Jan 20, 2019
312 New Orleans Saints -167 over Los Angeles Rams
Lost 26-23
This game had the worst non call I have ever witnessed! This is not soar grapes. Just Fact.
500/299
It?s usually hard to beat a team twice in a season but...The home field advantage could be the difference in this game. That said, the Rams may keep this game close. The Saints will win the game but I look for the Rams to cover the 3.5 point spread. That is why I am going with the money line.
Score Prediction: Saints 34 ? Rams 31
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313 New England Patriots +3 +100 over Kansas City Chief
Won 26-23
This is historic stuff we are witnessing. I thought that Brady was nuts when he said something like the Patriots are not getting the respect that it deserves. Well the beat goes on. Early on the Rams are -1 favorites. I think that is nuts.
500/500
These are two of the best teams at staying ahead of the chains with success on early downs. One big difference, per Warren Sharp, is that the Chiefs ranked 28th on defense in early down success rate. The Patriots were 13th.
Mahomes and the Chiefs are plenty capable of completing third-and-longs but the bigger concern here would be getting the Patriots offense off of the field. I?m not sure how often that happens. The weather is a concern. The very early forecasts show temperatures in the teens and wind chills even colder than that. That may enhance the importance of the running games and keep the clock moving.
As far as a side play goes, the Chiefs are the more explosive team but we can probably look at the Patriots with a higher degree of certainty.
The better bet in both of these games would be to find some player props and/or derivatives. Both teams got off to fast starts in the Divisional Round, so maybe looking at the first quarter over is the way to go. Those scripted drives are usually pretty successful with offensive talent like this. I would also expect Sony Michel to go over his rushing yards total.
If you have to play the full-game side which I am doing, the Chiefs are probably the better team at present and we didn?t see Brady really get tested in the Chargers game because of the huge lead. He didn?t throw many balls downfield, which was a problem throughout the year. With the bitter cold, the Chiefs would be wise to bunch the line of scrimmage and force Brady to beat them deep. That said I will contradict myself and I have the thinnest of leans to New England with the +3.
No score prediction for this game. (Bang the Book)
Playoffs to Date
1-1=50%
312 New Orleans Saints -167 over Los Angeles Rams
Lost 26-23
This game had the worst non call I have ever witnessed! This is not soar grapes. Just Fact.
500/299
It?s usually hard to beat a team twice in a season but...The home field advantage could be the difference in this game. That said, the Rams may keep this game close. The Saints will win the game but I look for the Rams to cover the 3.5 point spread. That is why I am going with the money line.
Score Prediction: Saints 34 ? Rams 31
--------------------------------------------------------
313 New England Patriots +3 +100 over Kansas City Chief
Won 26-23
This is historic stuff we are witnessing. I thought that Brady was nuts when he said something like the Patriots are not getting the respect that it deserves. Well the beat goes on. Early on the Rams are -1 favorites. I think that is nuts.
500/500
These are two of the best teams at staying ahead of the chains with success on early downs. One big difference, per Warren Sharp, is that the Chiefs ranked 28th on defense in early down success rate. The Patriots were 13th.
Mahomes and the Chiefs are plenty capable of completing third-and-longs but the bigger concern here would be getting the Patriots offense off of the field. I?m not sure how often that happens. The weather is a concern. The very early forecasts show temperatures in the teens and wind chills even colder than that. That may enhance the importance of the running games and keep the clock moving.
As far as a side play goes, the Chiefs are the more explosive team but we can probably look at the Patriots with a higher degree of certainty.
The better bet in both of these games would be to find some player props and/or derivatives. Both teams got off to fast starts in the Divisional Round, so maybe looking at the first quarter over is the way to go. Those scripted drives are usually pretty successful with offensive talent like this. I would also expect Sony Michel to go over his rushing yards total.
If you have to play the full-game side which I am doing, the Chiefs are probably the better team at present and we didn?t see Brady really get tested in the Chargers game because of the huge lead. He didn?t throw many balls downfield, which was a problem throughout the year. With the bitter cold, the Chiefs would be wise to bunch the line of scrimmage and force Brady to beat them deep. That said I will contradict myself and I have the thinnest of leans to New England with the +3.
No score prediction for this game. (Bang the Book)
Playoffs to Date
1-1=50%
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