so. miss(-2)--i agree with those who say that tcu is not a legitimate bcs team. eventhough tcu is 10-0 this year, 6 of those games were won by 7 points or less, with 5 of them being won by 3 points. people may say that these close scores indicate that they know how how to win close games, but considering the quality of their opponents, to me it shows that they are not as good as the record indicates, especially on the road. as a visitor, tcu barely beat tulane, arizona, so. fla., & houston. none of these teams compare to so. miss. a stat site that i use rates the power rating of tcu's competition as a very ordinary 22.9, while rating so. miss. competition as 29.2.
on the road this year tcu's defense is yielding 27.5 ppg & a very poor 8.2 ypa.
the reason that so. miss. offense struggled ealier this year was because the first few games were against very good defenses & they were breaking in a new qb.but their qb, almond, has performed very well in the last few games & will have enough confidense to do well against tcu's vulernable pass defense.
at home this year, sm scores an average of 28 ppg, & gives up an average of 13 ppg on defense. their defense has given up an excellent 5.8 ypa & 23.5 yppt.
a few trends that support this play---teams that are 7-0 or better are 85-115-4 ats in road games over the years, & 24-50-2 ats if visiting a team on a winning streak, including 15-40-2 ats if the unbeaten visitor does not have a revenge motive( including 0-11 ats since 2000). last year tcu gave so. miss. their worst conference loss ever, 37-7.
the forum has talked about an unranked team favored over a ranked team being a good winning propostion. i have read, at another forum, that this year the ats record is 15-2 ( losses were tcu beating a favored so. fla. & miss. beating a favored auburn).
imo, after tonights game the bcs will not have to worry about tcu disrupting their system.
good luck
on the road this year tcu's defense is yielding 27.5 ppg & a very poor 8.2 ypa.
the reason that so. miss. offense struggled ealier this year was because the first few games were against very good defenses & they were breaking in a new qb.but their qb, almond, has performed very well in the last few games & will have enough confidense to do well against tcu's vulernable pass defense.
at home this year, sm scores an average of 28 ppg, & gives up an average of 13 ppg on defense. their defense has given up an excellent 5.8 ypa & 23.5 yppt.
a few trends that support this play---teams that are 7-0 or better are 85-115-4 ats in road games over the years, & 24-50-2 ats if visiting a team on a winning streak, including 15-40-2 ats if the unbeaten visitor does not have a revenge motive( including 0-11 ats since 2000). last year tcu gave so. miss. their worst conference loss ever, 37-7.
the forum has talked about an unranked team favored over a ranked team being a good winning propostion. i have read, at another forum, that this year the ats record is 15-2 ( losses were tcu beating a favored so. fla. & miss. beating a favored auburn).
imo, after tonights game the bcs will not have to worry about tcu disrupting their system.
good luck
