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[CartersCubs]

will the Saints break the single season record for most point in a season?

Yes +200
No -260


-----Here is what I see:

The record was set by the 2007 Patriots (589pts) or 36.81 ppg. Six games into the season the Saints are averaging 39.7ppg. Initially I don't see a ton of value here but then I checked out their remaining schedule.

Home vs. Falcons (Everyone knows that MNF always brings up the points so this game they have a decent shot at the 37pt avg.)

Home vs. Panthers (With turnover happy Jake they shall have good field position and that means lots of pts baby)

@ Rams (Allowing 30.1ppg this season which is 3rd most)

@ Buccs (Allowing 29ppg this season which is 4th most)

Home vs. Pats (tough game and do not see them puting up 37pts)

@ Redskins (terrible team which is turnover prone. No way the saints don't put up atleast 5-6TDs)

@ Falcons (allowing 19ppg thru week 7 but the MNF game should give us a better indication of how many pts the saints can put up on them)

Home vs. Cowgirls (inconsistent and I really think the saints can exploit them just like Eli did in week 1)

Home vs. Buccs (allowing 29ppg which is 4th most in the league)

@ Carolina (With turnover happy Jake they shall have good field position and that means lots of pts baby)



My Prediction:ACTUAL
Home vs. Falcons --- 31pts 35
Home vs. Panthers --- 38pts 30
@ Rams --- 45pts
@ Buccs --- 45pts
Home vs. Pats --- 24pts
@ Redskins --- 42pts
@ Falcons --- 28pts
Home vs. Cowgirls --- 38pts
Home vs. Buccs --- 45pts
@ Carolina --- 38pts

Remaining 10: 374
PLUS Thru 6: 238

Total: 612
-----which is 23pts over the record


So what do you think about this. Am I missing something? I am very tempted my this prop but would really like to hear other opinions about it first.

 

[jr11]

The thing that would concern me is if they continue to win and hold a #1 or 2 spot late in the year the last few games might not really mean much, therefore throttling it down or sitting players. According to your numbers, you have 83 points in the last 2 weeks which might be very hard to get if they keep winning and the above scenario plays out.

jr11

 

[CartersCubs]

The thing that would concern me is if they continue to win and hold a #1 or 2 spot late in the year the last few games might not really mean much, therefore throttling it down or sitting players. According to your numbers, you have 83 points in the last 2 weeks which might be very hard to get if they keep winning and the above scenario plays out.

jr11

very true JR. for them to play that hard for all 16 games they would have to be in a race for home field or be undefeated. If neither of those happen then they will most likely sit starters and lose the last 1-3 games

 

[LDB]

thats a lot of points!

 

[BigFatLooza]

wtf?

 

[REDSKIN]

42 against Washington? The Redskins are 1 of the worst teams in the league but in the first 4 home games they are giving up an average of 10.25 points. The teams that they've played at home have not been very good but you also have to factor in how many pts were given up by Washingtons offense. Philly just scored 13 of their 27 pts on 3 turnovers deep inside Washingtons territory, so the defense only gave up 14 in that game. So without looking at how many pts Jason gave to the other 3 teams, we can say that the Skins D is giving up less than 7ppg at home. I'll def make a side bet with you that says the Saints don't score in the 40's against the Skins defense. Let me know.

 

[utesfootball]

will the Saints break the single season record for most point in a season?

Yes +200
No -260


-----Here is what I see:

The record was set by the 2007 Patriots (589pts) or 36.81 ppg. Six games into the season the Saints are averaging 39.7ppg. Initially I don't see a ton of value here but then I checked out their remaining schedule.

Home vs. Falcons (Everyone knows that MNF always brings up the points so this game they have a decent shot at the 37pt avg.)

Home vs. Panthers (With turnover happy Jake they shall have good field position and that means lots of pts baby)

@ Rams (Allowing 30.1ppg this season which is 3rd most)

@ Buccs (Allowing 29ppg this season which is 4th most)

Home vs. Pats (tough game and do not see them puting up 37pts)

@ Redskins (terrible team which is turnover prone. No way the saints don't put up atleast 5-6TDs)

@ Falcons (allowing 19ppg thru week 7 but the MNF game should give us a better indication of how many pts the saints can put up on them)

Home vs. Cowgirls (inconsistent and I really think the saints can exploit them just like Eli did in week 1)

Home vs. Buccs (allowing 29ppg which is 4th most in the league)

@ Carolina (With turnover happy Jake they shall have good field position and that means lots of pts baby)



My Prediction:
Home vs. Falcons --- 31pts
Home vs. Panthers --- 38pts
@ Rams --- 45pts
@ Buccs --- 45pts
Home vs. Pats --- 24pts
@ Redskins --- 42pts
@ Falcons --- 28pts
Home vs. Cowgirls --- 38pts
Home vs. Buccs --- 45pts
@ Carolina --- 38pts

Remaining 10: 374
PLUS Thru 6: 238

Total: 612
-----which is 23pts over the record


So what do you think about this. Am I missing something? I am very tempted my this prop but would really like to hear other opinions about it first.

Stupid prop for you to play. If you think they will score that many points in their remaining games, (and I think you are nuts), then why would you not just take the over in every game? You have them maybe staying under in 2 games and the rest all going over..( again, I think you are nuts), So use the martingale system and bet the overs if you are that confident in your numbers.

 

[utesfootball]

By the way, if you need a bookie call me....I will take your action on all these!

 

[CartersCubs]

42 against Washington? The Redskins are 1 of the worst teams in the league but in the first 4 home games they are giving up an average of 10.25 points. The teams that they've played at home have not been very good but you also have to factor in how many pts were given up by Washingtons offense. Philly just scored 13 of their 27 pts on 3 turnovers deep inside Washingtons territory, so the defense only gave up 14 in that game. So without looking at how many pts Jason gave to the other 3 teams, we can say that the Skins D is giving up less than 7ppg at home. I'll def make a side bet with you that says the Saints don't score in the 40's against the Skins defense. Let me know.

the skins have yet to play a decent offense. not a good one, a DECENT one.

 

[CartersCubs]

Stupid prop for you to play. If you think they will score that many points in their remaining games, (and I think you are nuts), then why would you not just take the over in every game? You have them maybe staying under in 2 games and the rest all going over..( again, I think you are nuts), So use the martingale system and bet the overs if you are that confident in your numbers.

ok first of all I have not bet on this prop i am simply giving my opinion on how their season might turn out when comparing it to the 07 pats. And as for the huge amount of pts let me show u a little more of what I saw.

Atlanta just last week game up 37pts @ Dallas (I have the saints scoring 31)

Carolina in their last 2 games have given up 20pts to Buffalo and 21 to Tampa Bay. I don't think 38 would be out of reach for the Saints here if those 2 trash teams could score 20+ against them.

St.Louis just gave up 42 to Indy which should be pretty comparable to what the Saints should be able to put up on those terrible Rams.

Tampa Bay just gave up 37 to New England and i don't think 1 more TD is out of the Saints reach.

New England allowed 21 at home against the Ravens offense so I don't think 24 would be out of reach for the Saints.

Washington (hahaha) has yet to play a decent offensive team, let alone play these Saints. Don't try and tell me Washington has a good defense because they don't and time will tell how terrible they really are when they play the Saints.

Atlanta will show how many pts they will give up on the MNF game prior.

Dallas has a been so inconsistent and especially on the road (on the road against a sub-par Chiefs team) the Saints should tee off with good field position and Romo's TOs

Tampa Bay & Carolina- these 2 games will be interesting depending on the playoff race and if the Saints have home field and if they are still undefeated.

I truly believe the Saints and Colts will be the last undefeated and could be undefeated going into the playoffs. Call me crazy but this year above all has a few amazing teams and then a bunch of awful teams trailing behind.

 

[REDSKIN]

the skins have yet to play a decent offense. not a good one, a DECENT one.

Philly has a good offense, they score over 27 pts a game. Washington held every team they played under their average pts scored with thee exception of Detroit. They rank 5th in the league in pts allowed. It's Washingtons offense thats the major problem in DC, not the D. In fact, if the offense wasn't so horrible with all the turnovers, the defense would be even better statistically. The way the team plays now, the defense stays on the field for over 34 minutes a game. The Redskin D is always tired but shows a'lot of heart in keeping their team in the game. I won't go so far as to call you nuts but you should learn to look at the bigger picture before you open up these ridiculous threads. If you're so confident that the Redskins will give up 42 pts then take your balls out of your mothers purse and take the side bet.

 

[bleedingpurple]

I agree that it maybe too many points but somewhat plausible.. Redskin fans..... Don't think your D is all that good because you have held all the teams under "their average." Except DETROIT :mj07: Now that is some funny shit right there.. Oh I forgot that the Redskins are 5th in points allowed. Well Loddie Fricken Da.... St. Louis, Detroit, Tampa, Carolina, KC... And the team still sucks. New Orleans will score what they want.. Could be 28, 30, or 40. You may call this thread rediculous but the kid is just putting it out there.. I think to think that the Redskins D is going to slow em down is more rediculous.

 

[REDSKIN]

I agree that it maybe too many points but somewhat plausible.. Redskin fans..... Don't think your D is all that good because you have held all the teams under "their average." Except DETROIT :mj07: Now that is some funny shit right there.. Oh I forgot that the Redskins are 5th in points allowed. Well Loddie Fricken Da.... St. Louis, Detroit, Tampa, Carolina, KC... And the team still sucks. New Orleans will score what they want.. Could be 28, 30, or 40. You may call this thread rediculous but the kid is just putting it out there.. I think to think that the Redskins D is going to slow em down is more rediculous.

Hey BP, I know that the loss on Sunday was probably a hard pill to swallow but you have to let the bitterness go. I never said that Washington was a good TEAM, just that the defense isn't that bad. The defense has been solid over the Skins last 10 seasons while the offense has continued to struggle. I don't think the Saints will score 42 pts against them, thats all. As far as you relishing the role of big brother, it's cute and it's noble but it'll build a'lot more character if the kid comes to his own rescue. Good luck this week against Green Bay, the books seem to think that loss #2 is right around the corner. BOL

 

[CartersCubs]

ur calling philly a good offensive team? WOW. THEY PUT UP 9 pts on da raidas! even the Chiefs put up more than the eagles against the raiders.

 

[Tdog72]

I personally think their are tooooo many IFS for this to happen not to mention what sort of lineup will be fielded near the end if in fact they do lose a game and have nothing to play for. I would rather a healthy lineup going into the playoffs then an undefeated season or the highest pt total ever
This is not to say this cant happen cause with the PTS they are putting up it surely can, would I wager on it NO.

As for GB and the VIKES.......I got the VIKES!!

 

[REDSKIN]

Why not just say that there are only 2 good offensive teams in football, the Saints and the Colts. If you play a 16 game schedule and score 35pts every time out, then you end up prob winning the Superbowl. According to you and big brother there is no such thing as a let down spot or a bad game. If Philly played the Raiders 10 times, guess who wins 9 of them. Over the course of the WHOLE season Philly will end up in the top third in offense. You base your opinion on 1 game, don't be so narrow minded and learn to look at the big picture.

 

[CartersCubs]

1. Philly has a good offense, they score over 27 pts a game.
2. Washington held every team they played under their average pts scored with thee exception of Detroit.
3. They rank 5th in the league in pts allowed.
It's Washingtons offense thats the major problem in DC, not the D.
4. In fact, if the offense wasn't so horrible with all the turnovers, the defense would be even better statistically.
5. The way the team plays now, the defense stays on the field for over 34 minutes a game.
6. The Redskin D is always tired but shows a'lot of heart in keeping their team in the game.
7. I won't go so far as to call you nuts but you should learn to look at the bigger picture before you open up these ridiculous threads.
8. If you're so confident that the Redskins will give up 42 pts then take your balls out of your mothers purse and take the side bet.

ok let me disect your opinion....

1. while that may be true please look who they have played. and phiilly put up 9pts against the raiders, enough said)

2. If Detroit can put up bigger #s than their average i don't think the saints will have a problem following in the footsteps of the great lions

3. Yes that is true, but but but but they havn't played any of the big offensive teams. I guess if the colts played the rams caliber type teams every week they would have the best stats but that doesn't mean they are the best

4. Ya i just love it when people play the "IF" game. "IF they just wouldn't have made that turnover they would've won. It's just too bad that it didn't happen. So do not play the "IF" game EVER.

5. The more your defense is on the field the more points you typically give up. Even more incentive to bet on the Saints to put up big numbers on this team.

6. The redskins defense does have alot of heart. But they will give up easier and easier the later in the season they get. Especially when they are out of the playoffs for sure.

7. What more should i look at? I looked at every game and compared the saints offense to what the opposing defense gives up. I also accounted for the last 2 games and the MNF game. please explain what more i need to look at?

8. As for actually betting this I just might. I don't know for sure yet and it depends a lot on how I do this weekend.

 

[REDSKIN]

I just don't have the time to go through all of this again, that said, I will stick to my original take on that game by saying New Orleans won't put up 42 on Washington. I'm also interested in seeing what the posted total will be for the game. I can't remember the last time a total was in the upper 40's for a Skins game. If you give them just 1 TD for the game, then according to your prediction the total will come out at around 50. Let's see what the books think when the time comes. I'll also still offer up that side bet to you.

 

[CartersCubs]

ok Redskin we shall have a side bet. $50 merchandise bet?

 

[ppabart]

I feel like I'm staring at a TV with no reception :look: