Some figures I ran across. Neither here nor there.
Some figures I ran across. Neither here nor there.
Indianapolis with points over NEW ORLEANS - This is not the same Colts team from weeks one and two. Indianapolis has been playing better each week and has one lost by more than one score once in the last five weeks and even that was by just 10 points. The Saints aren't as crisp as they could be and we would not trust them to cover such a big spread.
Indianapolis is still winless on the season now after six games. The Saints are 0-11 ATS (-12.0 ppg) since September 11, 1994 as a home favorite when facing a team with no wins after week 1.
New Orleans meanwhile is tied for the NFC South lead at 4-2. They lost last week however, 26-20, to Tampa Bay. The Saints are 0-9-1 ATS (-11.6 ppg) since October 10, 1999 at home versus any team with fewer wins after a straight up loss on the road.
Trying to play catchup in that game, New Orleans threw for 383 yards after tossing for 326 and 343 the two weeks prior. The Saints are 0-8-1 ATS (-12.9 ppg) since November 04, 2001 as a favorite when their passing yards increased in each of the last two weeks.
New Orleans has been no stranger to the pass all this year, averaging a league-high 44 attempts per game this year. The Colts are 12-0 ATS (11.1 ppg) since November 10, 2002 on the road when their opponent's season-to-date average pass attempts per game is greater than 35.
That is part of the reason they are committing 1.83 turnovers per game while forcing just .67. The Colts are 8-0-1 ATS (9.2 ppg) since September 28, 2003 on the road when facing a team that has an average turnover margin of at least -1 per game, season-to-date.
NEW ORLEANS 28, Indianapolis 21 :shrug: