plays for 11/4-11/8

A

AR182

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4*under 64(-144)bg/miami-oh.--when thinking about these two teams, most people will talk about their explosive offenses.but they both have pretty good defenses. bg is ranked nationally #13 in scoring defense allowing 16 ppg. & they are ranked 19th in total defense. miami also has a decent defense & yield an average of 18.6 ppg. they allow 3.1 ypc & allow a 50% completion rate with 13 ints.
i think the combined total scored tonite will be in the high 40's to mid 50's.


good luck
 
G

gman2

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great call buddy. both defenses came to play. really never in doubt. yeah there were some turnovers that could have led to more points, but still wouldnt haev threatened 64. this game would have had 50-56 at most. nice job and continued success
 
A

AR182

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thanks for the kudos, guys.

i liked louisville when i first looked at the line on tonights game. but now i'm not sure about louisville. i saw that half of tcu's 8 wins have been decided by 3 points so i decided to play both sides of the game.

2*louisville+4(-140)
2*tcu-1(-118)

good luck
 
gardenweasel

gardenweasel

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bump

bump

:D i bumped this around is minutes ago....surprised you aren`t getting a little more love for basically hitting this thing on the nose......i was gonna ride but i just don`t like playing these individual night games....

excellent job.....
 
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A

AR182

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gw & horns, thanks for the props, but obviously was lucky to hit the middle. but as the saying goes--rather be lucky then good.


2*utah st.-1(-128)--usu has dominated this series at las cruces, going 11-1 su & 10-2 ats.nms does not have that bad of an offense, averaging 5.6 yppl against teams that allow an average of 5.7 yppl on defense.. they should struggle vs. a good usu defense that's allowed an average of 4.7 yppl on defense to teams that average 5.1 yppl on offense. usu's defense has held utah, nebraska, & n. mexico all to 5.0 yppl or less. usu's offense has been less than steller this season averaging just 5.0 yppl on offense vs. teams that allow a combined average of 5.5 yppl on defense, but have significantly improved to 5.8 yppl in their last 4 games vs. teams that allow 5.8 yppl on defense.nms allows an average of 5.6 yppl on defense to teams that average 5.1 yppl on offense combined.
here is a trend that supports this play--play against a bad or mediocre team that lost straight up as a big home favorite the week before & now is a home dog. the ats record for teams in that situation is 6-44 ats.

good luck
 
A

AR182

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will take:

4*under 49(-148)--with ark. coming off last weeks marathon & so. carolina making a dramatic comeback last week vs. miss., only to fall short, plus a short week, means to me that they both will be flat, which imo spells a low scoring game.(that was the longest sentence in history-lol)


good luck
 
T

TORONTO-VIGILANTE

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"...Quo fas et gloria ducunt..."
AR182 said:
thanks for the kudos, guys.

i liked louisville when i first looked at the line on tonights game. but now i'm not sure about louisville. i saw that half of tcu's 8 wins have been decided by 3 points so i decided to play both sides of the game.

2*louisville+4(-140)
2*tcu-1(-118)

good luck
Click to expand...

chit man, great job!!!!

don't see too many plays like that in this forum.....let alone HITTING THEM.
:thumb: :clap: :hail
 
A

AR182

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a few plays this weekend:

4*auburn-6.5(-138)--imo, auburn is going to do the opposite of what they normally do to beat miss. their going to use the pass to set up the run.the reason why i say this is because miss. has a very pourous pass defense & a pretty good run defense. and auburn's qb,campbell has played alot better in his last 6 games, then he played in the first few games this year. he has been very good especially against teams with a below average pass defense, averaging 9.1 yppp in games against Vanderbilt, Miss State, and Monroe (who combine to allow 7.6 yppp on defense for the season). Mississippi has surrendered 7.5 yppp this season to teams that combine to average 6.4 yppp on offense.imo, miss. is an overrated team. they beat alabama, who was playing with their #3 qb, & they beat arkansas, who was playing without their top 3 running backs. miss. is also playing their 7th consecutive week & will face the #9 rated defense in the country in auburn. auburn has won 3 straight from miss. & here is a technical stat to support this play:road teams with revenge, off 3 or more home games, are 20-36-1 ats in game 10 or later.
this game also features an unranked team(auburn) favored over a ranked team(miss.#20)& so far this trend has done very well.

2*la. tech.-19(-130)--la tech is averaging 43 ppg in its last 28 home games.smu is 3-41-1 ats when it allows 28 or more points.

2*idaho-1(-130)
2*ark. st.+3.5(148)

good luck
 
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AR182

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since i hit 2 in row in totals this week, tonight i'll play:


2*under 59.5 (-148)-- Colorado State is averaging 37.5 points in their last 4 games, but those games were vs. Fresno State, BYU, Air Force, and Wyoming, not one good defense among them. They now are now facing a New Mexico dwefense that allows only 20.7 points per game. Most impressively, the Lobos only allow 74.9 rushing yards per game or 2.4 yards per carry. This will make it difficult on a Rams offense that prides itself on running a balanced attack. Similarly, the Colorado State defense is probably the best defense that New Mexico has seen all year. The Lobos have scored 30 points or more in 4 consecutive games, but they now face a defense that is allowing 24.1 points per game, including just 23.0 points per contest on the road.


good luck
 
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