question

[the addict]

Not complaining.....true question and interest.....

I Never understood games like this......by "this" i mean games where a far superior team that is usually ranked high, plays an opponent who sucks, yet said team is only a small fav....like tcu only -5 to texas or if denver was -4 vs jacksonville....

I mean vegas setting a line low I understand mistakes....but why in the world would oddsmaker, who have clearly made a mistake when 70%+ are on one side, continue lowering the line if they were not certain b of what we all call a sucker bet or trap.....lowering a line is strictly done to induce action or to try and even out money.....but why do they do it in games like this? Why try and get further action if not certain?


I guess ive just never understood why some lines are made so low in situations where they know they will get loaded on one side .....

Do they want some winners for interest? Or do they just hope to get tons b of money and pray for an upset?

 

[the addict]

Ive just never understood the benefits for a book setting these trap lines

 

[Redhog]

Only an opinion. I think that they do this get mind fuck people. They lower the line to make some think that big money hit the other side. Keeps people guessing. Who knows, maybe there was a whale or two out there who did hit texas.

 

[airportis]

it is hard to say for sure that 70% are on a certain side. there are sites out there that show what % is on a side, but how do we know how accurate that is for one, and how many people who arent recorded on those sites. i would think that the only sites that show true %'s would require users to vote, so who even knows if they have an active wager or not.

as far as the texas line, I dont think it was that far off before the game started. of course now it looks like a horrible line but before the game, I dont think it was that bad.

Texas was winners of 3 in a row before this game, with their last home game being a stomping of ranked WVU.

TCU is definitely the real deal, but before the game you could definitely make a case for Texas being very competitive. playing at home with a defense that ranks pretty well, and had only given up over 400 yards 4 times this year.

I would also say the very shaky play of TCU on the road played a big part of the low line. Last week winning by only 4 @ Kansas. squeaking out a 1 point win @ WVU. losing @ Baylor.

I think the factors were there to justify a short spread, but of course, it turned out to be a TCU blowout.

 

[ejthree]

Don't know about whales but several of us hit the under 55 and look at the fucking we took in this lil beauty...If i had a QB like this Swoopes i swear i would fucking punt on 1st down...WTF

 

[Smitty]

I agree 100% with airportis. and while this was a 20-3 game after 3 quarters. remember that tcu wasn't really moving the ball. they had a fumble return for a td, a fg set up by a punt return, and a fg set up by another turnover. this easily could have been a 7-3 game after 3 quarters. so texas really was more competitive than the score indicated.

I don't believe in "trap" lines. I think that's just gamblers overthinking things. the lines are driven by computers and line moves are driven by the money.

just my 2?

 

[Smitty]

Don't know about whales but several of us hit the under 55 and look at the fucking we took in this lil beauty...

terrible, terrible fucking loss. first tcu was still going hurry up with 5 minutes left and a 24-point lead. then the goddamn TAINT by the defensive lineman. just a sick loss. cost me a huge chunk of change.