Plays for 4.22.03

[CrazyHorse]

sunday 1-0 +165
ytd 27-25 +626

stl +138 vs atl 100/138

Mostly playing on Stephenson's #'s vs atl as he is a career 4-4/3.03era/.233 bavg vs atl. His #'s at turner field are almost as good and his home/road splits are pretty even. Ortiz a career 1-3/5.16era/1.83whip vs STL. Bullpen also favors stl as they have pitched even better in their last 3.

sd +145 vs chc 100/145

Will continue to back Lawrence until I don't see enough value. He has pitched well in every outing this yr and don't see that changing vs the cubs undisciplined hitters. Zambrano a good pitcher but a career 4.61era/.249 bavg against at wrigley compared to 3.18era/.230 bavg against on the road. And Lawrence's #'s are actually better on the road and he has pitched well in limited innings vs chc. Hopefully Sammy will be a little tenative in his 1st game back from getting beaned in the helmet. sd bullpen a concern but cubs bullpen not pitching to well either.

have leans to hou+105/phi over 9/cin+110/..any thoughts or comments are welcomed. gl to all today!

 

[CrazyHorse]

adding

hou +105 vs nym 100/105

I like what I have seen from Redding, even though he has no wins yet. Cone has not pitched well in his last 2 although both were on the road. Might pitch better at home but even still Hou hitting .265 to mets .229 and hou has the clear bullpen advantage.

cin +115 vs lad 100/115

ishii has pitched very well in his last 2 and both those were at home. career home/road splits are .205 bavg against home to .273 against away. Dodgers still not hitting the ball that well. Wilson has a career home 3.91era/.257 bavg against to 5.80/.289 road. Even though Cincy isn't hitting for a great avg this yr I feel they have more slugger type hitters than la to take advantage of their ballpark in this series. Ishii does issue alot of walks so hopefully if Cincy does get a hr or 2 it will be w/ men on base.

lad/cin over 9.5 (-105) 53/50

col/phi over 9 (-120) 60/50

 

[slvrblet]

GOOD LUCK WITH YOUR WELL THOUGHT OUT PICKS

 

[Kdogg21]

Agree with you on the Cubs game. they dont play as well on night games either. Wind might be blowing out though tonight though. good luck Crazy

 

[MACH1]

Ya gotta love those road Dogs!! :thumb:

 

[countinguy]

GL Crzy