sat lock and load

[RAYMOND]

BYU-8.5 super super Blowout of the Year


BYU (5-2 SU & 6-0-1 ATS) is a sound football team on both sides of the ball. The Cougars will put up a big number this afternoon against an Air Force team that has been hit hard with injuries along the defensive line. Not only is this a rivalry game, but the first place Cougars would fall behind Air Force in the conference standings with a loss. The point here is that BYU will not be looking past this game or taking the Falcons lightly. The Cougars, winners of four straight, are also looking for a little national respect. This team played tough in close early season losses at Boston College and Arizona (season opener), and has basically routed or dominated its other five foes, including in a 49-24 win over a Tulsa team that got more votes in the polls last week. BYU is feeling disrespected and they?ll blast this Air Force team today.



Two years ago in Colorado Springs, BYU rolled 41-24. Last year in Provo, quarterback John Beck and BYU raced to a huge advantage before the Falcons piled up some fourth quarter points in what turned out to be a comfortable 62-41 Cougar victory. BYU had 300 yards rushing and 383 yards passing as Air Force had no answer defensively. The Falcons, who once again will be short-handed up front as DL Noah Garguile, Jake Paulsen and Kevin Quinn are all out with injuries, will again be on their heels all game long. The Cougars, healthy, more-rested (they blew out UNLV 52-7 last week off a bye the week before) and extremely confident, rank fifth in the nation at 303 passing yards per game. But Beck, who is having an outstanding season, has a great runner in Curtis Brown (Fui Vakapuna is expected back this week) and BYU averages 147 yards per game on the ground. In fact, BYU leads the MWC in rushing TDs with 15, one more than of the triple-option attack of Air Force.



Air Force can run it, but the Cougars? switch this year to a 3-4 defense (3-3-5 last year) is better suited to stop Air Force. The Falcons are not a good passing team and BYU coach Bronco Mendenhall will have designed some ways to slow down Air Force?s rushing attack to a degree. This is a hustling BYU defense that ranks 21st in scoring (15.9 ppg) and has forced 18 turnovers. Air Force has made too many Red Zone mistakes this year and that was again the case in last week?s 19-12 loss to woeful San Diego State. The bottom line here is that Air Force will not be able to stop Beck and the BYU offense and Air Force will not be able to keep up with the scoring pace. BYU scores early and often in this easy win and cover.

 

[RAYMOND]

SOUTHERN CAL-10.5 big





Rested Southern Cal has some key specialty players at their healthiest and the Trojans are due a breakout game. It comes this afternoon as the undervalued Trojans put together their best effort in more than a month and dominate Oregon State today in Corvallis. And it?s not like Southern Cal hasn?t dominated this series since the Trojans are on runs of 30-1 SU and 18-5-1 ATS versus the Beavers. Two years ago here, an odd fog rolled in on the field and Southern Cal struggled in the difficult playing conditions. But it?s going to be clear skies Saturday and the Trojans, fresh off their bye, are set to roll on both sides of the football.



Quarterback John David Booty has passed all the tests so far and has 13 TD passes and just four picks. He?ll get a lift today with the return of big-play receiver Dwayne Jarrett, who declared himself this week the healthiest he?s been since the Nebraska game as a quad and shoulder injury have slowed him. Running back Chauncey Washington has also recovered from an injury (hamstring) and has rushed for 189 yards on 39 carries the past two games. Oregon State gave up more than 300 yards rushing earlier this year to Boise State and ever since has stacked the box in an effort to stop the run. It has left them exposed to big plays and they?ve given up a bunch as they?ve permitted 40 rushes of at least 10 yards and 35 pass plays of at least 15 yards. Southern Cal will be ripping off some big gainers today.



I?m not expecting Oregon State to get a whole lot done offensively and the Beavers won?t score in double digits. Super back Yvenson Bernard, the league?s No. 2 rusher and the key to the Beavers? offense, injured his ankle late in last week?s win over Arizona. He was on crutches this week, and even if he does go, he won?t be effective against this Trojan defense that has been solid, if not flashy. Look for Southern Cal to get more out of its pass rush this week and force Beaver quarterback Matt Moore (two picks last week, 25 last two years) into costly mistakes. Cal and Boise both blasted the Beavers by 28. Southern Cal hasn?t played its best game and Pete Carroll?s bunch will build some momentum today with tougher games against Oregon, Cal and Notre Dame looming. The Trojans in a rout.

 

[RAYMOND]

neb-5.5 big
This looks like a potential trap game this afternoon in Stillwater, but make no mistake, Nebraska is the much superior football team and the Huskers will cover this number with ease. I'll give Oklahoma State some credit as the Cowboys are an improved outfit compared to that sorry 2005 edition. But this team, which is both young and beat up on defense, has dropped three of its last four to teams inferior to Nebraska (Houston, Kansas State and Texas A&M). Okie State began the year beating up on a trio of weak sisters, but this team has been exposed in recent weeks and has given up point totals of 34, 32, 31 and 34 in its last four contests.



Nebraksa has faced much stiffer competion this year in Southern Cal and Texas and this Husker team hasn't given up on this being a Big 12 Conference title winning season. Since losing at USC, the Huskers are 4-1 SU and ATS after last week's tough loss to the Longhorns. They've won and covered their last two roadies in solid fashion at Iowa State and Kansas State. After being held in check running the football last week against tough Texas, Nebraska (now 18th in the country in rushing offense) should have a field day against a Cowboy defense that's permitted 40 rushes of at least 10 yards this season. Of course, they've also surrendered 35 pass plays of at least 15 yards, so QB Zac Taylor and Huskers should find little resistence moving the football and scoring.



Okie State has some versatility on offense, but I can't dismiss that QB Bobby Reid was knocked out of last week's game with a head injury. If he gets knocked out Saturday, the Cowboys are done against this Nebraska defense that is fast, aggressive and one of the best in the conference. Nebraska will without question be the toughest foe the Cowboy offense has faced this year and Oklahoma State will get pushed around. This team is still a year away. The Huskers, 5-1 ATS run after facing Texas and 8-2 ATS in its last 10 as a road chalk, will not suffer a letdown and the Huskers will win by double digits with ease.

 

[StonesThrow]

GoodLuck tomorrow Raymond, like your BYU pick

 

[RAYMOND]

GoodLuck tomorrow Raymond, like your BYU pick

this byu will win and win big easy money boys

 

[RAYMOND]

byu 5 dimes

byu-neb-usc 3 teamer 3 dimes

 

[RAYMOND]

virigina.-1.5 big

I'm looking ahead to tomorrow's card as I like improving Virginia to cover this small number at home against this undisciplined N.C. State team. The Cavaliers, who dominated visiting North Carolina 23-0 last week, are wrapping up a confidence-boosting three-game homestand and are 5-1 ATS in their last six ACC home tilts. N.C. State hasn't won in Charlottesville since 1994 (0-4 SU) and the Wolfpack aren't going to get the job done early Saturday afternoon at Scott Stadium either as the Wahoos win this game by at least a touchdown.



Despite a pair of last second home wins over Boston College and Florida State a few weeks back, not a whole lot has changed at N.C. State. Chuck Amato's team still commits way too many stupid penalties and turns the ball over far too often. The Pack, who are 114th in the country in turnover magin, are also again receiving barely so-so play under center. Quarterback Daniel Evans was a feel-good story against B.C. and FSU, but has looked ordinary in back-to-back losses to Wake and at Maryland. He's averaging just 116 yards per game passing and has as many TD passes (five) as interceptions after tossing two picks last week aginst the Terps.



Virginia's defense has blanked both Duke and UNC this year and is allowing only 18.8 points and 284 yards per game. They've got a nice 26 sacks this year and this unit has playmakers both up front and in the secondary. Virginia gave up some big plays in blowing a big lead versus Maryland two weeks ago (28-26 loss). Mored than miffed, they reebounded to stuff the Heels last week and will do the same Saturday in not giving up the big play to NCSU's limited attack.



N.C. State's defense keeps it in some games, but it does bend and often is put in holes by the offense giving up turnovers. They can be run on (145 yards allowed rushing a contest) and they often come out of the gates slow as the Pack's opponents have scored on their first drive in four of the last five games. The Pack (which has not scored on its opening drive this season) is also ranked dead last in the 12-team ACC in Red Zone defense. And you guessed it as Virginia is the league's top-ranked Red Zone offense as redshirt freshman passer Jameel Sewell continues to get better and better with each game.



In the past two games he's accounted for 541 total yards and four touchdowns. He's got a top target in Kevin Ogletree (second ACC in receptions) and he likes his tight ends, too. The Virginia running game has picked up, as well, as it has averaged 159 yards on the ground in the past four games. The home team has covered seven of the last nine meetings and the Pack is 0-2 SU/ATS on the road this year having been blown out at Southern Miss and then scoring a TD with under a minute left in last week's six-point loss at Maryland. N.C. State will once again repeatedly shoot itself in the foot and Virginia will capitalize with easy points in this home win and cover

 

[Jayhawk_Thor]

Like BYU a lot this week, Ray. GL man.

 

[RAYMOND]

Tennessee U vs S Carolina (ESPN) 10/28 at 07:50 pm Tennessee U -3.5


Wyoming vs TCU 10/28 at 07:30 pm Wyoming +190 SMALL PLAY

 

[THE KOD]

RAYMOND

you may be onto something with that Southern Cal play.

 

[Irish]

Ray good luck this weekend

Just a note on the USC game.... the public % is on the ML USC and SC laying the points yet the spread has gone down 2.5 points. Just my thought that the trojans going into corvalas might be given a bit too much respect. Remember this is a team that had a lot of the same playerfrom the team that made a game with the better USC team. Should be a good game good luck with your play.

Cheers
Irish

 

[Sam Bone]

Raymond

Like your plays. I'm on BYU and Nebraska myself. Also like Tennessee and Virginia.

GL this weekend.

 

[RAYMOND]

This looks like a potential trap game this afternoon in Stillwater, but make no mistake, Nebraska is the much superior football team and the Huskers will cover this number with ease. I'll give Oklahoma State some credit as the Cowboys are an improved outfit compared to that sorry 2005 edition. But this team, which is both young and beat up on defense, has dropped three of its last four to teams inferior to Nebraska (Houston, Kansas State and Texas A&M). Okie State began the year beating up on a trio of weak sisters, but this team has been exposed in recent weeks and has given up point totals of 34, 32, 31 and 34 in its last four contests.



Nebraksa has faced much stiffer competion this year in Southern Cal and Texas and this Husker team hasn't given up on this being a Big 12 Conference title winning season. Since losing at USC, the Huskers are 4-1 SU and ATS after last week's tough loss to the Longhorns. They've won and covered their last two roadies in solid fashion at Iowa State and Kansas State. After being held in check running the football last week against tough Texas, Nebraska (now 18th in the country in rushing offense) should have a field day against a Cowboy defense that's permitted 40 rushes of at least 10 yards this season. Of course, they've also surrendered 35 pass plays of at least 15 yards, so QB Zac Taylor and Huskers should find little resistence moving the football and scoring.



Okie State has some versatility on offense, but I can't dismiss that QB Bobby Reid was knocked out of last week's game with a head injury. If he gets knocked out Saturday, the Cowboys are done against this Nebraska defense that is fast, aggressive and one of the best in the conference. Nebraska will without question be the toughest foe the Cowboy offense has faced this year and Oklahoma State will get pushed around. This team is still a year away. The Huskers, 5-1 ATS run after facing Texas and 8-2 ATS in its last 10 as a road chalk, will not suffer a letdown and the Huskers will win by double digits with ease.

 

[rubiconed]

Thanks for the picks and write ups !!! GL today, tailing you on all five

 

[AM2kidz]

Hey Raymond ...

Love the picks today... On the otherside with only the USC game... I feel like Oregon State keeps it close... USC is not the same team this year in my opinion... But GL and appreicate all your insight... Am2kidz

 

[boilermaker]

Like USC and BYU . Good Luck you Old Fart.:142smilie

 

[RAYMOND]

Minnesota U vs Ohio St (ABC) 03:35 pm Ohio St -27 -105 BLOWOUT

 

[BadAngel]

Good luck Raymond. Like BYU alot and have been on Ohio St all year. They are a covering Machine!! I am going to pass on this OSU game though. Good luck again on your plays.

 

[rubiconed]

You live in the Northeast ??? Went to college in Jersey, and spent a lot of time in Philly ... Lived in Yardley after I graduated, and my office was in Horsham ... Let's get 'em today ...

 

[RAYMOND]

You live in the Northeast ??? Went to college in Jersey, and spent a lot of time in Philly ... Lived in Yardley after I graduated, and my office was in Horsham ... Let's get 'em today ...

live near feasterville and holland area