Political odds @ Heritage

[DOGS THAT BARK]

Suggestion on wagering..If dem I would wait as believe your odds will increase the closer to November

US House Election
Odds to Win House Control 2022
Nov 07, 2022 5:00 am PST
Republicans -950 Democrats +600

US Senate Election
Odds to Win Senate Control 2022
Nov 07, 2022 5:00 am PST
Republicans -235 Democrats +190

 

[WhatsHisNuts]

Are there updated odds you can share? Zero interest in betting this but I'm curious how/if the recent events have impacted the numbers. I saw a recent poll on FiveThirtyEight that showed the Dems GAINING seats in the Senate, but still getting hammered in the House.

Typically, the party out of power does very well in the mid terms as they have an energized voting base in a year where most people don't think about voting. However, there is more and more motivation coming for the dems and anyone affected by the recent legislation/ruling/discussions.

-Roe v Wade (women)
-Gay marriage going back to states (gays)
-Interracial marriage going back to states (non-racists)
-Burn pit victims bill rejected by GOP (veterans)
-Build Back Better getting a second life with Inflation Relief Bill (Dems)
-Rick Scott's Plan to Save America (retirees)
-January 6th Hearings (Americans)

 

[DOGS THAT BARK]

Current odds......


US House Election
Odds to Win House Control 2022 Hide markets
Nov 07, 2022 5:00 am PST
Republicans -950Democrats +600

US Senate Election
Odds to Win Senate Control 2022 Hide markets
Nov 07, 2022 5:00 am PST
Republicans -185Democrats +150

 

[WhatsHisNuts]

Dems just took two House seats they weren't expected to get (NY and AK).

The Senate is looking more and more like it is going to be controlled by the Dems.

Biden's approval rating is up as he's getting stuff done. The Democrats are gaining momentum and the Republican candidates are scrubbing their campaign websites of anything to do with being anti-abortion. Things are looking better.

 

[Magking1]

The only question is will enough of the cheating be stopped.

If we had 100percent free and fair elections these R's would be off the board faves to win back both House and Senate.
The low odds are a reflection on the D's ability to cheat and NOT the opinions of the American Public

 

[yyz]

The only question is will enough of the cheating be stopped.

If we had 100percent free and fair elections these R's would be off the board faves to win back both House and Senate.
The low odds are a reflection on the D's ability to cheat and NOT the opinions of the American Public

Why is the verifiable cheating always Republicans?

:mj07:

 

[Magking1]

Why is the verifiable cheating always Republicans?

:mj07:

:mj07:

 

[yyz]

:mj07:

I know, right?

 

[WhatsHisNuts]

The only question is will enough of the cheating be stopped.

If we had 100percent free and fair elections these R's would be off the board faves to win back both House and Senate.
The low odds are a reflection on the D's ability to cheat and NOT the opinions of the American Public

The Trump appointee claimed it was the most secure election in history.

You have no reason to believe the election(s) involved widespread voter fraud beyond what Trump and these other right wing turds say. None. Trump's bullshit claims got tossed out of DOZENS of courts. All those stories of ballot box stuffing, voting machine fraud, etc. All tossed out of the courts. All of it. I don't know why you're so susceptible to con men, but you should be careful.

 

[WhatsHisNuts]

History was on the Republican side as the party out of power tends to do very well in midterms. High inflation is really hitting the average person hard in the pocket book and most have zero clue that it is little to nothing to do with the Biden administration. Should have been a blowout for the Republicans but they are such fuck ups, they will likely lose the Senate and have a slim majority in the House. No solutions, just complaints. The American people are seeing right through these clowns.

 

[WhatsHisNuts]

https://www.irishtimes.com/podcasts/inside-politics/us-midterms-red-wave-fails-to-materialise/

30 minute podcast from the Irish Times political correspondents.

 

[yyz]

:sadwave: <----------------- Here's a blue wave for our delusional buddy.

 

[WhatsHisNuts]

It's official, the Democrats have control of the Senate. :00hour

Considering the low approval rating for the President, this should be a complete indictment of Trump and MAGA.

 

[WhatsHisNuts]

It seems like people aren't fans of those that tried to overthrow the government on January 6th, are actively trying to take away women's rights, and given the chance, would shitcan SS and Medicare.

 

[WhatsHisNuts]

:0003

<blockquote class="twitter-tweet"><p lang="zxx" dir="ltr"><a href="https://t.co/q9O6SXXNuQ">pic.twitter.com/q9O6SXXNuQ</a></p>— Acyn (@Acyn) <a href="https://twitter.com/Acyn/status/1591610836317278209?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw">November 13, 2022</a></blockquote> <script async src="https://platform.twitter.com/widgets.js" charset="utf-8"></script>

 

[WhatsHisNuts]

<iframe width="560" height="315" src="https://www.youtube.com/embed/4fWyzwo1xg0" title="YouTube video player" frameborder="0" allow="accelerometer; autoplay; clipboard-write; encrypted-media; gyroscope; picture-in-picture" allowfullscreen></iframe>