I understand playing on home teams in rd 2 of playoffs has been a 64% play last 10 years. And even higher if the team that is coming to town had a easy win the game before. A win by more then 14 that was decide before the 4th qrt even started. Sounds like a go against Indy and Carolina weekend. Thoughts and more info is always welcome.
RD 2 Home Teams
- Thread starter djv
- Start date
djv...
when you say play...are you refering to the spread or a straight up win?...
...if carolina can run effectively..rams are in trouble...over a TD is high spread for playoffs....if carolina has to play catch-up then Rams will be in good shape....but if carolina scores first and can rely on the run and defense then they will give rams all they can handle...
i think KC ..will take care of indy ..but be careful going against carolina...Rams have looked shaky at times..
and tenn was winning at halftime against the pats last game..and were driving to take lead late...ty law intercepted a pass and ran it back for about 60 yards....6.5 ..tough number...
good luck
cooz
when you say play...are you refering to the spread or a straight up win?...
...if carolina can run effectively..rams are in trouble...over a TD is high spread for playoffs....if carolina has to play catch-up then Rams will be in good shape....but if carolina scores first and can rely on the run and defense then they will give rams all they can handle...
i think KC ..will take care of indy ..but be careful going against carolina...Rams have looked shaky at times..
and tenn was winning at halftime against the pats last game..and were driving to take lead late...ty law intercepted a pass and ran it back for about 60 yards....6.5 ..tough number...
good luck
cooz
djv,
I found this post by an excellent capper on another site...
Bet on a semifinal home team that.....
1. Finished the reg season 12-4 or better
2. Failed to cover the last reg season game
3. Faces an opponent off a wildcard win by 7 or more
Since 1990 this happened 11 times, where the home rested team is 11-0 s/u and ATS covering by an average of 11 pts.
Add to this the fact that 2 of 3 ESPN analysts are calling for an outright Carolina victory.
Looks to me like the RAMS are the play in this one.
gl guys,
TT
I found this post by an excellent capper on another site...
Bet on a semifinal home team that.....
1. Finished the reg season 12-4 or better
2. Failed to cover the last reg season game
3. Faces an opponent off a wildcard win by 7 or more
Since 1990 this happened 11 times, where the home rested team is 11-0 s/u and ATS covering by an average of 11 pts.
Add to this the fact that 2 of 3 ESPN analysts are calling for an outright Carolina victory.
Looks to me like the RAMS are the play in this one.
gl guys,
TT
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Thanks Tony good stuff. My buddy just reminded me that since 1986 home teams in this round are 39 and 22 ats.
It's always hard to pick and choose. So just 4 homers maybe way to go.
It's always hard to pick and choose. So just 4 homers maybe way to go.
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djv
HOME is the Place to be this week.
Not because of stats or trends but because the remaiding good teams are home this week. The Ravens were home and had a 9-7 record playing a 12-4 team who was just better.
Certain games must be decided by the better team and then again thats never 100%. The NFL should stand for (Not For Long) nowadays, because everyweek is a different game and I would not put any stock on on teams acheivement that loses against teams it should kill, or good teams that lose once in while.
example the Rams losing to the Lion Cubs. or a team like Denver losing to the Bears at home or KC getting killed in MINN, GB losing to ARZ or even Dev kills INDY then loses to the Pack 31-7
I look for the most consistant teams and there are only a few and they are playing this week at HOME.
This is the week to be HOME
KIS
HOME is the Place to be this week.
Not because of stats or trends but because the remaiding good teams are home this week. The Ravens were home and had a 9-7 record playing a 12-4 team who was just better.
Certain games must be decided by the better team and then again thats never 100%. The NFL should stand for (Not For Long) nowadays, because everyweek is a different game and I would not put any stock on on teams acheivement that loses against teams it should kill, or good teams that lose once in while.
example the Rams losing to the Lion Cubs. or a team like Denver losing to the Bears at home or KC getting killed in MINN, GB losing to ARZ or even Dev kills INDY then loses to the Pack 31-7
I look for the most consistant teams and there are only a few and they are playing this week at HOME.
This is the week to be HOME
KIS
djv,
I pretty much agree with the homers being the way to go this week. Personally I think the homers win the money in the first three games, with GB + 5.5 getting the cash in the last game.
best of luck to ya,
TT
I pretty much agree with the homers being the way to go this week. Personally I think the homers win the money in the first three games, with GB + 5.5 getting the cash in the last game.
best of luck to ya,
TT
