plays for 10/13-10/15

[AR182]

am 3-2 on 10* so far this year & will play this:

10*texas-13.5(148)--tex. tech offense is impressively averaging 7.2 yds. per play vs. teams that allow 5.9 yds. per play. but if you look closer at their stats, you will notice that tt is padding their stats vs. teams that don't defend the pass that well. tex. tech has faced two teams that are better than average in defending the pass(new mex. & missouri) & tt has averaged only 5.9 yppl vs. these two teams. this is about 1 yppl better than the 4.9 yppl that n. mex. & missouri allow on defense. texas defense allows an average of 4.5 yppl on defense vs. teams that average 5.5 yppl on offense. tex. is also very good vs. the pass. they allow 4.9 yds. per pass play vs. teams that average 6.2 yppp on offense. under qb, young, tex. has picked up it's production on offense in the last 5 games. they are averaging 6.7 yppl vs. teams that allow an average of 5.4 yppl on defense. tt defense allows 6.2 yppl on defense to teams that average just 5.3 yppl on offense. tex. tech has allowed an average of 44 points, 566 total yards & 7.3 yppl to better than aveage offenses vs. new mexico, nc state, miss., tex. a & m, ok. state, & missouri. these teams average 5.9 yppl on offense during this season.

a few trends that support this play: texas is 10-0 ats in the last 10 years in their home finales & 16-1 ats in its last 17 revenge wins against opponents off a win.

this is the type of opponent that mack brown usually feasts on.
i see a final score of 55-24 texas.

good luck

 

[gardenweasel]

glad to see

glad to see

you `re also on this.....revenge...texas winning the last 2 at home by 30 and 40 points....just a huge talent gap....particularly on defense....g.l.

 

[AR182]

3*under 49.5(-150)--line just jumped to 47.5 & will be suckered into taking the under.

good luck

 

[ND2002HORNS]

GL this weekend! Really like the Texas play, I will be adding later on.

HORNS

 

[AR182]

a few for sat.:

3*fla. st.-13(-120)--under bowden, fsu is 27-3-1 ats the next week after scoring 25 points or less points, while averaging 42 points in those games.nc st. is weak in pass defense.they allow 7 yds. per pass play this year vs. teams that average 6.4 yds. ppp on offense. fla. st. averages 7.5 yppp on offense vs. teams that allow 6.4 yppp on defense. on offense ncst. averages 8.2 yppp vs. teams that allow 6.2 yppp on defense.fsu allows 4.5 yppp on defense vs. teams that average 5.9 yppp on offense. also fsu allows 4 yprp vs. teams that average 4.4 yprp on offense, so they should keep ncst. running attack under some control.
a few trends that support this play: fsu is 8-0 ats in its last home games of the season, 8-0 ats in its last 8 su revenge wins & 10-1 ats in its last 11 acc home finales. they are 17-1 ats in games they win straight up off a loss vs. an opponent off a win, including 9-0 ats at home.

4*fresno st.-13(130)--san jose st. is not as good as people think on offense. they average only 5 yppp on offense vs. teams that allow an average of 5.5 yppp on defense. but against teams with better than average defenses( fla.,stanford, boise st., & hawaii), sjst. is averaging only 3.3 yppp, while scoring an average of 12 points in those games.statistically, fresno st's. defense is comparable to those teams. on defense sjst.'s defense allows an awful 8.3 yppp this season vs. teams that average 6 yppp on offense. it is hard to gage fresno's offense this season, because highly thought of qb, pinegar was out injured for most of the year. but he has been back for the last few games & the fsu offense is getting stronger each week since his return. they will have no problem scoring against this weak sjst. defense & will hold sjst. mediocre offense in check.


good luck

 

[ajoytoy]

gl this weekend AR!!!

 

[AR182]

playing these early games. some of them i played early in the week:


4*penn. st.-17(138)--penn state is 10-2 ats in their last 12 home finales. also indiana has never won a road game under their coach dinardo & have covered only 3 of their last 29 su losses.

3*miss. st.+25(140)--tenn, is off of one of the biggest upsets this year & are 0-5 ats & 1-4 su at home this year. they are outgaining their oppostion this year by only .3 yards per play

3*n. car.+11.5(128)--gt offense not good enough to lay this many points.

a few unders--am 33-18-1 so far this year in college totals.i use a system that has been working so i will try a few more:

4*under 52(150)stanford/oregon st.

4*under 63(148) missouri/tex. a & M

4*under 53.5(108) syr./miami fla.--bet this sunday nite. think miami will play a somewhat conservative game with a new qb.

3*under 56(150)wisc./mich. st.


good luck

 

[AR182]

adding:

4*iowa st.+8

good luck

 

[AR182]

adding:

4*nevada+5

4*under 56.5 calif./wash


good luck

 

[boilermaker]

Go get em today AR.