Regular Season Week 1 Leans

[bleedingpurple]

ALL PLAYS:scared

Packers/Saints UNDER 47.5
Houston - 8.5
Chargers - 9
Rediskins +3
Browns - 6
Detroit +1.5
Atlanta - 3
Jets/Boys OVER 40.5

Opening Night..

Green Bay / Saints UNDER 47.5

Well I am a great fade for totals so I will put this out there.. If you want the OVER I suggest you play it now I would think the public brings this line to 47 - 49 range when pre-season end.
This game will feature 2 of the best offenses in the NFL but it also features 2 really good defenses. The Saints had a few nice adds to defense this off season and I look for them to be much improved. Green Bay's pass defense was awesome last year, holding opponent QB ratings to about 70 %, they were the best in football last year at doing that.
I do not expect the Saints to come out flinging the ball all around, the best way to get at Green Bay is to pound at em and they have the backs to do it. I would be sticking Matthews right in the gut all night and I am sure they want to keep the Packers offense off the field.
Add in the new kickoff rules and special teams will not play much a role in kick offs. I am sure Crosby will be one of the leaders in touch backs. So I see teams having to drive the ball 80 yards to get touchdowns in this one. You have 2 of the best QBs si turnover should not give the other team good field position except for fumbles.

Houston Texans minus whatever vs. Indianapolis without Manning
Houston - 3 - 6 vs. Indy with Manning.

I expect the line to be 9 if Manning is out and I have to believe the Texans will absolutely destroy the Colts without him, and even with him I have the Texans by 10. The Texans have it all on offense and I cant see the Colts stopping it. They will get that early lead and sent that pass rush. I have to admit I was DEAD WRONG when the Texans first drafted Watt out of WI, most Wisky D players do not pan out but what I have seen out of Watt has been high intensity and good reaction. I know it is Preseason but man he looks good..

San Diego - 8.5 over Minny

I won't play it, can't root against my team especially on opening day. Bet against them once and it made me sick. They lost by 3 and it was a push.
This is very simple, one team should be a well oiled machine on offense and the other will struggle. Plus the Vikes just do not have the defensive personel. The Chargers statistically were the best offense and defense last year but did not make the playoffs because of special teams. 5 blocked punts last year.. OUCH!! I just cant see the Vikings staying in this one as much as I want them too. The O Line will have to dominate and D will have to cause turnovers to win.. San Diego will win the game and have to think by at least 2 scores.

OTHERS I am CHECKING INTO

1. Jets - 4 vs Dallas

2. St Louis + 5 vs Philly

3. Detroit + 3 vs Tampa

 

[NBA_Kid]

I`m looking into the Lions and Rams myself.

Lions can win that game SU i think.

 

[bleedingpurple]

These have all turned into plays.. Packer total up to 47.5 and I am sure the local will pump that total up to 48 or more cause he is going to get hammered with Packer and Over bets straight and parlayed...

Houston is at 8.5 and I really think they crush the Colts, I mean crush em..

I see a couple of cappers are taking the Vikes plus the points, I will be rooting for em, but for the Hippo Phart contest I am thinking the Chargers will be on my list.. The Vikes secondary can not keep up and their pass rush will not get to Rivers, Vikes do not have enough O to keep up..

ADDING:

Cleveland -6 OVER Cincinatti, I think the Bengals could be the worst team in football. Like the Brownies to win by at least a TD in home opener.

Detroit +1.5

They are better up front defensively than Tampa can handle, I expect a sophomore jinx for Freeman, I think the Lions win outright, do not like the fact that the line has dropped but same situation last year when Pack went into Philly and won on opening day.

St. Louis +5

Rams have an improving defense and a nice spread offense, may win outright but will gladly take the points.

Washington +3

There is not much I like about the Giants. I know I have caught shit for not ranking them very high in my NFC rankings but I will take the division home dog on opening day. I like where Washington is headed and the Giants offense does have balance but Eli is over rated 25 picks last year and still making dumb decisions in pre season. I know it is pre season but dumb is dumb. Plus I think the Giants defense wiill be bad..

Jets/Cowboys OVER 40.5

The Cowboys are going to put up a ton of points this year. Too many weapons, but theiir defense is going to stink too. I look for the Jets to be able to push it up on the Boys.. Looking for both teams to enter the 20s.. Remember I suck at totals but lets see what happens..

 

[bleedingpurple]

Atlanta - 3 Over Chicago

Yeah I don't know I missed ths one but I think Atlanta will not be as good as last year but I really think the Bears take a BIG step back. They have secondary issues, an aging defense, and animosity about contracts.

Atlanta should get em..

Christ there are way too many games that I like. There are still more but I can't play more can I??

 

[BigGaycapper]

I like your card, thinking Washington wins outright. Im calling for a long season in NewYork. The only strength i see for NY is there running game with Bradshaw and Jacobs. Manning lost key targets in Smith and Boss and Nicks will see a ton of double teams and the Oline is a big question mark. Defensively Umenyiora will miss the start of the season and there secondary is average at best. 8-8 or 7-9 and bye bye Coughlin hello Cowher is my prediction. GL this year

 

[bleedingpurple]

I like your card, thinking Washington wins outright. Im calling for a long season in NewYork. The only strength i see for NY is there running game with Bradshaw and Jacobs. Manning lost key targets in Smith and Boss and Nicks will see a ton of double teams and the Oline is a big question mark. Defensively Umenyiora will miss the start of the season and there secondary is average at best. 8-8 or 7-9 and bye bye Coughlin hello Cowher is my prediction. GL this year

EXACTLY!!!:0074

 

[Zamo]

Digging your logic on Thursday night Under, but man what a tough bet to start the season....:scared

Everyone will be on the over and usually takes a few weeks for NFL offenses to catch up to the defenses. I think everyone will want to bet the over, and I do think NO will want to show up their new running attack.....still a tough one to predict

Also digging your logic on the Skins and home dog. Think Skins "should" be better, but think I will need to see more out of them as the season progresses. The skins are still the Skins and think their offense is still shit. They looked good in the first half against Baltimore week#3 of preseason....

With yah on Atl already!! :toast: