Rested Buffalo (7-1-1 ATS off a bye) has covered eight of its last 11 as a home chalk and it will cover this field goal or so spread this afternoon against a Green Bay team team that is only 2-6-1 ATS in its last nine non-conference games. This is only Buffalo's fourth home game of the year and they haven't won since a five-point home win and cover over visiting Minnesota in Week 4. This team is hungry for a win and they'll get it against a Green Bay team that has a depleted receiving corp and three inexperienced starting offensive linemen. Oh, and Green Bay is playing on artificial turf and they traditionally don't play well on such a surface. They've also got injury issues at the running back position and Buffalo (14th in the league in total defense) will be jacked up to perform after a less-than stellar effort in their loss to New England before the bye.
QB J.P. Losman has improved this year and is completing almost 62 percent of his passes. He's made some crucial mistakes at times this year, but he'll be fresh and ready to make plays against this Green Bay secondary that ranks dead last in the league versus the pass. GB gives up a lot of receptions to running backs and Willis McGahee is due for a big game. Green Bay has posted back-to-back wins over two of the league's bigger disappointments (Arizona and Miami), but they'll go down today against a Buffalo team that's desperate for a win. Dick Jauron will have his team ready and Buffalo will this game by seven-to-10 points.