this guy has raised more money from more people in the history of american politics and you still want to talk about his black support.... what about his green/white support ? you can't figure that out can you ? you are a very smart guy and you bet against him in the primaries... not only you but every talking head and every wash insider... reminds me of the rams/ pats sb. you are going to carry your line of thinking untill the #'s come in. everything telling you something you don't want to see. it's not to late to step aside. win or lose the country is headed in a new direction... it's not about right or left... or policy.. it's about those fake inflation #'s and food cost and gas cost and everything americans buy cost. we went fron carter to reagan/bush to clinton to bush to _______ ... the american people don't know what too do so they go the other way.
Miscalculation on primary was previously stated--Given that Dems get 90% of vote had no idea racial bias would give one Dem candidate 90% doubling their effectiveness in primary--took a couple states to factor that trend that panned out 100%.
Back to original point of historians predictions--
History is not relative--Never has there been a candidate with backround/name with so little experience running on promises/words.
Not saying he can't win --but just no history on this type of match-up.
Depends what else comes out--his 1/2 brothers statement and photo's should be hitting today.
Is he going to denounce his brother next-then who?
Thought for today--
Personality opens doors--but only character can keep them open
a concern on history for Obama backers would be that historically once a candidate is decided in long campaign they generally get huge boost in national polls--not the case with O as he barily moved.
The independents will decide election--
While not big on polls accuracy other than than exit polls--this does not bode well for Obama--
Obama holding on to small lead over McCain: poll Tue Jun 17, 1:22 AM ET
WASHINGTON (Reuters) - Democratic presidential hopeful Barack Obama opens the general election campaign with a narrow lead over Republican John McCain but the two score near even among independent voters, The Washington Post reported on Tuesday.
According to a new Washington Post-ABC News poll, Obama leads McCain by 48 percent to 42 percent among all adults, while McCain has picked up support from independents who could be key to deciding the November election.
Independents see McCain, an Arizona senator, as more credible on fighting terrorism and are split evenly on who is the stronger leader and better on the Iraq war, the Post reported.
McCain has a 14-point lead over Obama, an Illinois senator, on the issue of dealing with terrorism and a narrow edge on who is best equipped to handle international affairs, the poll found.
On Iraq, 47 percent of all respondents said they trust McCain more and 46 percent said they have faith in Obama.
Independents were 45 percent for McCain to 43 percent for Obama on the question of Iraq, according to the poll.
Experience appears to be Obama's clearest weakness, the newspaper said. The poll found that just 50 percent of Americans said Obama has the necessary experience to be president, almost unchanged since early March.
Fifty-six percent said McCain was a safe choice, while 52 percent said that of Obama.
The two candidates were evenly matched on the question of who is the stronger leader, with 46 percent of respondents rating each as top.
McCain was in a far weaker position on domestic issues with Obama leading by 16 points on the economy, which continues to top the list of the campaign's most important issues, the Post reported.
The poll of 1,125 adults was conducted by telephone on June 12-15 and had a margin of sampling error of plus or minus three percentage points.