Predicted Score v. Vegas Line

c20916

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Aug 19, 2000
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I am bringing back djchad's old posts. I can't remember if I have it all right, and I think he made some adjustments with the numbers, I am taking the raw numbers and posting the results.

Here are weeks 1 plays, tread lightly the first few weeks with these:

3 Star plays ***
U Conn -17
New Mexico St +10
South Fla +22.5

2 Star Plays **
Cincy -9
Wyoming +23
Hawaii +34
Navy +11
Utah -7

I forget what the criteria was for 1 star plays so I'll just stick with the 2 and 3 star plays for now.

Basically what this is is a compilation of a bunch of predications taking the avg and matching it up against the line and if the predictions vary from the line by 6 or more points is what determines if it's a play or not, and then the Std. Deviation determines if it's a 2 star or 3 star play.
 

c20916

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Forum Member
Aug 19, 2000
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St. Charles, IL
Well the 3 star plays went 2-1, and the two star plays went 2-3. All predictions went 24-22 ats. The results don't usually pick up until about week 3 or 4, so tread lightly with these until then. I will post this weeks plays when I get them completed.
 
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