SATURDAY (2 BIGGG)

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Jord20

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Ok, this is my breakout week in College. I have been hovering around in college, but not really having any big runs. That will change this week. I played a few yesterday, including 2 that I really like...

Okie St. -13.5 BIGGGGG
Cal +3 Biggg

Texas -11
UNC -10
FSU -18
Utah +10.5
Toledo +7

I like a few more, but not in a rush with the lines.

:toast:
 
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layinwood

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Jord, the Okie State line is interesting. To me it is way too high. As in Vegas is trying to get money on the other side.

Saying that, are they really any good? They lost to Arizona and when they lost to UT it didn't look that bad. Now I'm looking at it thinking they really didn't do that well vs. the Texas D. especially considering it was a home game. Iowa State has a pretty good defense and the offense is good enough to keep them in games.

Surely the line isn't based on revenge alone. Based on stats ISU should make this a pretty good game.
 
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layinwood

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I meant to come in and say good luck and ended up writing too much.

Anyway GOOD LUCK with all of your plays!
 
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Jord20

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Thanks guys... always appreciate the insight. First off this line is ridiculous. This line gives new meaning to the unranked favorite over ranked opponent theory.

Unranked -13.5 over ranked is going to have the public drooling over ISU. With ISU ranked and coming off a win over #15 TCU and a near win against #4 KSU AND Okie lite coming off a ugly 20-14 win vs KU and a loss vs. a Texas team that just got embarrassed on national TV... this line "should' have been 6 and it would have been fair. Vegas went hugely overboard on this line. They did it for a reason. Now this thing is hitting 14.5 in places!! So, for that sentiment alone, i would pound Okie St. and lay the big number.
All that being said, I really like the matchup. I think Okie St has one of the best offenses in the country. They are hugely explosive and I don't think ISU will be able to keep up. ISU is more of a grinding team, and won't play well from behind.

I really love this play. Will play Okie St. in the first half too. I see a 4 TD drubbing.

Good luck in whatever you play.

Pigskin, yes, I still like them at 14.5. I am glad I got the 13.5, but the fact that they pumped this over the key 14, makes me even more confident. Maybe buy it down to 14 for the extra 10%?

:toast:
 
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Jord20

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layinwood said:
Saying that, are they really any good? They lost to Arizona and when they lost to UT it didn't look that bad. Now I'm looking at it thinking they really didn't do that well vs. the Texas D. especially considering it was a home game. Iowa State has a pretty good defense and the offense is good enough to keep them in games.

Surely the line isn't based on revenge alone. Based on stats ISU should make this a pretty good game.
Click to expand...

I think Arizona is better than advertised. That game was a little fluky too. Okie St. still put up 40 on Texas and gave that game away. Are they that good? No. But they are good enough to explode on occasion. I think is just the matchup that the doctor ordered for them. Perfect spot against the right team (who is now ranked for extra motivation).
 
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layinwood

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But do they really have one of the best offenses? They racked up most of their big numbers for their yearly averages against really BAD teams. One of them they shouldn't have even played. I

Texas looks to have a really bad D right now and Okie State only put 36 on them. ISU has a much better D than UT does(at this point). I can't see them scoring more on ISU than they did UT. At this point if you take away the two small schools they played and just include the big boys, they're only averaging around 31 per game. In my opinion ISU is the best D they will have faced this year. Even if ISU can keep them to their season average they'll be ok as far as the line goes. Texas, Arizona and Kansas aren't exactly defensive stoppers this year.

I know ISUs offense isn't as good as UT or Arizona but they're probably better than Kansas.

As always, just trying to help.
 
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Jord20

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I appreciate it. You know these teams better than I do.

ISU's D is tough. If it can contain Okie's speed, it will be a game that ISU probably grinds out and wins SU... otherwise, and I think more likely. Okie comes out too fired up... gets up by a couple of scores and ISU is in a world of hurt.

Look, obviously this line makes no sense. That's why i like it even more. They aren't dummies over there in the desert.

Speed will kill in this game!! Big plays
 
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cole

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I'm looking real hard at WV myself. Waiting for a better health update on Bailey though. good luck this week
 
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Jord20

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I saw, CG. Good luck to you, bro! I don't love the fact that it is sitting up there so high. I expected it to drift down a bit. OU can score and score quickly.

Nice cushion we have though. I'm glad you are so confident
 
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capping-guru

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Jord20 said:
I saw, CG. Good luck to you, bro! I don't love the fact that it is sitting up there so high. I expected it to drift down a bit. OU can score and score quickly.

Nice cushion we have though. I'm glad you are so confident though
Click to expand...

Number hasnt moved a bit and all the money is on OSU. I just posted some great info on the game in my thread, you gotta read it. It makes me like even more......no joke! That ND game on deck for OU has me seeing Stoops yanking guys if they get up big plus I see OU looking ahead anyways.:0074
 
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