plays for 10/3-10/4

AR182

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Forum Member
Nov 9, 2000
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Scottsdale,AZ
came down to earth last week by going 2-4 -3.65*

season record......

nfl 13-11 +3.91*
nflx 14-12 +4.86*


5*jax.+4.5(120)...............

i think that there is a misconception that jax., this year doesn't have a good offense. i know it's based on their lack of scoring in their first 3 games.
but jax. faced 3 of the top defenses in the league in buffalo (who may have the best defense), denver(who may have one of the top 5 defenses in the league), & tenn.(who may be in the top 10 defenses in the league).

but they did what they had to win all of these games.

i think jax. controls the line of scrimmage on both sides of the ball.indy's defense is light, & made for artificial turf & will be pushed around.i see jax.trying & succeeding in controlling the clock.

on defense, jax. has proven that it is very difficult to run on, so i think manning will be in alot of 2nd & 3rd & long situations.the grass field will also be a hindurance to indy's offense.

a few angles & trends that support this play......

game 4 undefeated home teams are 14-0 ats laying less than 4 pts.or getting pts.vs. a team with a winning % of >.500

road teams are 43-84-6 (33.8%) ats if they scored 31 pts. or more & won in each of the previous 2 weeks.

play against - road favorites of 3.5 to 10 points (indy) - with a good offense - averaging 335 or more total yards/game, after gaining 450 or more total yards in their previous game.

since 1994.....22-4 ats.....84.6%

good luck.
 
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