Poinsettia Bowl

Smitty

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Jan 5, 2005
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i think i'm going to the siena/buffalo basketball game tonight, so i gotta post now.

tcu (-3) 2 units. only reason this isn't a stronger play? it seems like everybody is on tcu. that can't be good.

under (46) 2 units. tcu's defense is great. and their offense is nothing to write home about. should be a very low-scoring game.
 

el JB

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Apr 6, 2006
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i think if the game is to be played on pass offenses it will be a long and turnover-prone game so i think this and the fact that boise has a GOOD offense , may make that game right for OVER 46
as i see both teams scoring... also the weather is fine in San Diego ... no snow or rain to slow down the game ... anyway BOl to you
 

Smitty

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Jan 5, 2005
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thanks, guys. i got a chance to log on my gf's computer before going to the game, so i had to check in here...

el jb, i know what you mean, but neither team has been turnover prone all year (ok, maybe boise). tcu is 9th in the country in TO margin and boise is 24th. dalton only threw 4 INTs all season. in fact, boise turned the ball over 11 times more than tcu. so if this is decided by TO's, that should favor tcu.

now that i have a little more time...

i think a big factor is boise's motivation tonight. from a possible bcs game to the poinsettia bowl? will they care? sadly, that lack of motivation may also hurt the under, but i don't know if tcu's offense is explosive enough to exploit even an unmotivated defense.

while both teams have put up some numbers through the air, i think both rely more on the run to set up the pass. in terms of yards allowed per rush, this is #1 vs #10.

as far as bcs aspirations, both teams had 'em this year. but tcu lost theirs on the field, a month or two ago. boise may have gotten screwed out of a slot. i have to believe the mental edge in that matchup goes to tcu. should be a good game. probably one of the 5 bowl games i'm most looking forward to watching. i just hope i don't see the score before i get home to watch it on dvr.
 
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