San Diego Chargers VS Denver Broncos

[highendlowlife]

I wouldnt be so quick to pull the trigger on denver
Look i know im biased being a charger fan but the books are laughing all the way to the bank on this one i have 87% of the public on the broncos for the spread

Here are some trends and insight into this game
Chargers are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.
Chargers are 21-5 ATS in their last 26 games as a home favorite of 3.5-10.0.
Chargers are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 home games.
Chargers are 21-8-4 ATS in their last 33 vs. AFC West.
Chargers are 18-7-3 ATS in their last 28 games following a S.U. loss.
Chargers are 52-22-2 ATS in their last 76 games after allowing more than 350 total yards in their previous game.
Chargers are 7-3 ATS in their last 10 games after allowing more than 150 yards rushing in their previous game.

Broncos are 1-4-1 ATS in their last 6 vs. AFC West


Date Away/Home Line O/U Tot Rus Pas Tot Rus Pas
12/28/08 DEN 21 - SD 52 SD -7 O 50 406 90 316 491 289 202
09/14/08 SD 38 - DEN 39 Push -1.0 O 46 486 145 341 456 80 376
12/24/07 DEN 3 - SD 23 SD -9 U 47 225 92 133 334 147 187
10/07/07 SD 41 - DEN 3 SD -1 O 43 296 72 224 484 214 270
12/10/06 DEN 20 - SD 48 SD -9 O 41 328 162 166 419 147 272
11/19/06 SD 35 - DEN 27 SD 2.5 O 43 326 158 168 342 125 217

If you take that screw job by ed steroids hochuli the chargers have owned denver over the last six games Now i know that this denver team is different but they are coming of a very emotional victory against New England and IMO they are going to suffer a letdown. San Diego has been a notoriously slow starter the last couple of seasons i see this game as a must win for San Diego their backs are against the wall if they dont win they will trail Denver by 3.5 games in the AFC WEST Plus the Chargers are coming off the bye playing at home against a division rival in primetime
The Chargers have a penchant for winning games they have to, especially those played in prime time at Qualcomm Stadium.
They won four of their five regular-season night games last year, a last-second November loss to Indianapolis being the only blemish (they later beat the Colts at night in a wild-card playoff game). The victories were all imperative.

Since a 24-22 loss to Pittsburgh in October 2006, the Chargers have won 10 of their 11 night games at Qualcomm Stadium, outscoring their opponents 207-107: Sat., 1-3-09 ; Chargers 23, Colts 17 (OT)
Sun., 12-28-08 ; Chargers 52, Broncos 21
Thurs., 12-4-08 ; Chargers 34, Raiders 7
Sun., 11-23-08 ; Colts 23, Chargers 20
Sun., 10-12-08 ; Chargers 30, Patriots 10
Mon., 9-22-08 ; Chargers 48, Jets 29
Mon., 12-24-07 ; Chargers 23, Broncos 3
Sun., 11-11-07 ; Chargers 23, Colts 21
Sun., 12-17-06 ; Chargers 20, Chiefs 9
Sun., 10-8-06 ; Chargers 23, Steelers 13
Sun., 12-4-05 ; Chargers 34, Raiders 10

Im on the Over 44 and San Diego -3.5 :00hour

 

[gjn23]

plus

dont forget

the chargers are the most talented team in the nfl; 4 years running now......just ask em.

oh, and they're led by a saavy veteran coach who gets the most out of his teams at all times, norv turner!

 

[jr11]

I know it's only 1/4 or so of the season in, but if SD doesn't win this game they are in serious trouble, would be down 3.5 games to Denver, and already a head2head loss with Baltimore and Pittsburgh vying for other playoff spots. Tough to come from behind 2 years in a row.....

 

[Glenn Quagmire]

I'm not real high on the Chargers this year (wasn't last year either, for that matter), but I think they win this game. I have to admit though, I didn't think SD would be a 4-point fave. I thought it would be more like 1' or 2. I think it says A LOT that Vegas is making a 5-0 team a 4-point dog against a 2-2 team. I realize it's a road game, but I can't imagine 5-0 teams like the Colts or Giants being 4-point dogs in SD. I don't think Vegas is quite sold yet on Denver, but I could be wrong.

 

[el JB]

San Diego at Qualcomm Stadium and -4 is right where Vegas wants you ...hesitant about it....
ALL I'LL SAY IS......If 5 teams have come down to Broncos game.......... i can't see why this one won't ... and better yet if you give 'em more than a FG advantage , better be ready to make a statement in this one, Bolts fans ....i'll take the points and wait to see the miracle

 

[LT21]

Everyone will be on the Bronco's. But lets remember, Denver has been home the last 3 games. They now have to travel to SD to play a very desperate Chargers team, who needs to win this game to stay in the hunt. I'm a Charger fan, and I know this team very well. They show up when they need 2, and this is a must win game for them. I like the Chargers at home, to give the tough Bronco's there 1st loss of the season.

 

[Glenn Quagmire]

San Diego at Qualcomm Stadium and -4 is right where Vegas wants you ...hesitant about it....
ALL I'LL SAY IS......If 5 teams have come down to Broncos game.......... i can't see why this one won't ... and better yet if you give 'em more than a FG advantage , better be ready to make a statement in this one, Bolts fans ....i'll take the points and wait to see the miracle

I don't think very many people will be hesitant at -4. I think most people will be on Denver, not just because they're 5-0, but because they are also coming off of a nationally televised win against the Pats, who the public is in love with. And to me, that looks like a line that is trying to get Denver money. Just my opinion though, I could be wrong.

And I don't think SD covering would be "a miracle." Come on now. It's only 4 points. It's not like they're asked to win by 2 TDs. I don't think SD is great by any means, but I highly doubt this will be an easy W for Denver. I'm not saying I'm going to bet on SD, but I also don't want to touch Denver. Should be a close game IMO.

GL

 

[Glenn Quagmire]

Everyone will be on the Bronco's. But lets remember, Denver has been home the last 3 games. They now have to travel to SD to play a very desperate Chargers team, who needs to win this game to stay in the hunt. I'm a Charger fan, and I know this team very well. They show up when they need 2, and this is a must win game for them. I like the Chargers at home, to give the tough Bronco's there 1st loss of the season.

Not to nitpick, but Denver has only been at home the last 2 (Dallas and NE). Before that they beat Oakland on the road. I agree with you though, I think they're in for a dogfight at Qualcomm. Should be a good game.

 

[el JB]

I don't think very many people will be hesitant at -4. I think most people will be on Denver, not just because they're 5-0, but because they are also coming off of a nationally televised win against the Pats, who the public is in love with. And to me, that looks like a line that is trying to get Denver money. Just my opinion though, I could be wrong.

And I don't think SD covering would be "a miracle." Come on now. It's only 4 points. It's not like they're asked to win by 2 TDs. I don't think SD is great by any means, but I highly doubt this will be an easy W for Denver. I'm not saying I'm going to bet on SD, but I also don't want to touch Denver. Should be a close game IMO.

GL

yes i expect that ...so if any difference can be made i'd take the points ...but i'm not playing this one as i see much more value on others this week

 

[Dr Feelgood]

can't decide on a side here...but i am really liking the under 44...

 

[bej0101]

denver blows..chargers by 7+..easy..:00hour

 

[MrChristo]

Everyone will be on the Bronco's...

Yeah, not too sure about that...

How many times (not just in this thread obviously) can I possibly read, "SD need to win this game..."

Just like everyone was on the Titans a couple of weeks back @ Jax because they "needed" to win...

SD will get their fair share of action from the "They're due" crowd.

I'm with Quagmire and el JB...more than a FG is too many.
Pretty sure it'll be 3 by KO, which is probably where it should have started.

Here are some trends and insight into this game
Chargers are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.
Chargers are 21-5 ATS in their last 26 games as a home favorite of 3.5-10.0.
Chargers are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 home games.
Chargers are 21-8-4 ATS in their last 33 vs. AFC West.
Chargers are 18-7-3 ATS in their last 28 games following a S.U. loss.
Chargers are 52-22-2 ATS in their last 76 games after allowing more than 350 total yards in their previous game.
Chargers are 7-3 ATS in their last 10 games after allowing more than 150 yards rushing in their previous game.

Broncos are 1-4-1 ATS in their last 6 vs. AFC West

...and I'm all for 'history telling us something, but Devner are 1-0 ats this season v. AFC West.
The 2009 Denver allow just 4.2 y/play and 8.6 ppg, compared to the 2008 version who allowed 28 ppg @ 6.1 ypp.

The 2008 Chargers ran for 107 ypg @ 4.1...this year it's less than half @ 2.7.

Sometimes, things just change.