama should be able to run the ball with Darby (1,100+ yards rushing) against a somewhat suspect TT defense that allowed 168 yards rushing per game and TT only recorded 17 sacks all year. Alabama ranked #1 nationally giving up just 10.7 points per game and they were #2 in yards allowed giving up just 248 per game
Texas Tech was just 1-3 ATS away from Lubbock and they were very lucky to beat OU and lost to Okie State @ the end of the year. I'll gladly take the much better defensive team getting over a FG.
Prediction: Alabama 24 Texas Tech 17
Va Tech -8 for 8*... Definately not one of my favorite plays. Vick's poor play late in the season has me wondering whether the Hokies can cover a 9-point spread. However, it's tough to back Louisville with a backup QB Cantwell making just his 2nd start and Louisville was a money burning 1-4 ATS on the road this season. Another factor making me hesitate on playing Va Tech is NO team laying over 7 points has covered this bowl season. I have to think Va Tech with their 9-3 record ATS this season has the bully mentality to cover. Va Tech was #1 nationally allowing just 240 yards per game and they have the horses to stop Bush. Va Tech only gave up 16 TD's all season and allowed just 12 points per game.
Prediction: Va Tech 35-17
Wisconsin +10.5 for 8*. Another tough game to handicap as Wisky isn't very good defensively and the Tigers were 8-2 ATS this season. Alvarez is coaching his final game and should have his boys ready to play. I like Calhoun and expect him to have a decent game against a solid Auburn defense. IMO, the passing games are fairly comparable and I expect the Badgers to give a maximum effort to send Alvarez out a winner. Wisconsin is also +12 in turnover magin while Auburn is -3.
Prediction: Auburn 27-24
Notre Dame +5 for 8*. I know Ohio State is far superior defensively, but I think the Irish have the offense to keep the backdoor open all game. Notre Dame's only losses were by 3 points in OT vs. Michigan State and the nail biter vs. USC. Notre Dame was 4-0 ATS as a Dog this year and they were 5-0 away from home.
Prediction: Ohio State 28-27
West Virginia +7 for 8*. Very tough to go against the Bulldogs in Atlanta, but the Mountaineers have a lot of speed with White (almost 500 yards rushing the last 3 games) and Slaton (16 TD's and has great 4.4 speed). West Virginia should be able to run the ball as they finished 5th nationally averaging about 260 yards per game. West Virigina also has a good defense and IMO they matchup fairly well with Georgia. Mountaineers were also 8-2 ATS and they ranked #11 in total defense.
Prediction: West Virginia 24 Georgia 23
Recap:
Florida -1 for 10*
Alabama +3.5 for 10*
Va Tech -8 for 8*
Wisky +10.5 for 8*
Notre Dame +5 for 8*
West Virginia +7 for 8*
Great games to watch, but tough games to cap IMO. Hopefully I can go 4-2 or
5-1 with these plays.
GLTA and Happy New Year! :mj14: :clap:
Florida -1 for 10*. Florida got their asses kicked by Iowa 37-17 in the 2004 Outback Bowl. Leak was a freshman and had the worthless Ron Zook as his coach. Iowa isn't the same team away from Kinnick stadium going just 9-9 their last 18 road games Another huge factor is Florida is +18 in turnover margin while Iowa is -3 in turnover margin. Tough to go against Ferentz as his teams typically have cashed for me in bowl games going 3-1 ATS. However, the Gators have a nice little incentive to play well called revenge and Florida should win by at least a FG.
Prediction: Florida 27 Iowa 17
Alabama +3.5 for 10*. Okay, the Alabama offense isn't the best and if the Tide fall behind early, then they could be in big trouble. Croyle is a smart QB who had 13 TD's and just 4 INT's this year. Alabama should be able to run the ball with Darby (1,100+ yards rushing) against a somewhat suspect TT defense that allowed 168 yards rushing per game and TT only recorded 17 sacks all year. Alabama ranked #1 nationally giving up just 10.7 points per game and they were #2 in yards allowed giving up just 248 per game
Texas Tech was just 1-3 ATS away from Lubbock and they were very lucky to beat OU and lost to Okie State @ the end of the year. I'll gladly take the much better defensive team getting over a FG.
Prediction: Alabama 24 Texas Tech 17
Va Tech -8 for 8*... Definately not one of my favorite plays. Vick's poor play late in the season has me wondering whether the Hokies can cover a 9-point spread. However, it's tough to back Louisville with a backup QB Cantwell making just his 2nd start and Louisville was a money burning 1-4 ATS on the road this season. Another factor making me hesitate on playing Va Tech is NO team laying over 7 points has covered this bowl season. I have to think Va Tech with their 9-3 record ATS this season has the bully mentality to cover. Va Tech was #1 nationally allowing just 240 yards per game and they have the horses to stop Bush. Va Tech only gave up 16 TD's all season and allowed just 12 points per game.
Prediction: Va Tech 35-17
Wisconsin +10.5 for 8*. Another tough game to handicap as Wisky isn't very good defensively and the Tigers were 8-2 ATS this season. Alvarez is coaching his final game and should have his boys ready to play. I like Calhoun and expect him to have a decent game against a solid Auburn defense. IMO, the passing games are fairly comparable and I expect the Badgers to give a maximum effort to send Alvarez out a winner. Wisconsin is also +12 in turnover magin while Auburn is -3.
Prediction: Auburn 27-24
Notre Dame +5 for 8*. I know Ohio State is far superior defensively, but I think the Irish have the offense to keep the backdoor open all game. Notre Dame's only losses were by 3 points in OT vs. Michigan State and the nail biter vs. USC. Notre Dame was 4-0 ATS as a Dog this year and they were 5-0 away from home.
Prediction: Ohio State 28-27
West Virginia +7 for 8*. Very tough to go against the Bulldogs in Atlanta, but the Mountaineers have a lot of speed with White (almost 500 yards rushing the last 3 games) and Slaton (16 TD's and has great 4.4 speed). West Virginia should be able to run the ball as they finished 5th nationally averaging about 260 yards per game. West Virigina also has a good defense and IMO they matchup fairly well with Georgia. Mountaineers were also 8-2 ATS and they ranked #11 in total defense.
Prediction: West Virginia 24 Georgia 23
Recap:
Florida -1 for 10*
Alabama +3.5 for 10*
Va Tech -8 for 8*
Wisky +10.5 for 8*
Notre Dame +5 for 8*
West Virginia +7 for 8*
Great games to watch, but tough games to cap IMO. Hopefully I can go 4-2 or
5-1 with these plays.
GLTA and Happy New Year! :mj14: :clap:
