I just have time to write down some available lines and Rogers Cable decides to shut down my area for a 4-hour service wastage.
I gave some thought to the games, but haven't got a whole lotta (love) numbers to back much up. What the hell ...
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Pirates(D'Amico++)@Expos(Ohka+)
--Ohka won @Pirates 5-2 in last, but was pounded in 2 of previous 3 (interleague); he's allowed 23 hits in 18 IP vs (.324 oba, 3 GS), but owns 2-1 record w/2.00 era; D'Amico beat Expos 7-3 in his last (6 IP, 6h, 2er), is now 3-0 w/2.70 era in 4 career starts vs
--looks like crapshoot w/line; total looks kinda high, to me, especially w/yesterday's 3-0 score
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Marlins(Penny---)@Mets(Leiter+)
--5 of Penny's past 7 were real solid, but 2 of past 3 stunk; Mets roughed him up in last (Angels also, June 8th); HE'S NOW 0-7 IN 10 STARTS VS METS, W/6.96 ERA; Leiter 11-4 in 16 GS vs (4.00 era), including 2 good starts vs back in April, but his last, vs Penny, he allowed 6 walks & 6 hits through 5 (5 er), still got the W, 10-5 (score); Marlins starters reason for recent sweep over D'Rays, as club only scored 8 runs in the 3 games (1 was 6 innings)
--hard not to like Mets here, but hard to like them a lot. Mets appeared to be giving it their all, in last vs Yanks (I got to see this one), but their BP pulled a major comedy routine. Marlins pen average, making the under even less attractive. Over no fun, either, as both starters capable of dominating now and then. I've got a soft spot for Leiter, but his 3.43 career era @Shea has gone up with his 5.31 this year (still 3-1 at home)
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Phillies(Millwood-)@Braves(Ortiz+)
--Can't give too high a probability anytime facing Millwood this year, but Braves have to be favoured after 6-1 Braves win @Veterens w/this matchup; Braves took no mercy on ex-teammate there, so no reason to expect any here. Still, if he's pumped, well ... probably be an under, then. 8.5 looks high except for the Braves offensive #s; Braves scored 6, then 10, then 3 in last series vs O's, @Turner. Ortiz just 3-3 lifetime vs (3.63 in 10 GS), but blanked Philly thru 6 in the 6-1 win; he's 5-2 w/3.72 @Turner this year. Braves or under ... can't see Philly pounding here; they scored 11 in mini 2-game series w/Bosox (22 innings), but much of that was vs joke-of-a-Sox-pen
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Brewers(Quevedo+)@Cubs(K-Wood++)
--Quevedo w/some decent career #'s vs Cubs, including 29 K in 29 IP and 2.79 era (.231 oba), but he was smoked at home by Cubs May 13th (6.1, 10h, 6er), getting the L, 2-7.
--gee ... Wood is only 4-5 in 13 career starts vs Brewers, but check out the other numbers: 92 IP, 53 h, 7 HR, 44 BB, 111 K, 2.93 era 1.05 whip, .171 oba. He had 3 outta 5 rough starts recently, before last @Reds, a complete game 3-hitter w/0 BB and 9 K, W 4-1 (Guillen HR). Run-support for Wood has been atrocious this year; he's only 6-5 on the year. Gimme a break.
--price reflects the expected pounding. Run-line looks safe to me. Cubs BP much better also, though Wood only threw 108 pitches vs Reds, and will be working w/5 days rest
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I understand about indecision
And I don't care if I get behind
People living in competition
All I want is to have my peace of mind
(Boston-Peace of Mind)
I gave some thought to the games, but haven't got a whole lotta (love) numbers to back much up. What the hell ...
------------------------------------------------
Pirates(D'Amico++)@Expos(Ohka+)
--Ohka won @Pirates 5-2 in last, but was pounded in 2 of previous 3 (interleague); he's allowed 23 hits in 18 IP vs (.324 oba, 3 GS), but owns 2-1 record w/2.00 era; D'Amico beat Expos 7-3 in his last (6 IP, 6h, 2er), is now 3-0 w/2.70 era in 4 career starts vs
--looks like crapshoot w/line; total looks kinda high, to me, especially w/yesterday's 3-0 score
----------------------------------------------------
Marlins(Penny---)@Mets(Leiter+)
--5 of Penny's past 7 were real solid, but 2 of past 3 stunk; Mets roughed him up in last (Angels also, June 8th); HE'S NOW 0-7 IN 10 STARTS VS METS, W/6.96 ERA; Leiter 11-4 in 16 GS vs (4.00 era), including 2 good starts vs back in April, but his last, vs Penny, he allowed 6 walks & 6 hits through 5 (5 er), still got the W, 10-5 (score); Marlins starters reason for recent sweep over D'Rays, as club only scored 8 runs in the 3 games (1 was 6 innings)
--hard not to like Mets here, but hard to like them a lot. Mets appeared to be giving it their all, in last vs Yanks (I got to see this one), but their BP pulled a major comedy routine. Marlins pen average, making the under even less attractive. Over no fun, either, as both starters capable of dominating now and then. I've got a soft spot for Leiter, but his 3.43 career era @Shea has gone up with his 5.31 this year (still 3-1 at home)
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Phillies(Millwood-)@Braves(Ortiz+)
--Can't give too high a probability anytime facing Millwood this year, but Braves have to be favoured after 6-1 Braves win @Veterens w/this matchup; Braves took no mercy on ex-teammate there, so no reason to expect any here. Still, if he's pumped, well ... probably be an under, then. 8.5 looks high except for the Braves offensive #s; Braves scored 6, then 10, then 3 in last series vs O's, @Turner. Ortiz just 3-3 lifetime vs (3.63 in 10 GS), but blanked Philly thru 6 in the 6-1 win; he's 5-2 w/3.72 @Turner this year. Braves or under ... can't see Philly pounding here; they scored 11 in mini 2-game series w/Bosox (22 innings), but much of that was vs joke-of-a-Sox-pen
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Brewers(Quevedo+)@Cubs(K-Wood++)
--Quevedo w/some decent career #'s vs Cubs, including 29 K in 29 IP and 2.79 era (.231 oba), but he was smoked at home by Cubs May 13th (6.1, 10h, 6er), getting the L, 2-7.
--gee ... Wood is only 4-5 in 13 career starts vs Brewers, but check out the other numbers: 92 IP, 53 h, 7 HR, 44 BB, 111 K, 2.93 era 1.05 whip, .171 oba. He had 3 outta 5 rough starts recently, before last @Reds, a complete game 3-hitter w/0 BB and 9 K, W 4-1 (Guillen HR). Run-support for Wood has been atrocious this year; he's only 6-5 on the year. Gimme a break.
--price reflects the expected pounding. Run-line looks safe to me. Cubs BP much better also, though Wood only threw 108 pitches vs Reds, and will be working w/5 days rest
---------------------------------------------------------------------------
I understand about indecision
And I don't care if I get behind
People living in competition
All I want is to have my peace of mind
(Boston-Peace of Mind)
