Postseason
- Thread starter Hashish
- Start date
Thanks, guys. It was nice to finally climb out of that hole I dug for myself with the Dodgers.
Royals -106
14-9 +11.58 units
Okay, guys, you may want to take my World Series picks with a grain of salt. You see, I have 5 units on the Royals from several months ago at 25-1. So I had to keep that in mind when I broke down this series. I wouldn't hesitate to let it ride if I thought the Royals were overwhelming favorites like I thought they were against the Orioles. However, the Giants are a whole different animal. They have much better starters and a roster full of players who know how to win in the postseason. I see this series playing out two different ways. I could see it being a 7-game classic that could go either way. However, I could also see the Giants sweeping or only losing one. I just don't see KC staying on their magical run. This is their second extended break of the postseason, and I think this might be the one that finally cools them off. Also, Yost has done a good job thus far this postseason, but I still don't trust him if he needs to make a move. Bochy is such an advantage for the Giants in the coaching facet of this series. Here is how I break down the two teams by category:
Coaching: Giants HUGE edge
Batting: Giants
Defense: Royals
Starting Pitching: Giants
Relievers: Royals Big Edge
Base Running: Royals Big Edge
Experience: Giants Big Edge
Momentum: Royals Slight Edge
If the Royals can keep getting clutch hits, if the Royals questionable starters like Vargas and Guthrie can continue to pitch well, if Yost can manage not to be the brain-dead moron I believe him to be, if, if, if...There are just too many ifs that the Royals need to overcome in my mind, which is why I am hedging my Royals future big.
Giants to Win Series +104 Risk 50 units
Game 1
Giants -1.5 +160
Giants 1st Five -0.5 +135
Okay, guys, you may want to take my World Series picks with a grain of salt. You see, I have 5 units on the Royals from several months ago at 25-1. So I had to keep that in mind when I broke down this series. I wouldn't hesitate to let it ride if I thought the Royals were overwhelming favorites like I thought they were against the Orioles. However, the Giants are a whole different animal. They have much better starters and a roster full of players who know how to win in the postseason. I see this series playing out two different ways. I could see it being a 7-game classic that could go either way. However, I could also see the Giants sweeping or only losing one. I just don't see KC staying on their magical run. This is their second extended break of the postseason, and I think this might be the one that finally cools them off. Also, Yost has done a good job thus far this postseason, but I still don't trust him if he needs to make a move. Bochy is such an advantage for the Giants in the coaching facet of this series. Here is how I break down the two teams by category:
Coaching: Giants HUGE edge
Batting: Giants
Defense: Royals
Starting Pitching: Giants
Relievers: Royals Big Edge
Base Running: Royals Big Edge
Experience: Giants Big Edge
Momentum: Royals Slight Edge
If the Royals can keep getting clutch hits, if the Royals questionable starters like Vargas and Guthrie can continue to pitch well, if Yost can manage not to be the brain-dead moron I believe him to be, if, if, if...There are just too many ifs that the Royals need to overcome in my mind, which is why I am hedging my Royals future big.
Giants to Win Series +104 Risk 50 units
Game 1
Giants -1.5 +160
Giants 1st Five -0.5 +135
Thanks. I forgot to mention that if I had no future on the Royals, I would be playing the Giants series bet for 5 units.
Hash -
I have no clue your units, but
Out of curiosity, where can you make a 50 unit play? Or do you have to spread out a ton?
I have no clue your units, but
Out of curiosity, where can you make a 50 unit play? Or do you have to spread out a ton?
Just curious how much of this is you liking San Fran today vs. hedging your big windfall if KC brings the trophy?
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I took care of all my hedging with the series bets. Now, it is just me playing my normal plays as the series plays out game-by-game. This is a normal play, nothing huge. In my mind, the Giants should be slight favorites in this game. I like the value in getting them as a dog.
With all due respect Hash, Yost out coached Bochy tonight. As soon as Herrera came in, Peavy should've been done for the night...period
Yes, that was a hell of a coaching job putting in the three best relievers in baseball. Yost has the easiest job in baseball. Close game sixth inning or on? Put in the three best relievers in the game. Yet, he still managed to screw that simple formula up numerous times during the regular season. He didn't have to make any real decisions last night, which I guess you could say was managing (to not screw it up). We haven't had to see him need to make any tough decisions yet. Wait until the pressure is on for him to make an actual decision before you give him any kudos. 17-10 +21.32 units
