Round 2 Tip Sheet

Senor Capper

is feeling it
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Steelers at Titans

--Pittsburgh has surrendered 64 points in its last two games and has failed to cover the spread on either occasion. The club?s spread record is 2-8 in its last 10 efforts.

--The ?over? has cashed in seven of the Steelers? last nine games, including the last two in a row.

--The Steelers are 5-3 SU and 3-4-1 ATS on the road, including 1-0 ATS as a road underdog.

--These clubs met once this season (Nov. 17), with Tennessee registering a 31-23 victory as a three-point home underdog. The combined 54 points soared ?over? the closing 44-point total.

--Tennessee, which hasn?t played since Dec. 29, concluded the regular campaign by going 10-1 SU and 9-2 ATS. The squad won and covered its last five outings, with the last three dipping ?under? the closing total.

--The Titans are 6-2 SU and 5-3 ATS at home, but just 2-3 ATS as a home favorite.

--Tennessee has not allowed more than 17 points in any of its last four contests.





Falcons at Eagles

--Atlanta advanced to the second round of the playoffs by defeating Green Bay last week as a seven-point road underdog, 27-7. It was the eighth time this season that Atlanta had surrendered 17 points or less.

--After a stretch of five straight ?over? games, the ?under? has appeared in Atlanta?s last two outings.

--The Falcons are 5-3 SU and 7-2 ATS on the road, including a nifty 5-1 as a road underdog. The ?under? is 6-3 in nine road dates.

--The Eagles haven?t played since Dec. 28 when they dropped a 10-7 overtime decision against the New York Giants as a one-point road underdog. The loss snapped Philadelphia?s six-game winning streak both SU and ATS.

--Philadelphia has yielded 17 points or less in 11 of 16 games this season.

--The Eagles are a sparkling 7-1 SU and 6-2 ATS at Veterans Stadium, including 5-2 as a home favorite.

--These teams have not met since the 2000 campaign when the Eagles registered a 38-10 victory as three-point home favorites. The combined 48 points jumped ?over? the closing 41-point total.
 

djv

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Senor im taking all 4 home teams. I dont care if there all wrong. But I can not buck a 62% trend that has been going on for years.
Last week with just one home team covering makes me even more determined to stay the course. I Maybe a old fool but I think the money is with the homers this week.
GL
 

louthesz

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steelmen

steelmen

sc: ref 64 pts allowed by steelmen last two they SCORED 70. hung
23 on tn in nov. they have playmakers!! i'm takin' pitt and all i can git!!!
 

ferdville

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Pitt may have hung 23 on Tenessee in first match up, but didn't Tennessee go for 31? Pitt's defense is a sick puppy, but at least I feel their chance is best if they get into a shoot out! Thanks for the nice stats Senor!
 

louthesz

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pitt&allyoucangit!!

10 yrs ago buff overcame 32 pt deficit and went on rd as dog and won su. two tms qualify this week to repeat HISTORY. i'll take pitt.
 

Senor Capper

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Home teams do look tasty

Home teams do look tasty

Oh BTW the Pointwise hit all 4 games last weekend.
They had Pitt & Giants by 3.
JETS to cover easily & GB by 3.


This week they are on all HOME TEAMS with the exception of Titans (have Steelers outright)

:rolleyes:
 

Blazer

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Music to Nashville's ears

Music to Nashville's ears

Round 2 is the best time to fade the hot team <I>(insert JETS and Pitt here)</I>. There is a reason the better team gets a bye. 1. They are the better team. 2. Coming off a bye you are more rested and can nurse injuries. Pitt's notable injuries and nicks <I>(especially in thier secondary which was lit up by MTSU's Kelly Holcomb for 429 yards)</I> makes them prime targets. In thier last meeting Mcnair had good success in the air and prevented any sacks. The Tenn game is the only game Pitt did not register a sack in 2002. On the other side of the ball, Tenn was all over the QB<I> (knocking him out of the game)</I>, add in the Freak who is only in his 4th game of the season and Tennessee's pass-rush will aide thier weaker secondary. Tennessee can also run the ball in the fouth quarter to kill the clock. They ran the ball forty times in thier 31-23 victory earlier this season. <P>

Note: The Titans are 8 ? 2 against the spread in their last 10 games. They haven't been given the credit they deserve since dropping 4-straight early in the season. <P>:jump:
 

gardenweasel

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many faded the hot teams last weekend

many faded the hot teams last weekend

and outsmarted themselves....remember....there are pointspreads involved....it`s possible to lose and still cover the game.......i know i`m stating the obvious....but,these spreads are heading for rather substantial territory....g.l.
 

Senor Capper

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Sundays Tip Sheet

Sundays Tip Sheet

Niners at Buccaneers


--San Francisco has posted a 5-3 SU road record this year, while going just 2-5 ATS.

--The Niners have struggled to a 4-11 ATS overall ledger this season, with a 3-7 ATS mark versus NFC opponents.

--San Francisco is an incredible 0-8-1 ATS its last nine games after failing to cover versus New York last weekend as a two-point home ?chalk,? 39-38.

--The Niners haven?t covered ATS since Nov. 3 when they beat the Raiders in overtime as a three-point road underdog, 23-20.

--The ?over? has cashed in San Francisco?s past two games, and is 5-2 its last seven outings.

--Tampa Bay is 6-2 both SU and ATS at home, with the ?under? going 5-3.

--That record includes an unblemished 3-0 record both SU and ATS versus NFC foes.

--The Bucs improved to 3-1 SU (2-2 ATS) its last four games after blanking Chicago in the regular-season finale as a 7 ?-point road favorite, 15-0.

--The 15 points in that contest failed to eclipse the 33-point closing total, helping the ?under? cash for the second consecutive contest.



Jets at Raiders

--This marks the fifth time the past two seasons that these two teams have met in Oakland. The Raiders are 3-1 SU and 2-2 ATS in those matchups.

--Oakland, the AFC West champion, is 6-2 SU and 5-3 ATS at home, with the ?under? going 5-3.

--New York, the AFC East champion, is riding a three-game winning streak both SU and ATS after routing Indianapolis last weekend as a six-point home favorite, 41-0.

--The 41 points failed to topple the 42-point closing total, ending a string of back-to-back ?over? outings for New York.

--Oakland improved to 7-1 SU and 6-2 ATS its previous eight games after blanking Kansas City two weeks ago as an 8 ?-point home ?chalk,? 24-0.

--The 24 points never seriously threatened the 45-point closing total, helping the ?under? cash for the fifth straight game for the Raiders.

--In fact, the ?under? is a solid 9-1 in Oakland?s last 10 games.
 
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