I bet KC before the season started to win the AFC... 40 to win 128....
What do I do on next week?s game?
Thanks!
What do I do on next week?s game?
Thanks!
Please Help?Hedge
- Thread starter Ruck21
- Start date
If you're worried about a $40 outlay to only win $128 I would advise finding a new hobby.
If money is a concern then just take tenn ml at +270 (similar to your kc bet) for $40 and figure you'll net about $80....and then find a new hobby.
If money is a concern then just take tenn ml at +270 (similar to your kc bet) for $40 and figure you'll net about $80....and then find a new hobby.
If he asked for help then it's not $40 ok.. whatever a member in here asked for help or advice then there are good expert will share the experience to help each others..
That's the way I think...
I believe KC will win.. 👈
take #3
It's a matter of personal preference. There will be few times when not hedging a position is a bad idea. That is never the case when you're talking 3-to-1, imo.
If you really want to get out of the bet, best thing would be to find somebody who wants the Chiefs moneline (might be a few takers out there, somewhere, over the next week) and to sell them your play for 129.57.
I'm seeing Chiefs at -337 so I'll use that here.
If your ticket cashes it's worth 168. Original 40+128 profit.
Someone on the Chiefs moneyline, risking 129.57 will pay 38.45.
Total as close to 168 as I could get it without getting calculator-cramp.
I nixed some blathering on about equity and other bullshit as my mind and fingers aren't seeing eye-to-eye. I'm more used to thinking about hedges for parlays or tournaments, certainly when the payout is much greater than 3-to-1.
I'll reiterate the personal preference notion. Give it some thought. Bunch of options. Risk 14 on Titans at +286 (win 40) to insure no loss on the play. Heck, risk 20 and be insured a little profit, either way. Could do more.
My second choice, personally, would be as sds222 suggested and get the points; would give you a chance for a middle and potentially save you from chipping off some potential profit.
My first choice, personally, would be to do nothing. I'd be licking my lips in anticipation of cashing if I was in your shoes. I might even try a contrarian play on a Derrick Henry prop or two (yardage, rushing TD) as it seems inconceivable that the Titans are going to go into Arrowhead and take down the Chiefs with Henry not being part of that in some way. Good chance to hit both, methinks, but also a chance of missing both. Wouldn't with grabbing the points, where you could also hit both.
You asked.
I hate to say it, but I'm actually wondering if you're kidding, now.
You've been sitting on the play for 4 months, now. Seems like bizarre timing to want to bail from it. Hedge the 14 other side. Or 28 to return 80. Give it some thought. If its not life-changing money then you have nothing to worry about...NOT with a 3-to-1. This holds whether you're talking 40k or $40 (you didn't specify).
It's a matter of personal preference. There will be few times when not hedging a position is a bad idea. That is never the case when you're talking 3-to-1, imo.
If you really want to get out of the bet, best thing would be to find somebody who wants the Chiefs moneline (might be a few takers out there, somewhere, over the next week) and to sell them your play for 129.57.
I'm seeing Chiefs at -337 so I'll use that here.
If your ticket cashes it's worth 168. Original 40+128 profit.
Someone on the Chiefs moneyline, risking 129.57 will pay 38.45.
Total as close to 168 as I could get it without getting calculator-cramp.
I nixed some blathering on about equity and other bullshit as my mind and fingers aren't seeing eye-to-eye. I'm more used to thinking about hedges for parlays or tournaments, certainly when the payout is much greater than 3-to-1.
I'll reiterate the personal preference notion. Give it some thought. Bunch of options. Risk 14 on Titans at +286 (win 40) to insure no loss on the play. Heck, risk 20 and be insured a little profit, either way. Could do more.
My second choice, personally, would be as sds222 suggested and get the points; would give you a chance for a middle and potentially save you from chipping off some potential profit.
My first choice, personally, would be to do nothing. I'd be licking my lips in anticipation of cashing if I was in your shoes. I might even try a contrarian play on a Derrick Henry prop or two (yardage, rushing TD) as it seems inconceivable that the Titans are going to go into Arrowhead and take down the Chiefs with Henry not being part of that in some way. Good chance to hit both, methinks, but also a chance of missing both. Wouldn't with grabbing the points, where you could also hit both.
You asked.
I hate to say it, but I'm actually wondering if you're kidding, now.
You've been sitting on the play for 4 months, now. Seems like bizarre timing to want to bail from it. Hedge the 14 other side. Or 28 to return 80. Give it some thought. If its not life-changing money then you have nothing to worry about...NOT with a 3-to-1. This holds whether you're talking 40k or $40 (you didn't specify).
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Will they win by more than the spread, that is the big question! Thinking about playing for the middle!
Thanks for the input!
Good info! The ?bizarre timing? stems from the failures of Andy Reid this time of year.....
Thanks for the input!
Here's a tougher hedge...
Jan 13 12:03 AM
INTERNET / -1 Aug 18 02:21 PM
PROP
SUPERBOWL LIV EXACT MATCHUP
[43516] PACKERS VS CHIEFS +2500
250 / 6250
No, I do not intend to put 3500 on the SF ML if KC wins. I intend to just let it ride. Go Pack, go!
Too Late
Too Late
Too late...but thanks for the input!
I bet?
Ten ML for 50**
Ten +8 -125 for 12,5**
Chiefs by 7 would be 👍🏻👍🏻👍🏻
And I also bet...
SF to win SB at +140
GL
Too Late
Too late...but thanks for the input!
I bet?
Ten ML for 50**
Ten +8 -125 for 12,5**
Chiefs by 7 would be 👍🏻👍🏻👍🏻
And I also bet...
SF to win SB at +140
GL
