ytd 33-20 +1860
no plays last week except the 2nd half under in the gb game.
MIA/TBu 35 220/200
Wasn't going to play it when it opened at 33.5 but now at 35 at sia (34.5 most others) I will. TB is #1 in overall defense and Miami is 4th. TB and Miami also #1 and 2 in rush defense, respectively (both allow 2.8 ypr). Neither offense is that great (both avg around 320 yds per game) and the QB's are avg at best, imo. Return of Ricky and Caddy's status are not much of a concern to me as I really dont expect either offense to be very succesfull regardless.
NO +6 (+100) 200/200
Falcon's look to be in a flat spot here: home off a close loss to the champs and a monday nighter up next. No question saints run defense will be put to the test. Still. they are only giving up a respectable 309 yds per game compared to Falcons 336. Loss of Deuce will hurt but I still think this is a good spot for the saints. Atlanta's safeties looked pretty bad last week, even though that was vs Brady and the pats. Even with Joe Horn questionable I think saints can have some success thru the airI also love the trend Mr. Christo posted about home dogs off a 21+ pt ats loss. If Falcons win I think its by 4 or less.
OAK +2 220/200
Chargers off a close loss to the steelers and a short week and Oakland has had 2 weeks to prepare for this one. Both teams avg'ing right at 341 yds on offense. Oakland is giving up 40 more yds on defense but have been strong vs the run and are at home. SD also in a bit of a let down spot off a monday nighter vs Steelers (win vs patriots before that..revenge game vs eli/nyg before that) and Philly up next.
Will definitely have more posted later but wanted to get these in now. Saints line may move against me but it started at 4.5 and getting the 6 at +100 now. Leans to CHI-3 and under 37.5, PIT under 34.5, DET under 42. gl to all today!
no plays last week except the 2nd half under in the gb game.
MIA/TBu 35 220/200
Wasn't going to play it when it opened at 33.5 but now at 35 at sia (34.5 most others) I will. TB is #1 in overall defense and Miami is 4th. TB and Miami also #1 and 2 in rush defense, respectively (both allow 2.8 ypr). Neither offense is that great (both avg around 320 yds per game) and the QB's are avg at best, imo. Return of Ricky and Caddy's status are not much of a concern to me as I really dont expect either offense to be very succesfull regardless.
NO +6 (+100) 200/200
Falcon's look to be in a flat spot here: home off a close loss to the champs and a monday nighter up next. No question saints run defense will be put to the test. Still. they are only giving up a respectable 309 yds per game compared to Falcons 336. Loss of Deuce will hurt but I still think this is a good spot for the saints. Atlanta's safeties looked pretty bad last week, even though that was vs Brady and the pats. Even with Joe Horn questionable I think saints can have some success thru the airI also love the trend Mr. Christo posted about home dogs off a 21+ pt ats loss. If Falcons win I think its by 4 or less.
OAK +2 220/200
Chargers off a close loss to the steelers and a short week and Oakland has had 2 weeks to prepare for this one. Both teams avg'ing right at 341 yds on offense. Oakland is giving up 40 more yds on defense but have been strong vs the run and are at home. SD also in a bit of a let down spot off a monday nighter vs Steelers (win vs patriots before that..revenge game vs eli/nyg before that) and Philly up next.
Will definitely have more posted later but wanted to get these in now. Saints line may move against me but it started at 4.5 and getting the 6 at +100 now. Leans to CHI-3 and under 37.5, PIT under 34.5, DET under 42. gl to all today!
