GINNING THURSDAY, MAY 25
Philadelphia at Atlanta (4) 25th, 26th, 27th, 28th
The Phillies have been slumping (3-7, -$705 in the last 10 days) and they’ll be facing a steep challenge in this four game set. They come into Atlanta with a 4.54 team ERA (4th worst in the NL) to face the top pitching team in the National League (Braves 3.62 ERA). Philadelphia is only 9-16 when playing away from Citizens Bank (-$710) and they’ve averaged a dismal 2.6 runs per game when facing left-hander (-$775). They’re expected to square off against a couple of southpaws in the series. BEST BET: Left-handers vs. the Phillies.
San Francisco at Milwaukee (4) 25th, 26th, 27th, 28th
The Giants took 2 out of 3 when these teams faced each other in Milwaukee, and they’ve looked sharp in recent days (7-3, +$390 last 10). However, they have not fared well in road games in 2022 (only 6-12, -$560 vs. right-handers), while the Brewers come into the series with an 11-5 record vs. righties at home (+$445). A good opportunity for Milwaukee to solidify its lead in the NL Central. BEST BET: Brewers when righty meets righty.
Chicago. W. Sox at Detroit (4) 25th, 26th, 27th, 28th
The White Sox are showing some improvement, but they still own one of the worst records in MLB, including a 9-17 mark in road games (-$775). The Tigers remain below .500, but they’ve been a top money-maker so far in 2023 (+$785), and they have some capable arms set to take the mound this weekend at Comerica. Lefty Eduardo Rodriguez continue to shine (2.149 ERA in 10 starts) and we like his chances vs. the ChiSox. BEST BET: E. Rodriguez.
BEGINNING FRIDAY, MAY 26
Cincinnati at Chicago Cubs (3) 26th, 27th, 28th
The Cubs come into this series with an overall edge in pitching, and they’ll send a pair of outstanding left-handers to the mound at Wrigley Field this weekend. Justin Steele (2.20 ERA in 10 starts) and Drew Smyly (2.93 in 10 starts) should fare well when they face off against a Cincinnati team that is only 1-6 vs. left-handers on the road (-$550), averaging just 2.8 runs per game in those contests. An opportunity for the home team to pick up some ground in the very competitive NL Central. BEST BET: Steele/Smyly.
N.Y. Mets at Colorado (3) 26th, 27th, 28th
The Rockies took 2 out of 3 (+$280) when these teams faced off at CitiField. However, their starting pitchers are hopelessly over-matched (5.06 team ERA, worst in the NL) against the Mets, who will be sending their veteran right-handers to the mound at Coors Field. New York has averaged 5.1 runs per game against right-handers in 2023, and they come into this series having taken 6 of their last 10. Look for them to start moving up in the standings. BEST BET: Scherzer & Verlander when opposed by right-handers.
Texas at Baltimore (3) 26th, 27th, 28th
Very appealing match-up between teams that have emerged as top contenders following years of futility. Texas remains atop the AL West (31-18, +$1235) while the Orioles have the 2nd best record in the American League (33-17, +$1800). Both teams have won 7 of their last 10, both teams average over 5.0 runs per game on offense, and their pitching is evenly matched. We’ll keep an eye on these two as this series progresses. BEST BET: None.
Toronto at Minnesota (3) 26th, 27th, 28th
The Twins lead the AL Central and we like their chances this weekend at Target Field, where they own a 15-10 record. They have the 2nd best pitching in the American League (3.40 ERA), and they’ll be sending a trio of right-handers at Toronto, most notably Bailey Ober, who checks in with a 2.55 ERA in his six starts. The Blue Jays are in a tailspin (2-9, -$1065) and they’ve racked up hefty losses vs. right-handers in road games (-$695). Good opportunity for Minnesota to pad its slim lead in the AL Central. BEST BET: Ober.
Houston at Oakland (3) 26th, 27th, 28th
The Astros swept the hapless A’s at Minute Maid Park (+$300) and they will be looking to do it again this weekend at the Coliseum. Oakland is on track for the worst record ever, going just 10-42 (-$2505) up to this point. They have a disastrous 6.88 team ERA, in comparison to Houston’s 3.23 mark, which is tops in MLB. However, prices could exceed 3 to 1 so anything less than a sweep will cost Houston backers. We’ll stay away for now. BEST BET: None.
L.A. Dodgers at Tampa Bay (3) 26th, 27th, 28th
The Rays have the best record in baseball, including an outstanding 24-5 mark here at Tropicana Field (+$1665). They face a major challenge from the Dodgers, one of the top teams in the NL. Tampa Bay owns the best offense in MLB (.842 OPS), averaging just under 6.0 runs per game, while the Dodgers have been mediocre on the mound in recent days (5.94 ERA last 10). We’ll look for the home team to take at least 2 out of 3. BEST BET: Rays in all games.
San Diego at N.Y. Yankees (3) 26th, 27th, 28th
The Yankees look to bounce back from two straight loses to the Orioles, and the Padres make an inviting target. San Diego remains well below .500 despite a wealth of talent (23-27, -$1360). They average just 3.6 runs per game vs. right-handers away from Petco Park, and they’ll face staff ace Gerrit Cole (+$670, 2.53) and Luis Severino, who looked sharp in his first outing (1.93 ERA), having begun the season on the DL. New York has a 9-3 record (+$595) in day games in the Bronx. BEST BET: G. Cole/Severino.
St. Louis at Cleveland (3) 26th, 27th, 28th
The Cardinals are on the upswing in recent days (7-4, +$130 in their last 11) and they have plenty of games remaining to get back on top in the NL Central, as their division rivals tread water just over .500. The Guardians are playing poorly (21-28, -$1440 overall) and their offense ranks dead last in MLB (.637 OPS, 3.5 runs per game at the plate). They’ll be lucky to salvage a win at Progressive Field this weekend. BEST BET: Cardinals in all games.
Washington at Kansas City (3) 26th, 27th, 28th
The Nationals are a profitable road team (+$670) and we like their chances at Kaufman Stadium, where the sad-sack Royals are only 7-19 in 2023 (-$1195). Patrick Corbin (+$375) has flashed very good form in recent outings (3.00 ERA last two). Josiah Gray (2.65) and McKenzie Gore (3.88) continue to perform well. KC checks in with a .661 OPS, 3rd worst in MLB. They’ll have a hard time avoiding a sweep. BEST BET: Corbin/Jos. Gray/Gore.
Miami at L.A. Angels (3) 26th, 27th, 28th
The Marlins are only 2-5 on their current road trip, and Anaheim looks like a challenging venue. They are winless vs. left-handers on the road so far (0-7, -$785) and they’ll face a couple of southpaws in this series. The Angels are playing well (7-3, +$455 last 10 days) and are currently just four games back in the competitive AL West. BEST BET: Left-handers vs. the Marlins.
Boston at Arizona (3) 26th, 27th, 28th
The Diamondbacks continue to perform well (7-3, +$490 last 10 days), and they currently own the 3rd best record in the National League. They’ve compiled a .765 OPS and they average 5.1 runs per game at the plate. The Red Sox were just spanked by the Angels in a sweep at Anaheim, and their pitching remains a serious weakness (4.82 ERA, 5th worst in the majors). Merrill Kelly has been an effective starter for Arizona (+$275, 3.30 ERA in 10 appearances) who can keep the Boston bats in check. BEST BET: M. Kelly.
Pittsburgh at Seattle (3) 26th, 27th, 28th
The Pirates strong start is now just a memory, and the Mariners come in having won four in a row. Nevertheless, we think the Bucs can steal some wins at T-Mobile Park. Seattle is only 8-10 vs. right-handers in this ballpark (-$590). Mitch Keller is having an outstanding season for Pittsburgh (+$525, 2.44 ERA in 10 starts) and Vince Velasquez (+$240, 3.06) is set to re-join the rotation this weekend. BEST BET: M. Keller/Velasquez.