Rutgers at Army

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Rutgers at Army


Regardless of what happens during the rest of Greg Schiano?s tenure at Rutgers, the school should name the stadium after him. Not only that, but his image should appear all over campus, preferably in a scene in which he?s choppin? wood.

That?s been Schiano?s slogan for the program since he took over in 2001. He returned to his home state of New Jersey with the goal of ?winning a national championship.? At the time, such a notion would?ve registered a 10 on the Ridiculous Scale with 10 clearly representing unfathomable delusions of grandeur.

Still to this day, the thought is probably in the 8-9 range, but it is no longer a laughable suggestion. And that?s all because of Schiano, who has made the Scarlet Knights relevant both now and in the future.

Let?s consider the situation he inherited. During his first year in 2001, RU lost to Buffalo by 16 points. Then in Weeks 2 and 3, the Scarlet Knights were pounded by Miami and Virginia Tech, respectively, by scores of 61-0 and 50-0. Later in the season, they lost 80-7 at West Virginia and took another bagel at home to Pitt (42-0).

In 2002, Rutgers lost its opener to Villanova at home, 37-19. One week later, Buffalo came to town and won 34-11. And remember, this was before Turner Gill began running the show for the Bulls.

In 2003, however, bettors had to take notice of gradual improvement. For our purposes, actually, the improvement was radical. In fact, RU covered the number in its first eight games and finished the season with a 10-1-1 ATS mark.

Finally in 2005, Schiano led Rutgers to its first bowl game since a 1978 appearance in the now-defunct Garden State Bowl. RU has now gone bowling four straight years and has emerged victorious in its last three postseason berths.

Coming into 2009, some pundits considered the Scarlet Knights as the favorites to win the Big East. That belief has been tempered by a pair of home losses in conference play to Cincinnati and Pittsburgh.

With one last non-conference contest on deck tonight at Army, Schiano might normally be concerned about a lack of focus. However, the bright lights of the World Wide Leader will probably alleviate those concerns for the ninth-year coach.

Las Vegas Sports Consultants opened Rutgers (4-2 straight up, 1-3 against the spread) as a 10-point favorite with a total of 39. As of early this afternoon, most books had RU favored by 10 1/2 with the total at 39 after it spent most of Thursday at 40. Gamblers can take the Black Knights to win outright for a plus-300 return (risk $100 to win $300).

Army (3-4 SU, 2-5 ATS) is gunning for its first winning season since 1996. The Black Knights haven?t won more than four games since that year, a feat they can match with their next victory.

Coming off a surprising 16-13 win over Vandy in overtime as a 10 ?-point home underdog, Army couldn?t follow it up in another double-digit ?dog spot. The Black Knights went to Philadelphia and dropped a 27-13 decision at Temple last week, failing to hook up their backers as 10 ?-point ?dogs.

Army?s option offense is led by freshman quarterback Trent Steelman, who has a team-high 407 rushing yards and three touchdowns. The Black Knights don?t throw it much, but Steelman is completing 51 percent of his passes with a 2/1 touchdown-interception ratio.

Rutgers is also led by a true freshman QB in Tom Savage, one of the most decorated recruits in school history. Savage has connected on 57 percent of his passes for 941 yards with a 5/1 TD-INT ratio.

In last Friday?s 24-17 loss to Pitt as a 6 ?-point home underdog, Savage completed 23-of-39 passes for 248 yards with one TD and one pick. Senior WR Tim Brown had seven receptions for 96 yards, but the Scarlet Knights were undone by Pitt?s freshman RB Dion Lewis, who had 180 yards on the ground and a pair of TD scampers.

The loss to Pitt snapped a four-game winning streak against the Panthers, not to mention RU?s four-game winning streak since getting smoked by Cincy in the season?s lid-lifter on Labor Day.

RU has only gone on the road once this season, capturing a 34-13 victory at Maryland as a one-point underdog.

Rich Ellerson?s squad is 2-2 SU at home, 1-3 versus the number. Army beat Ball St. by a 24-17 count, but it has lost to Duke (35-19) and Tulane (17-16). In the loss to the Green Wave, Alex Carlton missed a 37-yard field goal with 12 seconds remaining. Carlton made amends the following week, though, nailing a 42-yarder to beat Vandy.

Since 2005, Army has an abysmal 3-10 spread record in 13 games as a home underdog. During Schiano?s tenure, Rutgers is 4-6 ATS in 10 games as a road favorite.

The ?under? is 5-2 overall for Army, 3-1 in its home games. The ?under? is 3-1 overall for RU, 1-0 in its lone road assignment.

ESPN2 will have tonight?s telecast at 8:00 p.m. Eastern.

**B.E.?s Bonus Nuggets**

--Army has lost 10 in a row against Big East schools.
 

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Army Black Knights (0-4) (0-2 H) vs Rutgers Scarlet Knights (0-1) (0-0 A)

Game Time: 8:00 p.m. EDT Friday, October 23

Stadium: Michie Stadium Surface: Turf




RECORD ANALYSIS
STRAIGHT-UP VS. SPREAD OVER/UNDER
Rutgers Scarlet Knights HOME AWAY TOTAL HOME AWAY TOTAL HOME AWAY TOTAL

Year-to-Date 3 - 2 1 - 0 4 - 2 0 - 3 1 - 0 1 - 3 1 - 2 0 - 1 1 - 3
Last 5 games 3 - 1 1 - 0 4 - 1 0 - 2 1 - 0 1 - 2 0 - 2 0 - 1 0 - 3
YTD vs. Conf. 0 - 2 0 - 0 0 - 2 0 - 2 0 - 0 0 - 2 1 - 1 0 - 0 1 - 1
STRAIGHT-UP VS. SPREAD OVER/UNDER
Army Black Knights HOME AWAY TOTAL HOME AWAY TOTAL HOME AWAY TOTAL
Year-to-Date 2 - 2 1 - 2 3 - 4 1 - 3 1 - 2 2 - 5 0 - 3 1 - 1 1 - 4
Last 5 games 2 - 1 0 - 2 2 - 3 1 - 2 0 - 2 1 - 4 0 - 3 1 - 1 1 - 4
YTD vs. Conf. 0 - 0 0 - 0 0 - 0 0 - 0 0 - 0 0 - 0 0 - 0 0 - 0 0 - 0
AWAY VS. SPREAD HOME VS. SPREAD
Year-to-Date FAV DOG GRASS TURF FAV DOG GRASS TURF
Rutgers Scarlet Knights 0 - 0 1 - 0 1 - 0 0 - 0 0 - 2 0 - 1 0 - 3 0 - 0
Army Black Knights 0 - 0 1 - 2 0 - 1 1 - 1 0 - 2 1 - 1 0 - 0 1 - 3



TEAM LOGS/SCHEDULE:
( * = overtime)

Rutgers Scarlet Knights
LINE OVER/UNDER
DATE DAY OPP SCORE SU OPEN CLOSE ATS &
MARGIN OPEN CLOSE O/U &
MARGIN G/T
09/07/09 Mon CIN 15 - 47 L -6.5 -4.5 L -36.5 49 47.5 O +-14.5 G
09/12/09 Sat HOW 45 - 7 W 0 0 W 38 0 0 O +-52.0 G
09/19/09 Sat FLINTL 23 - 15 W -16 -16.5 L -8.5 50 51.5 U -13.5 G
09/26/09 Sat @MD 34 - 13 W -2.5 +1 W 22 52 50 U -3.0 G
10/10/09 Sat TXSOUTH 42 - 0 W 0 0 W 42 0 0 O +-42.0 G
10/16/09 Fri PITT 17 - 24 L -3 -6 L -13 48.5 45.5 U -4.5 G


Army Black Knights
LINE OVER/UNDER
DATE DAY OPP SCORE SU OPEN CLOSE ATS &
MARGIN OPEN CLOSE O/U &
MARGIN G/T
09/05/09 Sat @EMI 27 - 14 W +6 +3.5 W 16.5 0 0 O +-41.0 T
09/12/09 Sat DUKE 19 - 35 L +3 +2 L -14 0 0 O +-54.0 T
09/19/09 Sat BALLST 24 - 17 W -6.5 -8.5 L -1.5 42.5 42.5 U -1.5 T
09/26/09 Sat @IAST 10 - 31 L +7 +10 L -11 45 48 U -7.0 G
10/03/09 Sat TLN 16 - 17 L -6.5 -6 L -7 47 45 U -12.0 T
10/10/09 Sat VANDY 16 - 13 W +10 +10 W 13 40 38 U -9.0 T
10/17/09 Sat @TEMP 13 - 27 L +10 +10.5 L -3.5 39.5 37 O +- 3.0 T



PREVIOUS MEETINGS:

LINE OVER/UNDER
DATE DAY VIS SC HOM SC OPEN CLOSE ATS &
MARGIN OPEN CLOSE O/U &
MARGIN G/T
11/09/07 Fri RUT 41 ARMY 6 +17.5 +19.5 ARMY --15.5 NL NL O +-47 T
11/22/08 Sat ARMY 3 RUT 30 -17.0 -18.0 RUT +9 NL NL O +-33 G




STATISTICAL AVERAGES:


AWAY/HOME RUSHING PASSING TOT TURNOVERS
PTS FD AT YDS AVG AT CO PCT YDS AVG YDS INT FUM
RUT (off) 34.0 14 49 207 4.2 13 4 0.3 42 3.2 249 0.0 0.0
ARMY (def) 20.5 15 32 119 3.7 27 14 0.5 183 6.8 302 1.5 1.0
RUSHING PASSING TOT TURNOVERS
PTS FD AT YDS AVG AT CO PCT YDS AVG YDS INT FUM
RUT (def) 13.0 12 24 28 1.2 38 21 0.6 271 7.1 299 3.0 2.0
ARMY (off) 18.8 16 57 223 3.9 13 6 0.5 63 4.8 286 0.8 1.0
ALL GAMES RUSHING PASSING TOT TURNOVERS
PTS FD AT YDS AVG AT CO PCT YDS AVG YDS INT FUM
RUT (off) 29.3 18 38 159 4.2 26 14 0.5 192 7.4 351 0.7 0.3
ARMY (def) 22.0 15 34 114 3.4 25 13 0.5 172 6.9 286 1.3 0.7
RUSHING PASSING TOT TURNOVERS
PTS FD AT YDS AVG AT CO PCT YDS AVG YDS INT FUM
RUT (def) 17.7 16 31 92 3.0 32 20 0.6 223 7.0 315 1.3 1.7
ARMY (off) 17.9 16 53 223 4.2 13 6 0.5 66 5.1 289 0.6 0.9



SCORING AVERAGES:

Rutgers Scarlet Knights (away) Q1 Q2 H1 Q3 Q4 OT H2+OT
POINTS FOR 7.0 3.0 10 7.0 17.0 0.0 24
POINTS ALLOWED 3.0 10.0 13 0.0 0.0 0.0 0



Army Black Knights (home) Q1 Q2 H1 Q3 Q4 OT H2+OT
POINTS FOR 6.0 4.0 10 0.8 7.3 0.8 8.9
POINTS ALLOWED 1.8 4.3 6.1 4.3 10.3 0.0 14.6



Rutgers Scarlet Knights (all) Q1 Q2 H1 Q3 Q4 OT H2+OT
POINTS FOR 8.0 10.3 18.3 2.8 8.2 0.0 11
POINTS ALLOWED 2.8 8.5 11.3 3.5 2.8 0.0 6.3



Army Black Knights (all) Q1 Q2 H1 Q3 Q4 OT H2+OT
POINTS FOR 4.7 4.7 9.4 1.9 6.1 0.4 8.4
POINTS ALLOWED 2.4 5.3 7.7 3.4 10.9 0.0 14.3



VALUE INDEX COMPARISON TO LAS VEGAS LINE:

LV POINTSPREAD VALUE INDEX VALUE INDEX
OPEN CURRENT RATING LINE EDGE
Rutgers Scarlet Knights 54 -9.0
Army Black Knights 41 1.0
LV OVER/UNDER VALUE INDEX VALUE INDEX
OPEN CURRENT RATING EDGE
OVER/UNDER 58 UNKNOWN
 

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Rutgers Scarlet Knights at Army Black Knights (+10, 39.5)

Rutgers Scarlet Knights at Army Black Knights (+10, 39.5)

Rutgers Scarlet Knights at Army Black Knights (+10, 39.5)


Friday Knight(s) matchup

The Scarlet Knights have recently dominated the series between these two teams as Rutgers has won nine of the last 11 dating back to 1991 and, more recently, is 4-0 SU having outscored Army 151-30 in their last four meetings dating back to 2002. In the last two years, Rutgers has defeated Army by a combined score of 71-9 while winning the yardage battle 967-371.

Despite the Black Knights struggles against Rutgers, they aren?t a team to be overlooked this year. They?ve already won three games this season and one more would put them at a total they?ve only reached one time since 1997 (2005).

They?ll need an upset Friday night to get it.

Getting defensive

Army has quietly posted great defensive statistics as November approaches. The Black Knights are allowing 285 YPG ? 171 pass YPG, 114 rush YPG. Last week, Army allowed just 195 yards to Temple. Temple ran the ball 38 times for a meager 80 yards.

After allowing 47 points in the season opener to Cincinnati, Rutgers is allowing just 12 points per game in its last five games. However, most of that has come against below-average opponents and it did allow 24 points in a loss to Pittsburgh last week.

Young gun

True Freshmen QB Tom Savage has been impressive as a starter for Rutgers. He is completing 57 percent of his passes with five touchdowns and just one interception. This will be his first night road game in what is sure to be a hostile atmosphere at Michie Stadium.

Savage is 4-1 as a starter after supplanting Dominic Natale in the season opener versus Cincinnati. After facing Howard, Florida International, Maryland, and Texas Southern, he finally got a real test against Pittsburgh last week. Pittsburgh completely shutdown Rutgers running attack (20 attempts, 38 yards) and forced Savage to try and win the game. Savage had a decent game but couldn?t lead the Scarlet Knights to victory.

Black Knights running attack

As mentioned above, the Black Knights run the ball an astonishing 80 percent of the time and they do it quite well, averaging 223 yards per game. However, their heavy run attack is mainly a ploy to frustrate the opposing team and it hasn?t given them much overall success on offense this season. They rank 115th in the nation in yards per game and average just 4.4 yards per play and 17 PPG.

Last year against Rutgers they were able to run the football, averaging 4.6 yards per carry and amassing 217 yards, but it didn't translate on the scoreboard as the Cadets lost 30-3.

Rutgers is allowing just 91.5 rushing yards per game, but it did give up 223 to Pittsburgh last week and that allowed the Panthers to control the ball and get the win.

Line Movement

The line opened with the Scarlet Knights as heavy 10-point road favorites and has stayed consistently around 10.

The total opened at 40 and dipped slightly to 39.5.

Trends

Rutgers is 5-0 ATS in its last five road games but just 2-6 ATS in its last eight games as a road favorite. The Scarlet Knights have had a lot of success against non-conference foes, posting a 12-5-2 ATS record in their last 19 non-conference games. Army is just 7-19-1 ATS in its last 27 games as a home underdog and 1-10 ATS in its last 11 vs. Big East. Rutgers is 6-0 ATS in its last six meetings with Army.

The under is 5-0 in Scarlet Knights? last five games overall and 13-3-1 in their last 17 games in October. Army has stayed under the total in eight of its last nine home games.

Weather

Game-time temperature is forecasted for beautiful football weather with temperatures in the 60?s with no foul weather.
 

Lumi

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Preview:
Rutgers at Army
When: 8:00 PM ET, Friday, October 23, 2009
Where: Michie Stadium, West Point, New York



Quick Hits

Overall Team Offense

The Army Black Knights are ranked 116 on offense, averaging 288.7 yards per game. The Black Knights are averaging 222.6 yards rushing and 66.1 yards passing so far this season.

The Rutgers Scarlet Knights are ranked 80 on offense, averaging 351.2 yards per game. The Scarlet Knights are averaging 158.8 yards rushing and 192.3 yards passing so far this season.

Home and Away

The Army Black Knights are 2-2 at home this season, 0-0 against conference opponents and 3-4 against non-conference opponents.

At home the Black Knights are averaging 18.8 scoring, and holding teams to 20.5 points scored on defense.

The Rutgers Scarlet Knights are 1-0 while on the road this season, 0-2 against conference opponents and 4-0 against non-conference opponents.

On the road, the Scarlet Knights are averaging 34.0 scoring, and holding teams to 13.0 points scored on defense
 

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Trends - Rutgers at Army

Trends - Rutgers at Army

Trends - Rutgers at Army


ATS Trends

Rutgers

Scarlet Knights are 7-0-1 ATS in their last 8 games on turf.
Scarlet Knights are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 road games vs. a team with a losing home record.
Scarlet Knights are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 road games.
Scarlet Knights are 5-1 ATS vs. a team with a losing record.
Scarlet Knights are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 vs. INDEP.
Scarlet Knights are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games after accumulating less than 100 yards rushing in their previous game.
Scarlet Knights are 12-5-2 ATS in their last 19 non-conference games.
Scarlet Knights are 9-4 ATS in their last 13 games as a favorite of 10.5 or greater.
Scarlet Knights are 2-6 ATS in their last 8 games as a road favorite.
Scarlet Knights are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games following a S.U. loss.
Scarlet Knights are 0-3-1 ATS in their last 4 games as a favorite.


Army

Black Knights are 5-2-1 ATS in their last 8 games in October.
Black Knights are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games as an underdog.
Black Knights are 7-19-1 ATS in their last 27 games as a home underdog.
Black Knights are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games on turf.
Black Knights are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games following a S.U. loss.
Black Knights are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games as a home underdog of 10.5 or greater.
Black Knights are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games after allowing less than 100 yards rushing in their previous game.
Black Knights are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games following a ATS loss.
Black Knights are 1-5 ATS vs. a team with a winning record.
Black Knights are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 non-conference games.
Black Knights are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games after accumulating less than 170 yards passing in their previous game.
Black Knights are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games overall.
Black Knights are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 home games.
Black Knights are 1-10 ATS in their last 11 vs. Big East.
Black Knights are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games as an underdog of 10.5 or greater.
Black Knights are 0-7 ATS in their last 7 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.


OU Trends

Rutgers

Under is 5-0 in Scarlet Knights last 5 games on turf.
Under is 5-0 in Scarlet Knights last 5 non-conference games.
Under is 4-0 in Scarlet Knights last 4 games following a S.U. loss.
Under is 5-0 in Scarlet Knights last 5 games overall.
Under is 5-1 in Scarlet Knights last 6 vs. INDEP.
Under is 13-3-1 in Scarlet Knights last 17 games in October.
Over is 4-1-1 in Scarlet Knights last 6 games after allowing more than 200 yards rushing in their previous game.
Under is 4-1 in Scarlet Knights last 5 games after scoring less than 20 points in their previous game.
Under is 4-1 in Scarlet Knights last 5 vs. a team with a losing record.
Under is 4-1 in Scarlet Knights last 5 games following a ATS loss.
Under is 5-2-1 in Scarlet Knights last 8 games after accumulating less than 100 yards rushing in their previous game.


Army

Under is 5-0 in Black Knights last 5 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.
Under is 5-0 in Black Knights last 5 games following a S.U. loss.
Under is 5-0 in Black Knights last 5 games following a ATS loss.
Under is 8-1 in Black Knights last 9 home games.
Under is 5-1 in Black Knights last 6 games after scoring less than 20 points in their previous game.
Under is 4-1 in Black Knights last 5 non-conference games.
Under is 4-1 in Black Knights last 5 games as a home underdog.
Under is 4-1 in Black Knights last 5 games overall.
Under is 4-1 in Black Knights last 5 games after accumulating less than 275 total yards in their previous game.
Under is 4-1 in Black Knights last 5 games after accumulating less than 170 yards passing in their previous game.
Under is 4-1 in Black Knights last 5 vs. Big East.
Under is 8-3 in Black Knights last 11 games on turf.
Under is 5-2 in Black Knights last 7 games as an underdog.


Head to Head

Scarlet Knights are 6-0 ATS in their last 6 meetings.
 

PJ12

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Should be a 31-0 game according to all this :mj07:
 

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Rutgers (4-2) at Army (3-4)

Rutgers (4-2) at Army (3-4)

Rutgers (4-2) at Army (3-4)


DATE & TIME: Friday, October 23rd, 8:00 p.m. (et)

FACTS & STATS: Site: Michie Stadium (39,929) -- West Point, New York. Television:ESPN2. Home Record: Rutgers 3-2, Army 2-2. Away Record: Rutgers 1-0, Army 1-2. Neutral Record: Rutgers 0-0, Army 0-0. Conference Record: Rutgers 0-2, Army 0-0. Series Record: Army leads, 18-17.

GAME NOTES: The Rutgers Scarlet Knights wrap up their non-conference slate this weekend, as they head to West Point to take on the Army Black Knights at Michie Stadium.

The Scarlet Knights have had all of their success against non-league opponents, going 4-0 compared to 0-2 versus Big East foes. This past Friday, Rutgers was in conference action against Pittsburgh, which captured a 24-17 in the Knights' own backyard. The loss brought an end to the team's four-game win streak, and Rutgers now heads to the road, where it defeated Maryland (34-13) in its lone game away from home.

As for Army, it snapped a two-game slide with a shocking 16-13 overtime triumph over SEC member Vanderbilt on October 10th. The team, unfortunately, wasn't able to build off that upset and instead fell 27-13 at Temple this past weekend. The loss dropped the Black Knights to 3-4 overall, although the club has posted two of those wins at home.

Army is clinging to an 18-17 edge in the all-time series with Rutgers, which has won the past five meetings.

Rutgers' offense struggled last week versus Pitt, as the unit managed only 286 total yards, including a dismal 38 on the ground. The Scarlet Knights are by no means an explosive offense, averaging a modest 351.2 total ypg, but they have the talent to performer much better than they did versus Pitt. Quarterback Tom Savage wasn't all that bad in the defeat, as he completed 23- of-39 pass attempts for 248 yards and a touchdown. It was the first career Big East start for the true freshman, who has thrown for 941 yards, with five touchdowns against just one interception on the season. Tim Brown is clearly his go-to-guy, as he paces the Scarlet Knights with 28 catches, 548 receiving yards and three scores. Against Pitt, Brown was a factor for Rutgers and he made seven catches that went for 96 yards and a score. In the backfield, Joe Martinek heads Rutgers with 434 yards and five scores, but he was limited to just 23 yards and on nine carries last week.

The Scarlet Knights have one of the more talented defenses around, but the unit had their issues last week against Pitt, allowing 376 total yards. The real shocker was that Pitt was able to run for 223 yards against a defense that was allowing under 66 ypg on the ground heading into the bout. The Scarlet Knights did come up with a pair of turnovers as well as two sacks, so their were some positives to take from the team's performance. Zaire Kitchen and Antonio Lowery each had 12 tackles in the losing cause and they have combined for 67 stops on the year.

Despite gaining 181 yards on the ground, the Black Knights were unable to put enough points on the board to win, as the team committed 14 penalties and went just 1-of-11 on third downs in failing to move the ball consistently. Army's option attack is gaining an above average 222.6 ypg on the season, but the ground game hasn't helped on third downs, as the team is converting just 30 percent of the time. Quarterback Trent Steelman heads a list that includes three 300-yard rushers, as he paces Army with 407 yards and three scores. In last weekend's game, Steelman was limited to just 67 yards on 19 carries, but he did have one of his best passing games, going a perfect 5-of-5 for 56 yards and his second touchdown of the campaign. Ali Villanueva was the recipient of the touchdown and he has caught all four of the team's passing scores.

Army has been surprisingly good on the defensive side of the ball this season and is limiting foes to 285.9 total ypg. The unit has also generated 14 turnovers and that includes nine interceptions. Against Temple, the Black Knights turned in a sound defensive effort, holding the Owls to a measly 195 yards, including just 80 on the ground. Army also came up with five sacks, pushing its total for the season to 17 in that category. Josh McNary was outstanding in the loss and he accounted for four of the team's sacks. He now has 9.5 sacks, to go with 15.5 TFLs and 40 stops, displaying terrific tackling and pass rushing skills along the way.

Rutgers is simply the bigger and more athletic team and although Army won't go without a fight, the Scarlet Knights' speed and talent will make the difference in this one.

Predicted Outcome: Rutgers 30, Army 17
 
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