Regional Finals

[203Hoosier]

Yesterday
3-0
+6.34 units

Season
254-268-3
+261.23 units (season high-water mark)

Pending: Michigan to win NCAA Tournament....1 unit at +2800

Saturday-Sunday selections:

2 units
Michigan -185....I've been on this Michigan team since January, and they've delivered. I'm not stopping now. If John Beilein had the talent that Tom Izzo gets, he'd already be in the Hall of Fame.
Low turnovers + low fouls + high 3-point% = great recipe for success. I would make this a bigger play, but Florida State's length is my only concern.

More later, maybe...

 

[jordan23]

Any opinion on the other game? Thanks

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[203Hoosier]

Hi jordan23-

The other game looks like an absolute toss-up to me. I don't see any value either way.
Maybe the total looks a little low. If it's a close game, could see some late free throws push the game over?
Not touching it. Just looking forward to watching the madness of these two lower seeds fight for a Final Four berth!

Good luck today.

 

[jordan23]

Thanks for replying. Good luck tonight

 

[Randercity]

I BLEED BLUE!!! Go Michigan! I too have futures on Michigan and love we aren?t facing Tar Heels and will be favored to advance if we beat FSU

A & M was also long and lengthy... how?d that go?

Go Blue!!


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[203Hoosier]

Randercity...
I had Michigan over A&M as well.
Still can't believe A&M didn't run many sets to get the ball down low. Aggies didn't show up and Michigan did. Michigan would have beaten anybody that night. Aggies effort was atrocious.
Imagine if John Beilein had a team loaded with 5 stars, like Duke or UK?! He's the "anti-Harbaugh"

 

[Randercity]

Randercity...
I had Michigan over A&M as well.
Still can't believe A&M didn't run many sets to get the ball down low. Aggies didn't show up and Michigan did. Michigan would have beaten anybody that night. Aggies effort was atrocious.
Imagine of John Beilein had a team loaded with 5 stars, like Duke or UK?! He's the "anti-Harbaugh"

Amen


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[203Hoosier]

2H
6 units
Michigan -170
Michigan not yet fully capitalizing on all these FSU turnovers, in what is basically a home game for UM fans out in L.A.
Wolverines playing awful offensively, and are still leading the game. Michigan is still doing what it does best- not fouling. 8 turnovers in a half is actually high for this team!
I really think this team is going straight to the championship game.

 

[203Hoosier]

Charles Barkley says Michigan has "no chance" to beat Florida State in this game. Even more reason to load up on Michigan.

 

[eeeerock]

I'm sick with the push,I would feel good if Michigan had been down then hit a shot to make it a push as I had Michigan -4,but to win by 4 in that game pisses me off with the push...I mean your down by 4 with 10 seconds and you don't foul,miracles can happen but not if you just let them run out the clock,to me that is a fishy ending with that spread anywhere from 4-5 depending when or how you played it....To make matters worse for me I have a square with the winning team 6 and losing team 2 so I'm sitting on it with less then 40 seconds to play and K St fouls down 14 and of course Loy makes the Fts pushing the winning team number to 8 thus losing my square.So 2 end of the game finishes and they both screw me....GL and hope Michigan can run it out for your futures!!!!I know my Father in law would enjoy it as well since he is an alum of Michigan!!!

 

[BuckwheatJWN]

WITH 10 SECONDS LEFT A PUSH IS PROBABLY THE BEST RESULT. EVERY LIKELY SCENARIO A TIE IS PROBABLY THE BEST WE COME AWAY WITH. JUST SAYIN" :0008

PS. LET ME BE CLEAR THOUGH. FLA STATE SHOULD HAVE FOULED..

 

[203Hoosier]

You are absolutely correct. FSU should have fouled.
If FSU fouls, they have maybe a 1 or 2% chance of winning.
If FSU doesn't foul, they have 0% chance of winning.
Bottom line, at least give yourself a chance!
Always extend the game.

 

[203Hoosier]

Saturday
2-0
+8 units

Year- to-Date
256-268-3
+269.23 units (season high-water mark)

Still pending: 1 unit on Michigan to win the NCAA Tournament at 28-1.

Sunday

1 unit
Duke -3 (-105)

 

[eeeerock]

My notes have this game Duke/Kansas as an under, I hate Duke because to me they are like the Patriots you play against them and the refs.If Coach K was any other coach he would have about 12 Techs at least but not sure he has 1,almost like the refs listen to him,so my theory is either you bet with Coach K and Bellicheck or you don't bet the game,no profit betting against them 2.My notes say bet under when a #1 faces a #2 don't have all the numbers just a mental note.I always play one of the games over and the other over,seems they like to appease everyone with a higher scoring game and a lower one so will be playing Nova game over.Nova I picked to win it all and I'm never right so expect the upset haha.I hate lines of 6 seems like so many times the dog wins outright so my philosophy of one over one under and one fav and one dog would be fitting for your Duke play and a fade of my Nova champ....GL on Duke, I will be on the under pretty big myself,although I will be in big trouble if the refs put Azubuike in foul trouble early, which wouldn't surprise me one bit.Just feel he could limit Bagley inside if not in foul trouble,Duke can contest some of the 3 point shooting Kansas likes though. Hope you don't mid me sharing my thoughts in your thread,you have had an amazing season and look forward to the bases when the hoops end.

 

[eeeerock]

Man if you get over that 300 unit mark with your future play that would be an amazing season,regardless it was a good one and still not over!!! You continue to make the smart move,most of your plays are nice + ML plays but then you throw in a fav at a - price but it proves the reason why you played that # because the spread either would have lost or tied depending when you played it.You really are an asset here and I appreciate what you do!!!It doesn't go unnoticed just wish I could say I have the same amount of wins haha,but i'm stubborn and think I'm right, but have learned I want to be on the same side as you more then not.Continued success bud!!!!

 

[203Hoosier]

good stuff, eeeerock.
It will be interesting to see if Duke plays its recent zone against Kansas. I don't think they should, because KU can be lethal from 3.
Same if Duke plays Nova.
Just a small play on Duke for me, but good luck with your under!

 

[203Hoosier]

Thank you for the kind words. I have been extremely fortunate at the end of games with most of my point spread plays this year. Point spreads are tough, and not something I enjoy picking too often.
I feel much better and safer with the moneylines. For favorites, I don't have to worry about covering, and just try to think about which team is going to execute and come away with the 'W' when all is said and done. I look at value of the - I'm laying.
With ML underdogs, I try to find games that I think are 50-50 toss-ups, and get that team on the + side of the odds.
I'll be taking Michigan over Loyola ML next weekend. It's around -260 now. Hoping it comes down a bit with the public having "Loyola fever."

 

[eeeerock]

What I was also getting at is you don't have ridiculous Ml favs when you do play them,not like you have 5 plays with the ML -500 like some,your fav is a small fav and usually proves why you were smart to play it as a ML vs the spread.Love the way you keep selective and continue to make the right choices,SOLID ASS CAPPER YOU ARE!!!Thanks again for sharing

 

[Randercity]

What I was also getting at is you don't have ridiculous Ml favs when you do play them,not like you have 5 plays with the ML -500 like some,your fav is a small fav and usually proves why you were smart to play it as a ML vs the spread.Love the way you keep selective and continue to make the right choices,SOLID ASS CAPPER YOU ARE!!!Thanks again for sharing

Very true... Well said. Other than Bobby Knight and Isaiah Thomas, you are the ONLY Hoosier I appreciate!! [emoji41]

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[bryanz]

My notes have this game Duke/Kansas as an under, I hate Duke because to me they are like the Patriots you play against them and the refs.If Coach K was any other coach he would have about 12 Techs at least but not sure he has 1,almost like the refs listen to him,so my theory is either you bet with Coach K and Bellicheck or you don't bet the game,no profit betting against them 2.My notes say bet under when a #1 faces a #2 don't have all the numbers just a mental note.I always play one of the games over and the other over,seems they like to appease everyone with a higher scoring game and a lower one so will be playing Nova game over.Nova I picked to win it all and I'm never right so expect the upset haha.I hate lines of 6 seems like so many times the dog wins outright so my philosophy of one over one under and one fav and one dog would be fitting for your Duke play and a fade of my Nova champ....GL on Duke, I will be on the under pretty big myself,although I will be in big trouble if the refs put Azubuike in foul trouble early, which wouldn't surprise me one bit.Just feel he could limit Bagley inside if not in foul trouble,Duke can contest some of the 3 point shooting Kansas likes though. Hope you don't mid me sharing my thoughts in your thread,you have had an amazing season and look forward to the bases when the hoops end.

I have DK/ Kan OVER... What did your notes say about, DK / SYR Total ..