reitsma over park

[bosco]

Why isn't CINN a heavy farvorite with this matchup....??

Any thoughts would be appreciated. This looks like one of those that look too easy...

GL

 

[cooz3]

BOSCO...I HAVE LOOKED AT THIS GAME BACK AND FORTH AND IT REMINDS A BIT OF THE LINES IN THE TEXAS/ATLANTA SERIES ..I WENT LIGHT ON THOSE GAMES FOR THE VERY REASON THAT THEY "LOOKED TO EASY"...PARK'S PITCHING HISTORY VS. CINCI IS PRETTY GOOD ( 3-4 VS. CINCI 3.81 era IN 11 OUTINGS..9 STARTS)AS IS HIS INTERLEAGUE PITCHING HISTORY AS WELL...SO I GUESS THOSE ARE TWO ANGLES THAT THE LINESMAKERS MAY BE LOOKING AT...REITSMA HAS LOST HIS LAST THREE AND HAS ALLOWED 7 EARNED RUNS ..18 HITS..IN 16 INNINGS... HOWEVER, REITSMA HAS NEVER LOST 4 STRAIGHT AND IN GAME 3 AFTER A WIN CINCI IS 6-8 AND TEXAS IN GAME 3 AFTER A LOSS IS 1-9 ...PARK IN 4 GAMES PITCHED AT HOME IS 2-2 ..15 INNNINGS PITCHED..HE HAS GIVEN UP 21 HITS AND 21 RUNS AND HIS ERA IS 12.60...ALSO PARK IS 0-2 PITCHING AT NIGHT AT HOME... THE OVER/UNDER IN THIS GAME IS 10.5 SO THE ODDSMAKERS SEE SOME RUNS SCORED IN THIS GAME AND REITSAM'S LAST 5 GAMES HAVE GONE 4-1 UNDER ( OUR PROBLEM IS WHO IS GONNA SCORE THE RUNS)...SO I CAN SEE YOUR CONCERN AS TO WHY THE NUMBER IS SO LOW IN TAKING CINCI...I PERSONALLY WILL BE TAKING CINCI AS I DID LAST NIGHT..I CANT FIGURE THE LINE OUT ON THIS GAME EITHER...BUT I WONT BE SCARED AWAY FROM PLAYING IT EITHER AS I WAS WITH ATLANTA LAST WEEK...I THINK PARK IS REALLY STRUGGLING RIGHT NOW AND CINCI IS WORTH A SHOT AT THIS PRICE... (SIDENOTE...TEXAS IS 2-7 WITH THIS UMP)..IVE PROBABLY CONFUSED YOU MORE THAN ANYTHING BUT SOMETIMES WE JUST THINK TO MUCH ON THESE PLAYS...HOPEFULLY TONIGHT THE LOGICAL ONE WORKS OUT...GOOD LUCK..COOZ

 

[bosco]

no confusion....

a lot of variables....

I'm still looking at the rest of the games. I try to stick to only a few plays a night, so we'll see if this one makes it inthe top three.

GL

 

[bosco]

cooz-

just noticed that OLY has TX favored....

bizzare....

I think I'll sit this one out, there's more plays out there that make me alot less nervous.

GL tonight

 

[Terryray]

Park gets too much respect, even during his current slide.

Might have to do with too many big money Texas bettors outthere!

Park will snap out of it sometime, he's not a 10 era pitcher.
and big bats on TX, like A-Rod, breakout due sometime too.

but I'm not gonna bet it will be tonight!

 

[cooz3]

BOSCO..THANKS FOR THE UPDATE...IM PLAYING EM'...GOOD LUCK..COOZ

 

[PETE]

casey for cincy is ? for tonite.

 

[cooz3]

WELL REITSMA AINT GETTING THE LOSS....THEY WERE WINNING 4-2 WHEN HE LEFT THE GAME...WINNING FOR BASICALLY THE WHOLE GAME AND THIER PEN BLOWS IT....OH WELL WHAT CAN YOU DO....IT HAPPENS...COOZ

 

[Terryray]

those TX bats did come alive!

those TX bats did come alive!

Is there any way you can predict this?

there must be some indications.

What do you fellows look for when something like this is due?

last game in series before break make it more likely?

 

[vchipsliu]

Because the Reds own some fantastic bullpen

 

[bosco]

Terryray--

I don't know the answer to your questions...something didn't smell right on this one..even after watching the game...I still can't figure out how the books new CINN wasn't a strong favorite...I guess thats why they win more than 50% of the time...

:shrug: