i have been betting sports for 20-yrs. and its taken along time of experimenting using different methods to accomplish the main goal...which is to make money...
what works for me may not work for someone else or vice-versa...
as far as baseball betting..i spent many yrs. analyzing pitchers and factoring them into my final decision. i never had success this way..
so what i decided is that its more important for me to try and figure out how the other 8-players on the team are gonna perform and not worry about 1-player the pitcher...also factoring in that starting pitchers are usually only around for 6-innings...to many games are left up to the bullpen.
so i track certain situations...that every team in mlb encounters...and i try and find situations that reap the same results each yr..ive got 6-yrs. of research under my belt and ive found about 12 trends for baseball that i can count on performing to certain level each yr. some are a little stronger than others, thats why i play different amounts on my plays...so like i said my way of thinking is to bet the entire team...not the pitcher...as far as pitchers go...i dont even look at em...there are plenty of strong cappers here at madjacks and im sure they all use different methods to achieve success...how a capper comes up with his plays is not as important if he is posting consistent winners...obviously then he knows what hes doing..
...some info regarding mont. play...heres the numbers in our favor...milw. is on a very strong go-against trend tonite...13-32 last 3yrs. and 4-7 this yr....
mont. on a very strong go-with trend....22-7 last 6yrs..but 1-3 this yr. 1st losing record in 6yrs...i strongly believe this trend will end up plus....this trend only comes up about 7 times a season..so i am thinking a 4-3 finish...
when i play either of these trends i play 500...so ive got both trends alive in my favor on this game so im doubling it to 1,000...
i hope it works out for me and anyone who is on mont. tonite.....but please remember there is always tomorrow...
gluck to all, burgh..
gluck buddy..
