preseason plays week #1...

AR182

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hit the pitt. play....want to post this because the lines will probably start moving even further than it has.....will have writeups later....

again playing these small...

1*atl.+4(120)
1*buff.+7(130)....


good luck.
 

AR182

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here is something that i have found....

since 1997, teams that were favored in the opening exhibition game for both teams & favored by 4 or more points were 7-12 ats (36.8%)...

for this week teams that are favored by 4 or > points is/are....

dallas
don't know if this pertains to the above system but the jets originally opened at 4 or 4.5 points but has been bet down to 3/3.5...

good luck.
 
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Hooks

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Like both AL, it's late but i'll expound on why tomorrow. Time to go to :bed:
 

AR182

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adding another small play....

1*u 36 cleve/k.c.....

here is something that pertains to preseason games...

play under - any team where the total is between 35.5 and 42 points (cleve. & k.c.) - in the first two weeks of the pre-season.

52-18 ats over the last 5 seasons.....74.3%

30-10 ats over the last 3 seasons.....75%

good luck.
 

Hooks

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Past 22 away games, Atl. is 15-7.
Atl. is 7-3 ats as a dog vs. the NFC.

Buff. is 4-0 in game 1.
Buff. is 6-1 ats as a dog.
Buff. is 11-2 away vs the NFC.
 

AR182

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thanks tp & hooks...appreciate your posts..good luck to both of you this season...

adding another small play....

1*u 36(120) gb/pitt...

here are some trends supporting this play...

under is 7-2 in last 9 pitt. preseason games

pitt. has gone under in 5 of last 6 games the last 3 yrs.when playing on 6 or less days rest.

pitt. has gone under the total in their last 4 preseason games vs.nfc opponents.

g.b.has gone under in their opening preseason game the last 6 seasons.

under is 8-2 in g.b.'s last 10 preseason games vs. afc opponents.

g.b.has gone under in 7 of their last 9 preseason games when a dog.


good luck.
 

sdf

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adding another small play....

1*u 36 cleve/k.c.....

here is something that pertains to preseason games...

play under - any team where the total is between 35.5 and 42 points (cleve. & k.c.) - in the first two weeks of the pre-season.

this begs to differ:

edit out link, please do post links to another forum:admin

I havent done the research myself so i cant say.
Just another person's view
 

AR182

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this begs to differ:

edit out link, please do post links to another forum:admin

I havent done the research myself so i cant say.
Just another person's view

sdf...

i know what you're talking about...i read it.

i belong to a stat site that has been very reliable over the years...& i'm going by them.

thanks for your post & good luck.
 

AR182

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went 1-1 tonight...

will add another small play....

1*cleve.-150(ml)...

borrowed the write-up from espnted...hope he doesn't mind....

Cleveland ? It should be noted that Romeo Crennel brought over New England?s winning ways with the Browns, going 6-2 against the spread in his first two preseasons with the Browns. With a nice 07 draft look for these winning ways to continue for the Browns this preseason with a coach that?s under a lot of pressure to win this year.

Probable preseason quarterback rotations: Charlie Frye, Ken Dorsey, Derek Anderson, Brady Quinn

Kansas City ? One strong early trend to watch this preseason for Kansas City. The Chiefs definitely don?t look forward to playing their first preseason game of the year going 0-4 against the spread the last 4 years. Look for this trend to continue this year as the Chiefs open up on the road against a Browns team that has excelled against the spread since Romeo Crennel has taken over as head coach.

Probable preseason quarterback rotations: Damon Huard, Brodie Croyle, Casey Printers, Jeff Terrell

good luck...
 

IE

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His post should be a sticky.

Good Luck, AR!!

BBC, really not.....outdated info from V/I and J/F

gameday local news info find to be a little more reliable..seen 6+ errors...

but as always like info posts...but we (me) (us) have to check out sources before we copy and paste ...bad info is worse than any info.....sorta speak.
 

AR182

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got this report from another site,,,,

GREEN BAY -
(08/11 08:10am) HC McCarthy says Brett Favre will be under center for 12 to 15 plays.

PITTSBURGH -
(08/09 03:10am) The starters, including quarterback Ben Roethlisberger, will play about 12-15 snaps, HC Tomlin said.


Important Injuries

Green Bay
Date Pos Player Injury Status
08/11 7:48am FB Brandon Miree Neck is doubtful Saturday vs Pittsburgh.
08/11 7:45am CB Al Harris Back is doubtful Saturday vs Pittsburgh.
08/11 7:44am CB Charles Woodson Hamstring is doubtful Saturday vs Pittsburgh.
08/11 7:42am RB Vernand Morency Knee is expected to miss Saturday vs Pittsburgh.

Pittsburgh
Date Pos Player Injury Status
08/11 8:14am RB Willie Parker Knee missed last game, downgraded to expected to miss Saturday vs Green Bay.
Parker practiced Thursday, but won't play tonight.
08/09 10:20am QB Ben Roethlisberger Foot is probable Saturday vs Green Bay. Roethlisberger got his foot stepped on in practice Thursday, but HC Tomlin said he is fine.
08/09 10:17am LB James Harrison Ribs missed last game, upgraded to expected to start Saturday vs Green Bay.
08/09 9:57am C Chukky Okobi Back is "?" Saturday vs Green Bay.
08/09 9:55am OG Alan Faneca Shoulder is doubtful Saturday vs Green Bay.

JACKSONVILLE -
(08/11 08:10am) QB Byron Leftwich will likely get only 12 to 15 snaps.

MIAMI -
(08/11 08:10am) HC Cameron plans to use most of his offensive starters throughout the first half . QB Trent Green will start and is scheduled to play the first half. Cleo Lemon is expected to enter the game in the second half, and John Beck will take his turn in the fourth quarter. RB
Ronnie Brown is expected to start and see up to a half of work. Jesse Chatman is expected to relieve Brown in the third quarter. It is unclear exactly how Cameron will break down the playing
time for the defense.

Jacksonville
Date Pos Player Injury Status
08/09 11:26am WR Ernest Wilford Knee is "?" Saturday vs Miami.
07/31 11:10am C Brad Meester Foot is out at least 8 weeks.

Miami
Date Pos Player Injury Status
08/11 8:50am DT Keith Traylor Knee is doubtful Saturday vs Jacksonville.
08/11 8:48am WR Marty Booker Knee is expected to miss Saturday vs Jacksonville.
08/07 2:00pm LB Joey Porter Knee is expected to miss at least 2 preseason games.

CLEVELAND -
(08/11 09:31am) HC Crennel said he will flip a coin to determine if QB Charlie Frye or Derek Anderson will start. "They'll both play the first half and alternate with the first team." Ken Dorsey will play the most -- the bulk of the second half. Brady Quinn will probably only hand the ball off a
few times late in the game.


Important Injuries
Cleveland
Date Pos Player Injury Status
08/08 6:08pm OT Damion McIntosh Knee is out 4-6 weeks.
Cleveland
Date Pos Player Injury Status
08/11 9:40am CB Kenny Wright Groin is doubtful Saturday vs Kansas City.
08/11 9:26am OG Eric Steinback Knee is expected to miss at least 2 weeks.
08/11 9:22am RB Jamal Lewis Ankle is expected to play Saturday vs Kansas City.
08/10 3:45am LB Willie McGinest Back downgraded to expected to miss at least 6 weeks.

WASHINGTON -
(08/11 09:53am) HC Gibbs will not reveal how long he plans to play his starters in these preseason games, wanting his players prepared for any possibility, but he has discussed the need to breed chemistry and produce better results this August. When the Redskins take on the Titans tonight, players are bracing for more work for the regulars, more of a regular-season-typegame plan. Starting QB Jason Campbell said he is unsure how much he will play -- some think the starters could play a quarter or more. The first-team offense might play two or three series.

TENNESSEE -
(08/11 09:53am) The first-team offense is expected to play at least a quarter. Kerry Collins and Tim Rattay will split the snaps after quarterback Vince Young leaves the game.


Important Injuries
Washington
Date Pos Player Injury Status
08/11 10:04am RB Clinton Portis Knee is expected to miss Saturday vs Tennessee. Portis (knee tendinitis) will travel to Tennessee but will not play; instead he'll be evaluated by James Andrews, one of the team doctors.
08/11 9:49am OT Chris Samuels Knee is expected to miss a month.
Tennessee
Date Pos Player Injury Status
08/11 10:18am DE Travis LaBoy Hamstring is expected to miss Saturday vs Washington.
08/11 10:16am CB Reynaldo Hill Groin is expected to miss Saturday vs Washington.
08/11 10:11am OG Benji Olson Back is expected to miss Saturday vs Washington.

Carolina
Date Pos Player Injury Status
08/07 7:21am FS Mike Minter Knee has retired.

NY Giants
Date Pos Player Injury Status
08/09 8:40pm WR Plaxico Burress Ankle is expected to miss Saturday vs Carolina.
08/09 11:25am LB Gerris Wilkinson Knee is expected to miss 3-6 weeks.
08/09 3:26am WR Amani Toomer Knee is expected to miss Saturday vs Carolina.

HOUSTON -
(08/08 10:05am) Matt Schaub isn't expected to play more than a few series, at best. Then he'll turn it over to Sage Rosenfels. The Texans have no desire to risk the health of Ahman Green or Ron Dayne in the team's first preseason game. The top two running backs will have a limited number of repetitions with Samkon Gado and Wali Lundy receiving the bulk of opportunities as they battle for the No. 3 job.


Important Injuries
Chicago
Date Pos Player Injury Status
08/01 8:38am DT Antonio Garay Hamstring is "?" Saturday vs Houston.

Houston Texans
Date Pos Player Injury Status
08/08 10:01am OG Fred Weary Ankle is "?" Saturday vs Chicago.
08/08 9:56am OG Chester Pitts Back is expected to miss Saturday vs Chicago.

OAKLAND -
(08/09 03:25pm) QB Josh McCown is expected to start vs Arizona.


Important Injuries
Arizona
None

Oakland
Date Pos Player Injury Status
08/09 10:57am RB LaMont Jordan Back is expected to miss Saturday vs Arizona.
08/09 4:19am DE Derrick Burgess Hernia is expected to miss Saturday vs Arizona.
08/08 9:51am DE Tyler Brayton Elbow is "?" Saturday vs Arizona.
07/16 11:26am RB Dominic Rhodes Suspension has been suspended for the first 4 games of the regular season.
 

Hooks

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Thanks AR, I'm cappin right now also as I have the weekend off.
So far I'm playin the Skins as they said they want to start this preseason off the opposite as last year when they went 0-4 and were outscored something like, 141-26. Talk at you soon, Hooks
 
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