Sat -- Home Team Totals System

[LordofBalls]

Sat -- Home Tm Totals System

whattaya do now lol...

Need KC gm OVER for Bet #4... but, its a big risk....

So.... I can just let it go, I am ahead from the other 10 series winners (*woohooo!!) I do know I wont chase for the entire amt... bankroll is too tight right now lol...its early in the season, bad weather can hurt over totals...

for now....
Taking Kc Ov 8.5 23/20
Parlay: Kc Over 8.5/Ariz 35/80

Also... FYI... 4 new teams began homestands y-day... they are:

*Mariners (gm went Over) *will only be home for 5 games btw... thanks mcvegas!
*Phils (gm stayed Under)
*Clev (gm went Over)
*Dodgers (gm went Over) - very warm weather today, no way Im betting under in this today...

GL to All :0corn

 

[McVegas]

Seattle is only playing 5 home games in a row, you posted it should be at least 6 home games....not busting balls, just trying to help. I have the other 3 teams as a play.

 

[LordofBalls]

Only 3 new teams starting long homestand....

Only 3 new teams starting long homestand....

McVegas....Thanks for catching that...

3 Teams starting homestand play at least 6 gms in a row at home (an off day between teams coming in is still okay btw... doesnt have to be 6 days in a row, just at least 6 games in a row ok?) y-day, they are...

1) Phillies.... hm vs Cubs for 3, then Astros for 3, then the Mets for 3 gms...

2) Indians.... hm vs A's for 3, then RSox for 2 gm, then Tigers for 2 gms

3) Dodgers... hm vs Padres for 3 gms, then Pirates for 3 gms

*Note: Weather very warm in Los Angeles and ball flew last night... careful on Dodgers...

Heck.... be careful on all of em... always try to see when other 'cappers or stats are on your side or against you... might help you win a little extra, or save a little on the losses...

And.... theres no law that says you have to keep chasing... you can always reduce the amt, just try to get part of it back... its a looooong season, dont blow the bankroll the first month!

:00x1

 

[spuds]

LOB, first off dont get me wrong but if you have a system you need to stay with the system. It seems in the first week youve deviated from the system with betting more or less and taking 5inning bets. I know you havent been tracking the system long but to get a true read you have to play the system stipulations. I did the 3 game home fav chase system last year and we deviated and it cost us. By the way I think this is a good system :SIB

 

[LordofBalls]

Adjusting Wager Amts on Home Totals System...

Adjusting Wager Amts on Home Totals System...

hi Spuds... and first, thanks for your input, and I understand what youre saying...

but I think when you have somewhat limited bankroll, and dont wanna give yourself a heart attack following one large bet, it doesnt hurt to be careful...
I know some people dont even start playing the system until its the 3rd or 4th bet, they miss out on alot of early winners that way, but they wont let themselves get caught chasing a 6th bet...

as you know chasing a 4th or 5th bet can lead to lots of $$$, even betting totals w/low juice, it can all add up to a wager size im uncomfortable with...

If my funds were unlimited, I would just say fuggit and bet KC Over to win $500 today... but I would be risking the amount I am ahead for the week plus more on top of that, and im not ready to do that today... result just in, KC stays under 2-0 final... saved about $450 today... whew...
Maybe it would be simpler if I didnt put the amts I am wagering in the post... to simplify things? I know my amts wagered are pretty small compared to most of you out there....

Main Goals:

1) Make $$$ profit each week...

2) Identify the teams that fit into the Home Totals System, and track their progress thru the week...

3) Once teams are identified, ck stats and see if and how they apply to that days situation... we all know there are times that certain games look way over or way under (even tho they dont always work out that way)

4) See which of the other top 'cappers line up on the same side or are lined up against me... will most likely influence the size of my wager...

5) I will attempt to update the teams and their status in this system for you all...
It is up to each individual to decide what theyre comfortable with regarding the size of their wagers each day

Summary:
While there may be times I reduce the amt of the wager, history shows the system will win the vast majority of the time... the KEY is to not get caught up chasing the huge bet, and losing...that sucks soooooo much

its worse than only winning a little... I know... Ive been there and done both with the home fav system...

I believe that sometimes youve got to be willing to reduce your amt, or even just accept the loss for that team that time... let it go...and make $$ on all the other winners that week.... and be happy with what you get... and not kick myself in the ass for betting so much on one friggin game...

However You Decide to play it... I wish You and all the other cappers Best of Luck, and profits each week

:toast:

 

[spuds]

Lob I agree with ya thanks for your input.