yesterday 2-1 +115
ytd 16-12 +690
CWS/DET under 9.5 (-115) 115/100
Not much to say here. Sox could get this one over by themselves but until Detroit starts scoring runs will give it a try. Comerica a pretty good pitchers' park and as horrible as Cornejo is he has pitched just below avg (that's good for him) at home. Listed ump was 13-21 o/u last yr and pretty even the 2 yrs before that.
STL +105 vs HOU 100/105
Risky play with W. Williams getting his start pushed back due to a stiff neck and STL's horrible bullpen #'s. Perhaps this will bring out the best in Williams as he was obviously tired of questioning all offseason whether he was healthy or not. Now with everyone thinking "here we go again" hopefully he will pitch his A game as they may need it w/ the bloated bullpen era. Redding pitched well in his last start vs STL. But it should be noted that Pujols, Edmonds, and Marrero were all out of the lineup. Edmonds has hit Houston better than any other team in his career.
BAL +180 VS BOS (game2) 100/180
Lopez didn't pitch so well last start vs Bos but I will still back him at a nice price. While his career home #'s are better than his road #'s he does have a 2.84era/.186bavg against in 19IP at fenway. He also has better #'s at nite: 3.45era/.229bavg at nite to 6.75/.327bavg during the day. Wakefield looks like he has pitched better during the day: 3.24era/.227 day to 4.73/.265 bavg at nite. Would love to see Boston's pen in early in game 1 but that is doubtful with Pedro going. He still shouldn't pitch more than 7 innings at best.
Have leans to KC under8.5. Sabathia's injury and Chris George's horrible day #'s are the only things shying me away as it looks like KC's bats have cooled down. Also like the SD over8 but only thing scaring me off that is Jenning's excellent road #'s and the listed ump is a pretty consistent under ump the last 3 yrs. Will post them here if I do add either. Any thoughts or comments on any of these games are welcome. gl to all today!
ytd 16-12 +690
CWS/DET under 9.5 (-115) 115/100
Not much to say here. Sox could get this one over by themselves but until Detroit starts scoring runs will give it a try. Comerica a pretty good pitchers' park and as horrible as Cornejo is he has pitched just below avg (that's good for him) at home. Listed ump was 13-21 o/u last yr and pretty even the 2 yrs before that.
STL +105 vs HOU 100/105
Risky play with W. Williams getting his start pushed back due to a stiff neck and STL's horrible bullpen #'s. Perhaps this will bring out the best in Williams as he was obviously tired of questioning all offseason whether he was healthy or not. Now with everyone thinking "here we go again" hopefully he will pitch his A game as they may need it w/ the bloated bullpen era. Redding pitched well in his last start vs STL. But it should be noted that Pujols, Edmonds, and Marrero were all out of the lineup. Edmonds has hit Houston better than any other team in his career.
BAL +180 VS BOS (game2) 100/180
Lopez didn't pitch so well last start vs Bos but I will still back him at a nice price. While his career home #'s are better than his road #'s he does have a 2.84era/.186bavg against in 19IP at fenway. He also has better #'s at nite: 3.45era/.229bavg at nite to 6.75/.327bavg during the day. Wakefield looks like he has pitched better during the day: 3.24era/.227 day to 4.73/.265 bavg at nite. Would love to see Boston's pen in early in game 1 but that is doubtful with Pedro going. He still shouldn't pitch more than 7 innings at best.
Have leans to KC under8.5. Sabathia's injury and Chris George's horrible day #'s are the only things shying me away as it looks like KC's bats have cooled down. Also like the SD over8 but only thing scaring me off that is Jenning's excellent road #'s and the listed ump is a pretty consistent under ump the last 3 yrs. Will post them here if I do add either. Any thoughts or comments on any of these games are welcome. gl to all today!
