pointwise or power sweep????

Mizzou

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POINTWISE COLLEGIATE & PROFESSIONAL FOOTBALL AND BASKETBALL PROPHECY

COLLEGE BASKETBALL KEY RELEASES
1* WISCONSIN over Rutgers (Sat)
1* SYRACUSE over St Bona (Wed)
2* TEXAS TECH over Utep (Wed)
3* NOTRE DAME over Marquette (Sun)
4* YALE over Wake Forest (Sat)

COLLEGE FOOTBALL KEY RELEASES
1* MISSOURI over Iowa State
1* WEST VIRGINIA over Temple
2* TEXAS over Texas A&M
3* TEXAS CHRISTIAN over Smu
4* VIRGINIA over Virginia Tech
5* COLORADO over Nebraska

NFL KEY RELEASES
2* CINCINNATI over Pittsburgh
3* CHICAGO over Arizona
4* NEW ENGLAND over Indianapolis
4* ST LOUIS over Minnesota
5* BALTIMORE over San Francisco

Detailed Analysis of Top Key Selections

MISSOURI 52 - Iowa State 7 - (1:00 - ABC) -- Nine straight losses for Cycs, who have been outscored, 153-17, the past 4 wks. No rushing "O", no rushing "D". The dog is 7-1 ATS in Tiger games, but Mizzou covered its last 3 HGs by 24?, 35, & 10 pts, & ran for 831 yds in its last 2 hosters. Stat turnaround from '02.

Texas 49 - TEXAS A&M 17 - (3:30 - ABC) -- Aggies have had their moments, offensively, in Franchione's first season, but containment isn't their forte, ranking 113th in scoring "D". The chalk is 9-0 ATS in Ag games, with A&M 0-7 vs the pts as a puppy, the last 5 by an average of 26 ppg ATS. Rested 'Horns have an unbelievable 50-11 ppg scoring edge when taking to the road. It continues.

Cincinnati 20 - PITTSBURGH 17 - (1:00) -- Revenge for the Bengals, who went down by 7 in their first encounter. That loss put Cincy at 0-3, but they have turned it all around, standing at 6-5, & tied with Baltimore for the AFC North lead, 2 games ahead of Pitt & Cleve. Four TD passes for Kitna LW, & check 240, 200, & 225 RYs in Cincy's last 3 games. Contrast that with Pitt's 31st ranking in rushing. Only 11 FDs & 168 yds in win over the Browns, with all 13 pts off fumble recoveries. Steelers 34-15 ATS off holding a foe under 11 pts, but the ATS loser in the 1st series meeting is stellar 14-2 ATS in 2nd.


THE SPORTS REPORTER

SUMMARY OF NFL SELECTIONS

BEST BETS
*SAN DIEGO over KANSAS CITY by 4

RECOMMENDED SELECTIONS
PHILADELPHIA over *CAROLINA by 8
PHILADELPHIA/CAROLINA UNDER
*ST. LOUIS over MINNESOTA by 14
NEW ENGLAND over *INDIANAPOLIS by 5

SUMMARY OF NCAA SELECTIONS

BEST BETS
*MISSOURI over IOWA STATE by 40
GEORGIA over *GEORGIA TECH by 18
*BOWLING GREEN over TOLEDO by 21

RECOMMENDED SELECTIONS
LOUISVILLE over *CINCINNATI by 12
*COLORADO over NEBRASKA by 6
*FLORIDA over FLORIDA STATE by 9

Detailed Analysis of Best Bet Selections

BEST BET
*SAN DIEGO over KANSAS CITY by 4
Kansas City began the season 9-0 (8-1 ATS) only to lose its first game to Cincinnati two weeks ago and then win but fail to cover for the second week in a row at home last week against Oakland. Now, sandwiched between last week?s game, a 27-24 nail-biter against the hated Raiders and next week?s highly anticipated game against Denver, the Chiefs must
travel to San Diego for this much less important look-ahead game against the Chargers. Doug Flutie has breathed new life into the Chargers since taking over at quarterback three games ago, at least making San Diego look competitive at times despite back-to-back losses to Cincinnati and Denver. Flutie may be only marginally better than Drew Brees, butthere?s no arguing his presence makes San Diego a different team than the one Kansas City beat 27-14 back on Opening Day. In that game, Brees threw two interceptions and was sacked three times. Flutie can likely improve the offense here by doing what he?s already been doing, playing a more mobile and mistake-free game and thus throwing fewer interceptions and taking fewer sacks. The Chargers are going nowhere, so this game against 10-1 Kansas City may well be their Super Bowl. They?ll be getting mucho points at home, LaDanian Tomlinson can take advantage of an injury -softened KC defensive front, and home dogs are 14-2-3 ATS in the NFL since November 1. SAN DIEGO, 27-23.

BEST BET
*MISSOURI over IOWA STATE by 40
The Tigers are back in Columbia where wins (5-0), covers (3-1) and points (45.2 PPG) come in bunches. Missouri?s first bowl invitation since 1998 is a lock, but this is a team not yet bored by winning, so you can expect another major effort here. As an added incentive, the Tigers are 0-4 SU vs. the Cyclones since 1999, which means there is not a current member of this team that has been on the winning side in this game. Sure it?s a ton of points, but Missouri is 7-3 ATS at home since the beginning of last season and the Cyclones, 1-15 ATS since the middle of last year (111th in total offense, 100th in total defense), are not likely to put up much opposition. The Tigers will be on the prowl coming off a loss (3-0 SU & ATS in that situation this year, covering by +23 PPG). Missouri, 50-10.

BEST BET
GEORGIA over *GEORGIA TECH by 18
Major incentive for the Georgia Bulldogs to play best game of the year. The SEC East is in that well-documented three-way tie these days with Florida and Tennessee sharing the top spot with Georgia. but the highest-rated BCS team gets to play in the SEC championship game nextweekend and a big-time Dawgs win here ensures a second consecutive SEC title game appearance and maybe even another BCS bowl to boot. Last year?s Georgia team roughed up Georgia Tech 51-7 in Athens as QB David Greene was painfully efficient with 10-of-14 passing for 205 yards. No doubt Greene will ?go to school? in film room here after Virginia?s Matt Schaub burnt the Techsters for 239 passing yards in last week?s 29-17 Cavaliers? win. Virginia was effective with lots of underneath stuff and that?s right up Greene?s alley here as he probes the Yellow Jackets? softunderbelly and then strikes deep to the likes of WRs Michael Johnson and Fred Gibson. This one could be blowout central by mid-to-late third quarter. Georgia Tech could lose here yet be 6-6 and still headed to a post-season bowl game. Georgia, 37-19.

BEST BET
*BOWLING GREEN over TOLEDO by 21
This will decide the MAC Western Division title, and a quick history lesson is in order. Bowling Green has yet to go to that game since the Mid-American split into divisions in 1997, while the Rockets have been there four of six times, including the past two seasons. But we?ll go with the ?upstart? here.Want more history? The host has won and covered thelast four in this rivalry, including the Rockets? 42-24 win last year. That game was particularly humbling for QB Josh Harris, who ran for three TDs but was an ineffective 15-for-30 passing for 165 yards with two picks. He has waited a long time for redemption, and is at the top of his game, as evidenced by what he did against Ball State last week. He was pulled in the second half with the Rockets seemingly comfortably ahead, to rest him for this one. But when the Cardinals pulled within seven, he came off the bench and directed two straight TD drives cold. Now he?ll get to face a Toledo defense that has been at its worst on the road, where it has yielded 450 yards and 34 points to Syracuse and 505 yards and 38
points to Ball State, two fairly pedestrian attacks. Bowling Green, 34-13.
 

Mizzou

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THE RED SHEET

RATINGS:
89 & ABOVE: SUPERIOR PLAY
88 & BELOW: ABOVE AVERAGE PLAY

SUMMARY OF PLAYS:
89* MISSOURI
89* BOISE STATE
88* PITTSBURGH
88* COLORADO
88* PHILADELPHIA (NFL)
88* CHICAGO (NFL)

ANALYSIS

MISSOURI 55 - Iowa State 7 - (1:00 EST - ABC) -- Line opened at Missouri minus 25, and is now minus 26. In the history of college football, there can't be many teams which can match the downturn of these Cyclones, over the past 1? seasons. A combined 16-8 in '00 & '01 (16-7 vs the spread), they opened at 6-1 SU & 6-0 ATS in '02. That's 24-7 SU, & 22-7 ATS, folks. But they were destroyed in their showdown at Oklahoma, LY, & thus began their current slide, which stands at 3-15 SU & 2-15 ATS. Enter the Tigers, who need this for an 8-4 campaign, & who have covered their last 3 home games by 24?, 35, & 10 pts, & who have run for 831yds in their last 2 HGs. Not only that, but Mizzou has a quadruple revenge factor in this one. By the way, those above Tiger covers all came after a SU loss.
RATING: MISSOURI 89

BOISE STATE 52 - Nevada-Reno 17 - (3:00) -- Line opened atBoise minus 21?, and is now minus 22. A win here clinches another WAC title for the Bulldogs. They have been one of the most explosive teams in the land over the past 5 seasons, no matter the coach, or the triggerman.They currently rank only behind behemoths Oklahoma & TexasTech, in scoring "O", with QB Dinwiddie #7 in passing efficiency (24 TD passes). However, Boise also rates as the 4th best team in rushing "D", & 10th in scoring "D". A formidable squad once more. The Wolfpack has had its moments, especially in its upset of Washington, but that only serves as a preventative vs any look-ahead to next week's trip to Hawaii. Boise owns this series.
RATING: BOISE STATE 89

PITTSBURGH 27 - Miami 20 - (8:00) -- Line opened at Miami minus 3, and is now minus 3?. This has been yet another stellar season for the rock-ribbed defense of the 'Canes, as they rank #2 in passing "D", #4 in total "D", & #5 in scoring "D". Those are numbers, to which the faithfulhave become accustomed. However, offensively, they rank no higherthan 45th in any category. A year ago, they ranked 6th & 4th in total & scoring "O". This season, they rank 49th & 46th respectively. And now have a huge QBing problem. The Panthers have disappointed at times, but the return of RB Miree last week (188 RYs) just makes the unstoppable Rutherford-to-Fitzgerald more potent. Pitt nails down a BCS bid here.
RATING: PITTSBURGH 88

COLORADO 24 - Nebraska 17 - (12:00 Friday - ABC) -- Lineopened at Nebraska minus 1?, and is now minus 3. The skinny says that this will be Nebraska coach Solich's final game as head man with the 'Huskers. Following in Tom Osborne's footsteps was an impossible task from the start. His combined 57-22 record is shaky enough, but the fact is Nebraska has reached 40 pts in only 2 of its last 22 games, has been soundly routed this year at both Missouri & Texas, & is in off its worst home loss in 45 years. The Buffs can salvage a non-losing season here, having turned their fortunes around, after a dismal start, especially on defense. Should be able to stifle the 'Huskers predictable offense. Mild upset.
RATING: COLORADO 88

Philadelphia 26 - CAROLINA 19 - (1:00) -- Line opened at Carolina minus 1?, and is still minus 1?. The Eagles were pretty much given up for dead, not only due to their 1-4 start, in which they were stung for at least 23 pts 3 times, but also because of key injuries, & the strange downward change in McNabb. He ranked dead last among NFL starting QBs through the first 7 games (7 INTs). But he has turned it around lately, and his leadership is now firmly entrenched. He is getting key help from RB Westbrook, & a suddenly solid WRing unit. Defensively, it is the same story, allowing only 15 ppg in Philly's current 6-game run, both SU & ATS. Panthers yet to cover as non-division hosts. Wrong team is favored.
RATING: PHILADELPHIA 88

CHICAGO 24 - Arizona 13 - (1:00) -- Line opened at Chicago minus 4?, and is still minus 4?. The Bears were the Cinderella squad of the '01 season, before losing to the Eagles in the playoffs. But injuries prevented a duplication of that magic in '02, as they went from 13-4 to 4-12. This season was more of the same thru Sept (0-3 SU & ATS, with a 111-43 pt deficit). However Chicago is 4-4 SU since, & 6-2 ATS (only 4 pts from an 8-0 spread run). This marks the Bears' 3rd chalk role in that run, & they've covered their first 2 fav setups. The utter futility of the Cards, when taking to the road (0-5 SU, with a 35-13 ppg deficit), is the final determinant here. Bears have held 4 of last 5 foes to 11 ppg. More of the same.
RATING: CHICAGO 88

NEAR CHOICES (Rated 87): West Virginia, Florida, Bowling Green - NFL: Cincinnati, New England, Jets
 

bohawk

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Preciate it Missou-Man, Goldsheet has:
Pitt by 7
Tenn by 21
Hawaii by 7
Pros
Cleve by 6
Denver by 14

;) ;) GL
 

nohitta

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power sweep

power sweep

had the power sweep cant seem to find it anywhere but know the 4 stars are tenn in college and chicago in pros dog oof the week is pitt panthers
 

TonyTT

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POWERSWEEP

COLG: 4STAR TENN....3STAR MISSOURI....3STAR MD....2STAR MEMPHIS....2STAR HOUSTON....2STAR N DAME


PRO: 4STAR BEARS....3STAR JACKSONVILLE....2STAR CLEV...
2STAR NE

UNDERDOG O'THE WEEK: PITT

OVER/UNDERS: 3STAR EAGLES/OVER38....3STAR BROWNS/UNDER
41.5....3STAR VIKES/OVER 48.5....2STAR BEARS/UNDER 36...
2STAR BRONCOS/OVER 43
gl guys,
TT
 

StuckinNJ

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Farther South, Nearer God
For Mizzou

For Mizzou

Where are Colorado's extra points coming from? Can you see over 100 yards aggregate rushing for the Buffs? Can you see more than 2 TDs for Klatt? Based on recent performances, why are things going to be different in this game?

On the other hand, why are Nebraska's points so low? As the stats show, the pass defense they face has very little impact on Nebraska's game plan. Looking at teams with similar run defenses they have faced this year, wouldn't you think Nebraska will hang at least 200 yards rushing and, say, 17-24 points?

I know these probably aren't indivudually far from your estimates, but together, point to a different outcome than what you are saying. I'd appreciate any insight you would share. Regards.
 
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