Public Head Scratcher

WildBillPicks7

Move the line! I double dog dare you!!
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May 4, 2005
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Dodgers opened -400, down to -320 yet 65% still on the Dodgers?

Atlanta opened -110, moved to -125, now down to -105 which means they are now a dog, yet 95% on Braves moneyline.
,
Great day for unders as well. NYY/Oak total opened 7 1/2, to 8, to 8 1/2, 4 runs in first 5 then only 4 runs after? A's swung at everything Tanaka threw up there and most pitches were not strikes.

Head scratchers for sure!
 

bosco

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Jan 21, 2001
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Fort Worth, TX
Dodgers opened -400, down to -320 yet 65% still on the Dodgers?

Atlanta opened -110, moved to -125, now down to -105 which means they are now a dog, yet 95% on Braves moneyline.
,
Great day for unders as well. NYY/Oak total opened 7 1/2, to 8, to 8 1/2, 4 runs in first 5 then only 4 runs after? A's swung at everything Tanaka threw up there and most pitches were not strikes.

Head scratchers for sure!

Can you explain the commonly held theory on line moves and the corresponding "correct" play? So many events have such unanticipated outcomes. I don't get it.

Great call on KC btw!!! I tailed - thank you
 

WildBillPicks7

Move the line! I double dog dare you!!
Forum Member
May 4, 2005
28,499
1,321
113
65
Bellevue, Nebraska
Can you explain the commonly held theory on line moves and the corresponding "correct" play? So many events have such unanticipated outcomes. I don't get it.

Great call on KC btw!!! I tailed - thank you

I don't want to come across as a "know it all", although, the way I say things makes one depict that thought on how I am, but to answer your question, I don't have any one direct reason why the lines move the way they do, although the so called "computer boys" when they pounce on a play, they have followers and the word gets around to other heavy hitter players who in turn join along on a play as they did on the Phillies last night but in turn they pounded the Dodgers run line, again that is going on once again, but also a few nights ago, the computer boys "Billy Walters" network, pounced on the Reds vs the Nats in the short series, they did it again last night on 7 1/2 over on the NYY/Oak game for today.

Other line moves come from lineup announcements in which some bookmakers will make 5 and 10 cent line changes due to a player being out or coming back, like today with the Royals losing Alex Gordon for 6-8 weeks, while the Royals lost a run producing bat, they replaced him with a speed demon and have some depth on their bench, also sharps jumped on the anti-Ventura band wagon since he got ding donged around his previous 4 starts and was making his first start in some time.

So in short, moves are made by the money placed on side/total/run lines and news of players/pitcher being out, scratched, once team trainers make announcements and/or lineup cards are made up.

Some books also change the total line once the weather report is out, like in Wrigley for instance a few weeks back, the line was at 10 1/2 for a day game with the wind blowing out and a total of 3 runs were scored. :facepalm:. There have been more unders played at Wrigley this season than in seasons past, but that will change soon once the weather sticks to a summer weather pattern in Chi-town, if it does and the wind does consistently blow out, the lines for totals will adjust for their games at home.

GL Bosco and thanks for asking! Glad you hit on KC!

GL tonight everyone!

Major Line move by computer network, "UNDER" 7 Pitt/STL, now at 6 1/2 will drop to 6 perhaps, I know with my new local he has it at 6 1/2 -125.
 

bosco

Registered User
Forum Member
Jan 21, 2001
1,030
4
38
Fort Worth, TX
I don't want to come across as a "know it all", although, the way I say things makes one depict that thought on how I am, but to answer your question, I don't have any one direct reason why the lines move the way they do, although the so called "computer boys" when they pounce on a play, they have followers and the word gets around to other heavy hitter players who in turn join along on a play as they did on the Phillies last night but in turn they pounded the Dodgers run line, again that is going on once again, but also a few nights ago, the computer boys "Billy Walters" network, pounced on the Reds vs the Nats in the short series, they did it again last night on 7 1/2 over on the NYY/Oak game for today.

Other line moves come from lineup announcements in which some bookmakers will make 5 and 10 cent line changes due to a player being out or coming back, like today with the Royals losing Alex Gordon for 6-8 weeks, while the Royals lost a run producing bat, they replaced him with a speed demon and have some depth on their bench, also sharps jumped on the anti-Ventura band wagon since he got ding donged around his previous 4 starts and was making his first start in some time.

So in short, moves are made by the money placed on side/total/run lines and news of players/pitcher being out, scratched, once team trainers make announcements and/or lineup cards are made up.

Some books also change the total line once the weather report is out, like in Wrigley for instance a few weeks back, the line was at 10 1/2 for a day game with the wind blowing out and a total of 3 runs were scored. :facepalm:. There have been more unders played at Wrigley this season than in seasons past, but that will change soon once the weather sticks to a summer weather pattern in Chi-town, if it does and the wind does consistently blow out, the lines for totals will adjust for their games at home.

GL Bosco and thanks for asking! Glad you hit on KC!

GL tonight everyone!

Major Line move by computer network, "UNDER" 7 Pitt/STL, now at 6 1/2 will drop to 6 perhaps, I know with my new local he has it at 6 1/2 -125.

Thank you for the thorough response - I knew the weather & lineup stuff - the computer network...wow, what a trip.

GL tonight
bosco
 
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