boston college+13(-120)---bc has won an amazing 14 in a row ats in big east home games. they are 10-1 ats at home with revenge in its last 11 games & are 6-0 ats in conference home openers, under obrien. miami ia 1-6 ats in last 7 on big east road.the last 2 times miami played at bc, miami won 18-7 & 31-28, but didn't cover.
bc is capable of slowing the game down with rb knight(149 ypg rushing) running behind a huge off. line vs. a miami def. that is allowing 4.76 ypc.
fla. exposed a few holes in miami's team & if bc qb continues to improve, feel bc can pull an upset.
indiana+10(-130)---don't think kentucky is good enough at this stage to lay large points on the road. the many coaching changes over the last few years has made it difficult to build any offensive continuity. kentucky def. has been very soft vs. the run allowing 255 ypg(5.2 ypr) vs. 2 div. 1a schools it has faced. although iu is not in louisville or alabama's class, feel with fr. runner green-ellis will allow iu to exploit this weakness to keep the game close.
in its last 15 meetings between these 2 rivalries, kentucky has won only once by more than 12 points.
one last thing that makes me like this play:kent. is in a alabama/florida sandwich, while iu is off next week.
arizona+10(-128)---think that iowa is over valued for this game. they were basically out played by miami oh., but won 21-3 because of turnovers. last week iu only had 10 fd's vs. a rival that they were desperately seeking revenge & was outgained by 147 yds. by iowa state.
asu has been saving their playbook for this game & with qb walter throwing to a dangerous group of wr's vs. an iowa 2ndary depleted with the absence of key safety, sanders, feel that asu can keep this game close or win out right.
idaho+28(-130)---wash. is one of the nations worst favorites, are 6-17-2 ats as favorites, including just one cover in last 10 as favorites.
new idaho defense, which plays lots of 2 deep zones, forces teams to dink & dunk downfield & has helped them cover games vs. wash. st. & boise.
also back door potential exists vs. a favorite that might be more interested in next week's pac-10 opener.
more to follow.
good luck
bc is capable of slowing the game down with rb knight(149 ypg rushing) running behind a huge off. line vs. a miami def. that is allowing 4.76 ypc.
fla. exposed a few holes in miami's team & if bc qb continues to improve, feel bc can pull an upset.
indiana+10(-130)---don't think kentucky is good enough at this stage to lay large points on the road. the many coaching changes over the last few years has made it difficult to build any offensive continuity. kentucky def. has been very soft vs. the run allowing 255 ypg(5.2 ypr) vs. 2 div. 1a schools it has faced. although iu is not in louisville or alabama's class, feel with fr. runner green-ellis will allow iu to exploit this weakness to keep the game close.
in its last 15 meetings between these 2 rivalries, kentucky has won only once by more than 12 points.
one last thing that makes me like this play:kent. is in a alabama/florida sandwich, while iu is off next week.
arizona+10(-128)---think that iowa is over valued for this game. they were basically out played by miami oh., but won 21-3 because of turnovers. last week iu only had 10 fd's vs. a rival that they were desperately seeking revenge & was outgained by 147 yds. by iowa state.
asu has been saving their playbook for this game & with qb walter throwing to a dangerous group of wr's vs. an iowa 2ndary depleted with the absence of key safety, sanders, feel that asu can keep this game close or win out right.
idaho+28(-130)---wash. is one of the nations worst favorites, are 6-17-2 ats as favorites, including just one cover in last 10 as favorites.
new idaho defense, which plays lots of 2 deep zones, forces teams to dink & dunk downfield & has helped them cover games vs. wash. st. & boise.
also back door potential exists vs. a favorite that might be more interested in next week's pac-10 opener.
more to follow.
good luck
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