- Oct 27, 2009
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Friday: 4-1
Record YTD: 38-21
For the full game totals, the O/U is slowly starting to even out more...glad to see this.
Some numbers for the season:
NBA Full Game Under 76-55 [58.02%]
NBA 2H Under 82-50 [62.12%] - would have made a hefty profit playing every single 2H Under
FT Prediction Model (stand-alone) Under 62-36 (63.27%)
FT Posted System Under 38-21 (64.41%)
I would have to imagine that all 2H unders will start to revert closer to 50% as the season progresses; otherwise I am leaving a decent amount of money on the table by not playing every game. The prediction model alone seems to be doing well (which is good since it is the heart of all this), but if I can continue to keep my filtered plays (from that pool) at a higher win %, I think we should be set up well for the long haul. Sure, it hurts a little to see what I have left on the table thus far, but I think it's a good problem to have.
I like the Saturday scheduling...should have all plays in by about 8:45 CST and be able to go enjoy the night.
Until then, :00x29
FT
Record YTD: 38-21
For the full game totals, the O/U is slowly starting to even out more...glad to see this.
Some numbers for the season:
NBA Full Game Under 76-55 [58.02%]
NBA 2H Under 82-50 [62.12%] - would have made a hefty profit playing every single 2H Under
FT Prediction Model (stand-alone) Under 62-36 (63.27%)
FT Posted System Under 38-21 (64.41%)
I would have to imagine that all 2H unders will start to revert closer to 50% as the season progresses; otherwise I am leaving a decent amount of money on the table by not playing every game. The prediction model alone seems to be doing well (which is good since it is the heart of all this), but if I can continue to keep my filtered plays (from that pool) at a higher win %, I think we should be set up well for the long haul. Sure, it hurts a little to see what I have left on the table thus far, but I think it's a good problem to have.
I like the Saturday scheduling...should have all plays in by about 8:45 CST and be able to go enjoy the night.
Until then, :00x29
FT