Played a prop play you'd think would normally be pure luck, who will get the ball first, Oak -130. Given a coin flip is a 50/50 proposition, why is Oakland favored to get the ball first...because in the Phil game, TB won the toss and defered to the 2nd half. Of course, Phil almost ran the kickoff back so will Grudan do it again? I say yes....that coaches when given the choice, will lead with their strength, which is Defense. Will he let the Phil runback affect his decision? Not sure, but it's just as likely because he won the game given this strategy, he won't want to change....maybe a kind of superstition combined with the traditional lead with your strength.
Prop Play
- Thread starter grey beard
- Start date
Grey Beard,
You have .......waaaaaay....... to much time on your hands and I Looooooove it!
Great apporach and Great call, I'm in for $100 :spotting:
You have .......waaaaaay....... to much time on your hands and I Looooooove it!
Great apporach and Great call, I'm in for $100 :spotting:
Line should be -200 IMO
Line should be -200 IMO
Sports333....Line Maker has built in -15 into this play making it -130....they probably have factored in Gruden's play in the Phil game...maybe Gruden changes tactics based on the opponent...personally I think it's 50/50 whether he defers the kickoff....which would put the line at -200...so I see value in this line if you agree with my logic....maybe we'll get lucky and the Raiders win the toss...I'd be shocked if they deferred....good luck...I'm going medium on this play.
Line should be -200 IMO
Sports333....Line Maker has built in -15 into this play making it -130....they probably have factored in Gruden's play in the Phil game...maybe Gruden changes tactics based on the opponent...personally I think it's 50/50 whether he defers the kickoff....which would put the line at -200...so I see value in this line if you agree with my logic....maybe we'll get lucky and the Raiders win the toss...I'd be shocked if they deferred....good luck...I'm going medium on this play.
Grey,
What I like is we really have two shots at winning. I say Oakland wins the toss and Recieve is a lock. If Tampa wins, 50/50.....therefore the good old rules of statistics tell us we have the slight edge, just like the house has at Roulette.
Good Luck my friend.:jump:
What I like is we really have two shots at winning. I say Oakland wins the toss and Recieve is a lock. If Tampa wins, 50/50.....therefore the good old rules of statistics tell us we have the slight edge, just like the house has at Roulette.
Good Luck my friend.:jump:
