- Mar 19, 2006
- 38,712
- 598
- 113
- 75
Who has the toughest road to Super Bowl 53? Ranking the path for all 32 NFL teams
Don't be surprised if the Patriots end up in the Super Bowl for the third year in a row
by John Breech
www.cbssports.com/nfl/news/who-has-the-toughest-road-to-super-bowl-53-ranking-the-path-for-all-32-nfl-teams/
a terrific read............
a little of it....
Don't be surprised if the Patriots end up in the Super Bowl for the third year in a row
by John Breech
www.cbssports.com/nfl/news/who-has-the-toughest-road-to-super-bowl-53-ranking-the-path-for-all-32-nfl-teams/
a terrific read............
a little of it....
The easiest way to rank each schedule in the NFL is to use strength of schedule, but we decided to throw that out the window, because that's not exactly the most efficient way to rate schedule difficulty. Instead, we came up with our own formula to rank each schedule.
If you need proof, just consider this: Since 1990, only three teams have started 0-3 and made the playoffs (1992 Chargers, 1995 Lions, 1998 Bills).
On the flip side of that, 3-0 usually means good things in the NFL: From 1990 to 2010, 75.9 percent of the teams that started 3-0 made the playoffs. Those odds drop to 54.9 percent for 2-1 teams and 23.3 percent for 1-2 teams.
You can look at last year's playoff field as proof of how important the first few games are: Of the 12 teams that made the postseason, only the Saints (1-2) didn't have a winning record through the first three weeks of the year. The other 11 teams either started the year 2-1 or 3-0. In 2016, 10 of the 12 teams that made the playoffs started the season with a record of 2-1 or 3-0.
This basically means that if your favorite team has a murderer's row over the first three weeks of the season, you should probably just give up on 2018 and start studying draft prospects for 2019, and if you decide to go the draft route, here's a link that will help you get your studying started.
